Octa Analytics
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Official global account of Octa, an award-winning and internationally recognised investing services provider. Have any questions? Write to @Octa_Rep Our posts are not financial advice. Trading is risky—be responsible. Terms and Conditions apply
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🕯 Octa Analytics VIP: real signals, real advantage.
The free channel gives you a start. The VIP channel takes you where you want to be.
Get access to high-accuracy trading signals that don’t appear in the public feed. Become an Octa Analytics VIP member in three simple steps:
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You already trade—make sure you’re up to your full potential. Join our private trading community and rely on professional analytics, not noise.
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📊Euro under pressure after trade deal reassessed
The euro (EUR) fell by 1.4% on Monday, the sharpest one-day drop in over two months, on worries about growth and the negative impact of the recent trade deal.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The euro suffered steep losses as investors digested information that the trade deal between the EU and the U.S. favoured the latter and hardly lifted the eurozone's economic outlook. France called the trade agreement a 'dark day' for Europe, saying the EU had caved in to the U.S. President Donald Trump with an unbalanced deal that slapped a headline 15% tariff on EU goods. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said his economy would suffer significant damage due to the agreed tariffs.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar (USD) strengthened and climbed by 1% against a basket of currencies overnight. The key factors affecting USD are ongoing U.S.–China trade talks in Stockholm and the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision due on Wednesday.
Apart from the ongoing U.S.–China negotiations, the Fed's monetary policy meeting is the main event of the week. The market expects the Fed to leave the interest rate unchanged but price in a rate cut in September. Traders will also watch the officials' comments to get more clues on the U.S. interest rate path.
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BTCUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 118,555.00.
Set your stop loss at 117,455.00 below the previous low ($11.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 119,655.00 ($11.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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#economic_calendar
This event may affect the market on 29 July.
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🕯 Octa Analytics VIP: real signals, real advantage.
The free channel gives you a start. The VIP channel takes you where you want to be.
Get access to high-accuracy trading signals that don’t appear in the public feed. Become an Octa Analytics VIP member in three simple steps:
1️⃣Make sure you have 💲5️⃣0️⃣ or more in your real account
2️⃣Send a screenshot of your balance, along with your real account ID, to @octa_vip_bot
3️⃣Wait for confirmation—we usually approve within one working day
You already trade—make sure you’re up to your full potential. Join our private trading community and rely on professional analytics, not noise.
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📊 Gold continues declining amid new trade deal
Gold (XAU) ended the week under the key $3,360 level, declining by 1.3%. XAUUSD recorded a third consecutive day of losses as newly announced U.S.–EU trade deals reduced demand for safe-haven assets.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The U.S.–EU trade agreement includes a 15% tariff on EU exports to the U.S., avoiding a steeper 30% levy. The agreement also includes EU commitments to invest billions of U.S. dollars in U.S. industry. The deal mirrors key parts of the recent U.S. trade agreement with Japan. The tariff deal has eased fears of a broader trade war, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. A stronger U.S. dollar added to the downward pressure on gold prices, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers.
Meanwhile, investors are bracing for an eventful week ahead, featuring a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting and a slew of economic data releases. The Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged, but investors will closely watch for any hints of a potential rate cut in September. Attention will also turn to key labour market indicators, including JOLTS, ADP employment, and the nonfarm payroll reports.
Despite the recent dip, gold remains up by approximately 30% year-to-date, reflecting strong long-term performance driven by geopolitical instability, though short-term trade optimism has caused a pullback. Key technical levels to watch are resistance at $3,360 and support along the trend line formed by higher lows since early July. If XAUUSD holds the trendline, the rebound towards $3,360 and a larger timeframe uptrend continuation are possible. Otherwise, a steep sell-off is likely as investors could rush out of the failing uptrend to cover their profits.
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#weekly_outlook
🔎 Keeping up-to-date with the market helps you make better trading decisions
Here’s a Weekly Market Outlook for 28 July – 1 August from Vito Henjoto.
Stay informed and trade wisely.
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#webinars_schedule #education
📱 You can now watch our educational webinars in the Octa Trading App on your Android smartphone. Install the latest version, tap Webinars in the menu, and enjoy fast and easy access to all upcoming and past videos.
🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts.
👋 Join and learn more about trading:
🇮🇩 29/07, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Vito Henjoto
🇬🇧 31/07, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa
🇬🇧 1/08, 12 p.m. UTC – ENGLISH – Webinar 'News trading. Inflation' with Vito Henjoto
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🕯 Octa Analytics VIP: real signals, real advantage.
The free channel gives you a start. The VIP channel takes you where you want to be.
Get access to high-accuracy trading signals that don’t appear in the public feed. Become an Octa Analytics VIP member in three simple steps:
1️⃣Make sure you have 💲5️⃣0️⃣ or more in your real account
2️⃣Send a screenshot of your balance, along with your real account ID, to @octa_vip_bot
3️⃣Wait for confirmation—we usually approve within one working day
You already trade—make sure you’re up to your full potential. Join our private trading community and rely on professional analytics, not noise.
And don’t miss the chance to get a a 100% deposit bonus with the BONUSVIP100 promo code 🚀 Double what you put in, just like that 🎯
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XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉Level explanation
XAUUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 3,349.00.
Set your stop loss at 3,362.00 above the previous high ($13.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 3,336.00 ($13.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
@octa_analytics
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📊 ECB held interest rates steady amid ongoing trade tensions
The euro traded near 1.17500 on Thursday, slightly below its highest level since August 2021, after the European Central Bank (ECB) left interest rates unchanged. The decision came amid rising uncertainty, particularly around EU–U.S. trade negotiations ahead of the 1 August deadline.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The ECB left its deposit rate at 2% on Thursday, aligning with market expectations. The regulator noted that the eurozone economy was resilience but warned that the outlook remains 'exceptionally uncertain', primarily due to persistent trade tensions. While another rate cut remains possible, markets are now less confident it will occur by year-end. Following the decision, eurozone bond yields continued rising, while the euro edged lower.
Despite eurozone inflation reaching the ECB's 2% target, policymakers paused rate cuts in July, citing geopolitical risks as a key concern. The EU's trade relationship with the U.S.—its largest trading partner—remains under pressure as negotiations continue, with potential tariffs of up to 30% on EU goods. The base-case scenario now assumes a 15% tariff on EU goods as EU diplomats remain sceptical about achieving a breakthrough before the deadline.
EURUSD remained relatively flat during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's release of the U.S. Durable Goods Orders report at 12:30 p.m. UTC may bring volatility to EURUSD. A stronger-than-expected reading could strengthen the U.S. dollar, pushing the euro lower. Weaker figures may support bullish momentum in EURUSD as traders assess the U.S. economic outlook ahead of the Fed's next policy decisions. Key levels to watch for EURUSD are support at 1.17200 and resistance at 1.18000.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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📊 ECB held interest rates steady amid ongoing trade tensions
The euro traded near 1.17500 on Thursday, slightly below its highest level since August 2021, after the European Central Bank (ECB) left interest rates unchanged. The decision came amid rising uncertainty, particularly around EU–U.S. trade negotiations ahead of the 1 August deadline.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The ECB left its deposit rate at 2% on Thursday, aligning with market expectations. The regulator noted that the eurozone economy was resilience but warned that the outlook remains 'exceptionally uncertain', primarily due to persistent trade tensions. While another rate cut remains possible, markets are now less confident it will occur by year-end. Following the decision, eurozone bond yields continued rising, while the euro edged lower.
Despite eurozone inflation reaching the ECB's 2% target, policymakers paused rate cuts in July, citing geopolitical risks as a key concern. The EU's trade relationship with the U.S.—its largest trading partner—remains under pressure as negotiations continue, with potential tariffs of up to 30% on EU goods. The base-case scenario now assumes a 15% tariff on EU goods as EU diplomats remain sceptical about achieving a breakthrough before the deadline.
EURUSD remained relatively flat during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's release of the U.S. Durable Goods Orders report at 12:30 p.m. UTC may bring volatility to EURUSD. A stronger-than-expected reading could strengthen the U.S. dollar, pushing the euro lower. Weaker figures may support bullish momentum in EURUSD as traders assess the U.S. economic outlook ahead of the Fed's next policy decisions. Key levels to watch for EURUSD are support at 1.07200 and resistance at 1.08000.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
🕯 Octa Analytics VIP: real signals, real advantage.
The free channel gives you a start. The VIP channel takes you where you want to be.
Get access to high-accuracy trading signals that don’t appear in the public feed. Become an Octa Analytics VIP member in three simple steps:
1️⃣Make sure you have 💲5️⃣0️⃣ or more in your real account
2️⃣Send a screenshot of your balance, along with your real account ID, to @octa_vip_bot
3️⃣Wait for confirmation—we usually approve within one working day
You already trade—make sure you’re up to your full potential. Join our private trading community and rely on professional analytics, not noise.
And don’t miss the chance to get a a 100% deposit bonus with the BONUSVIP100 promo code 🚀 Double what you put in, just like that 🎯
❤ 28👍 5🔥 3
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#economic_calendar
This event may affect the market on 25 July.
🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!
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📊 Gold drops further on trade deals optimism
Gold (XAU) hovered below $3,400 on Wednesday, declining by over 1%, as optimism about further trade deals between the U.S. and key partners weighed on the metal's safe-haven appeal.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The U.S.–Japan trade deal contributed to XAUUSD's decline as it boosted risk appetite, reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The EU is also progressing towards a trade agreement with Washington. The deal would impose a broad 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S., instead of a steeper 30% levy scheduled to take effect on 1 August. The tariff, which could also apply to cars, would mirror the framework of a similar U.S.–Japan agreement.
However, caution remained amid ongoing threats of 15% to 50% tariffs on countries such as South Korea and India, which are still negotiating deals. Traders are also awaiting clarity on negotiations with China, as U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent will meet Chinese officials next week. On the monetary policy front, markets are focused on next week's Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting. Markets expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, with potential cuts anticipated in October.
Investor demand for gold has been strong recently, as U.S. tariff threats have raised concerns about a potential slowdown in global economic growth. Geopolitical tensions, such as ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Russia–Ukraine, continue to bolster gold's safe-haven appeal. XAUUSD could remain in a consolidation phase until there is clarity on the tariffs front or a clearer dovish signal from the Fed. The key levels to watch are support at $3,360 and resistance at $3,440. A break above the resistance level could start a longer-term uptrend continuation. A decline below the support level could trigger a major sell-off, as investors may continue to cover their profits.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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#economic_calendar
This event may affect the market on 24 July.
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USDJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
USDJPY has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 146.780.
Set your stop loss at 147.290 above the previous high ($3.47 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 146.270 ($3.47 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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📊 Gold hits five-week high
Gold climbed above $3,431 on Tuesday, marking its highest level since 16 June and recovering losses from the previous session.
👉 Possible effects for traders
A weaker U.S. dollar (USD) and continued strong demand from central banks and investors seeking safe haven supported gold's rally.
Investor interest in gold has intensified as escalating U.S. tariff threats have raised concerns about a potential slowdown in global economic growth. U.S. President Donald Trump has warned of imposing tariffs on nearly all major trading partners if they fail to secure trade deals by 1 August, including a proposed 30% levy on imports from the EU. This warning has fuelled risk aversion and driven capital flows into gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against economic uncertainty.
Meanwhile, persistent tensions in the Middle East have further supported gold's upward momentum, as investors brace for potential disruptions to energy markets and supply chains. With trans-Atlantic trade risks rising and central banks continuing to diversify their reserves, XAUUSD's technical and fundamental backdrop remains positive, favouring a move higher soon.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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#economic_calendar
This event may affect the market on 23 July.
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