Crypto Trading Signals®️

$BTC UPDATE: WHY NO DUMP? So, if you've been watching bitcoin move in this $85K - $93K range and wondering why it's not just dumping already, this chart tells you pretty much everything you need to know. The whole story is in the ETF flows, and honestly, once you understand what's happening here, the current sideways price action makes way more sense. Since late November and into December, the flows have basically gone quiet. You're seeing tiny red bars, tiny green bars, and a lot of days that are basically flat. And this is exactly why price keeps consolidating instead of breaking down. Think about it, if institutions were running for the exits, you'd see massive red bars like we had green bars in October. But that's not happening. This might sound weird, but the lack of big moves in either direction could actually be bullish short term for price stability considering we are just consolidating under $93K. When ETFs see outflows, that creates real selling pressure and after January 10, 2024, bitcoin’s price action is now pretty much tied to the ETF numbers. When there are no big outflows, that selling pressure just doesn't exist. So right now, we're in this zone where the institutions are not selling, but they're also not aggressively buying more. That creates this range bound action where price can't really dump because there's no forced selling, but it also can't really pump without new buyers stepping in, simple.

$BTC UPDATE Price finally breaking below this longheld ascending trendline and will most likely reach $86K after the daily open in the next few hours. Stalecoin dominance also have the upside trendline breakout. Be careful chasing longs here.

$BTCDOM UPDATE As mentioned in the update yesterday, longs were at significant risk due to $BTCDOM being at range lows and daily support and the only hope was for the index to break below this level. Now that it’s been ripping off, best to focus on shorts while the index moves towards the range highs.

FOMC UPDATE: THE GOOD NEWS GDP growth for 2026: From 1.8% to 2.3% (Big Upgrade) PCE inflation for 2026: From 2.6% to 2.4% (Cooling Faster) Core PCE also improved Perfect scenario for rate cuts, right? Wrong. Still from 3.6% to 3.4% in 2026. Same path with no extra cuts. Also, in September, around 3-4 FOMC members expected rates at 3.6% or higher in 2026 (no cuts), but by now this number has increased to approximately 5-7 members, signaling a clear hawkish shift in committee consensus and that is pretty much the only thing in the Summary of Economic Projections document that market may see as bearish.

$BTCDOM UPDATE $BTCDOM back at the support or the range low for the range that the index has been moving inside for the last 5 weeks. Obviously because of this, taking any long positions today on altcoins is going to be a risky endeavour unless the index loses this support which is a totally different story. 80% chances it pumps from here going for the range high or the resistance.

$BTC UPDATE: FOMC DAY Big day today, federal funds rate decision to be announced in approximately 10 hours (7:00 PM UK Time). Bitcoin again just gave a fakeout above $93K resistance with no close, so yeah no change in the plan, we’ll wait patiently for the close above this resistance. I did post a detailed update on FOMC yesterday, please make sure to give it a read.

$BTC UPDATE: USDT DOMINANCE Bitcoin is back at $93K resistance but seems like we are about to see a reclaim soon because USDT Dominance is losing this big daily ascending trendline. Remember that USDT is already at big weekly resistance and back in April also, after a big uptrend, index started to lose momentum after breaking below a large ascending trendline. I can see something similar unfolding here aswell.

BITCOIN UPDATE: THE FED DECISION As we are almost 24 hours away from the Fed’s interest rate decision and bitcoin is still chopping inside the same range, remember that this is the single macro event that will decide if we are reclaiming this resistance and going to $100K or we are having a new lower low printed around $75K region. So, basically Powell is about to pump your shitcoins or make you eat noodles for the next two months. I always tell people that the uncertainty is not because the cut itself is a surprise, but because the dot plot and Powell’s press conference tomorrow are going to be the actual surprise factors. The rate cut is just the boring part, the real fun begins when daddy starts talking. Markets are pricing in the cut with around 89% probability of a 25bp move, so the cut is definitely priced in already and the real move will come from forward guidance, the distribution of the new dot plot (how many members are expecting more cuts next year), and the tone Powell uses when asked about future monetary policy and data dependence during the press conference. The reason why the dot plot matters alot here is because this is the last FOMC meeting for 2025 and we are about to have a final outlook of Fed’s collective roadmap for 2026. If the median dot only signals 1–2 cuts, it means rates will stay higher for 2026 keeping the dollar strong and is most likely going to result in bitcoin printing a new lower low (abandon all hope). But if the median shifts toward 3–4 cuts, that’s when you can expect a breakout above this $93K resistance. Finally, this meeting is unusually tricky because the Fed is divided internally (we have seen this in previous dot plot and various different statements made my members) and is making decisions with less fresh macro data than usual. So yes, the fate of your long is currently being decided by a group of economists who can’t agree with each other. Good luck!

$TAKE UPDATE Taking small TP1 here and moving stops breakeven.

$BTC UPDATE No changes to the outlook from last week. The structure remains the same and the plan remains the same. Bitcoin is still trading directly under a major weekly resistance, and as long as we stay under this level, there is absolutely no reason to force the market. What we need is simple: A clean 1D close above the $93K resistance. Only then the long setup would make sense , with $108K as the minimum target based on the next big resistance. Every correlated chart - TOTALES, Stablecoin Dominance, all pointing in the same direction right now that price is at resistance, not breaking out of it. So, we wait for confirmation, or we wait for lower levels. Anything in between is unnecessary noise.

$BTC UPDATE No changes to the outlook from last week. The structure remains the same and the plan remains the same. Bitcoin is still trading directly under a major weekly resistance, and as long as we stay under this level, there is absolutely no reason to force the market. What we need is simple: A clean 1D close above the $93K resistance. Only then the long setup would make sense , with $108K as the minimum target based on the next big resistance. Every correlated chart - TOTALES, Stablecoin Dominance, all pointing in the same direction right now that price is at resistance, not breaking out of it. So, we wait for confirmation, or we wait for lower levels. Anything in between is unnecessary noise.

$TAKE/USDT LONG Entry Point: Entry: Market Price ($0.36300) DCA Level: $0.33431 Stop Loss: Stop Loss: 0.31659 Target: Final Target: 0.58501 Leverage: 5x-10x Reasoning: Breakout Above Prev ATH + VWAP Rating: This setup is rated 6/10

$ETH SPOT: UPDATE Closed this breakeven. Basically, totally missed the opportunity to DCA at this $2900 support, so I am going to close it breakeven and wait for the weekly and see if we get another retest at support.

$BTC UPDATE: STRONG RESISTANCE Good decision so far to not go long on bitcoin, price still hovering at the resistance. Extremely important level here which once reclaimed could result in price eventually going for even the $108K - $112K range. So, no rush here, just waiting for the confirmation. This is the simplest possible chart I can show you, reclaim this resistance on 3D and we’ll buy for $108K minimum or else $75K remains the next important support for any big buying opportunity.

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$BTC LONG: $TOTAL With the daily close above $3T level, $TOTAL seems to have reclaimed this important resistance level. Currently, the index is trading at $3.13T and I have set the alerts at $3.08T for the retest to go long. First resistance at $3.4T, so expecting a move towards $100K range after this retest. As I mentioned in my earlier update, not all the charts correlated to bitcoin have given the short term bullish signal because of an obvious lag but still, around 70% chance that we are going higher. Just to be clear, there is no change whatsoever in the daily structure of bitcoin which remains bearish and as we continue to go higher, we’ll get much better opportunities for a big beautiful short. So, don’t be too excited aye?

$ETH UPDATE: TOTAL2 Ethereum appears to be a good buy here especially in spot after this reclaim of resistance on $TOTAL2. After this daily close above $1.26T level, there is a very little chance of this being a fakeout. I mean, I haven’t really seen a daily fakeout above this level since 2021 but again, you cannot predict future solely on the basis of what has happened in the past. I would still say there is a 65% - 70% chance that $TOTAL2 will go for the next big resistance around $1.4T zone which will result in Ethereum making a move towards $3700 - $3800 easily. While dealing with indices, I usually focus less on dynamic levels and more on static S/R levels. But the only caveat in this $ETH setup is that both $TOTAL2 and $ETH have plenty of strong dynamics resistant levels that they would have to go past in order to reach the levels mentioned above and it’s not going to be easy. But as I said, I usually ignore the dynamic levels especially while dealing with indices. So, the news here is that we have resistance reclaim and big trendline breakout on Ethereum. I am waiting for $3100 (have already placed the limit order) to start buying.