Alex Friedman | Crypto Future
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❗️Breakdown of the Bearish Pennant on MEME/USDT [4H Chart]
Possible Target: $0.00082285
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BTC stabilizes and prepares for a new impulse — VanEck
In its latest report, VanEck notes that the Bitcoin market is going through a stabilization phase after the correction.
Over the past couple of weeks, corporate treasuries have acquired around 42,000 BTC, while retail investors and ETFs have been reducing exposure. At the same time, miners have begun to capitulate — historically, such periods have often coincided with local market bottoms.
The market has also cleared out excessive leverage: funding rates have declined and speculative pressure has eased. Long-term holders are barely selling, while “smart money” continues to accumulate. According to VanEck, a bullish structure is forming beneath the correction.
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This one breakout can end our poverty and start a mega altseason like we saw in 2021.
First, why does this bull market feel like a bear market? Because:
- Alts against Bitcoin are still in a 4-year downtrend that started in January 2022.
- Alts are now the most oversold ever in history. The RSI is literally in negative territory.
- While BTC pumped 8.5x from the bottom of $15,400 to $126,000, alts are at a 4-year low.
Until now, we had 2 failed breakouts in March 2024 and November 2024. That's when we saw some pumps in our altcoins.
The whole of 2025 was a shitshow for alts, especially the October 10th flash crash.
But here is some hopium :
- RSI is on the verge of a bullish crossover. The last time this happened, we saw the 2021 altseason.
- MACD is about to turn green after 43 months (excluding the fakeout we saw in March 2024).
- Historically, alts outperform BTC once QT ends and QE starts.
- On top of this, you add low inflation, more rate cuts, QE, and a bullish Fed chair in 2026.
With al...
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🧐 DECEMBER 2025 = DECEMBER 2022?
The more I look on both of these charts, the more similarities I find. Let me explain the structure:
1. Massive growth that started aftering touching the EMA100
2. Double top and bearish flag which made the price break the EMA100 down
3. Double bottom and boring consolidation at the end of the year
4. Sharp growth at the beginning of the next year (🔜)
I remember how December 2022 felt absolutely dead right before a powerful reversal in January 2023. At the moment we have great chances to see such scenario again.
00:28
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🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴
Last week was quite a busy one - a few quick wins here and there, and a few big trades that really made the difference.
Pretty happy with these results. Discipline and sticking to the strategy keep paying off.
👉 @Alex_Friedman_CEO
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