Crypto soothsayer

Polymarket gives a 95% chance that the Fed cuts rates by 25 bps today 💪 Most traders agree this move is already priced in for crypto. 🤷 But that scary 5% scenario? Yeah… if the Fed decides to surprise everyone, the market might go from “priced in” to “panic mode” in seconds. 🙀📉

💸 Market Waking Up 🚀 Bitcoin has broken above $94,000, Ethereum is trading near $3,370, and major altcoins are up 4–10% in the past 24 hours. The biggest pain is on the short side: $265M in short positions were liquidated in just the last four hours. On HTX alone, one large trader lost $24M in a single order. 🤷 Momentum is picking up — volatility is back. 📊

💀 Did Arkham “deanonymize” Zcash? Not really. 🔎 Arkham posted a flashy claim about linking 53%+ of Zcash transactions (public + private) to known entities, with labeled volume exceeding $420B. This sparked backlash, as many took it as a hint that shielded ZEC transactions were cracked. 😾 Reality check: Arkham works only with the transparent part of the network. No shielded data was broken. 🔥 Zcash co-founder Zooko confirmed that deanonymizing shielded ZEC is impossible, since the data simply doesn’t exist — Arkham is just tracking wallets that chose public transparency.

According to latest data, ETFs, companies, institutions, governments and sovereign funds are now sitting on 4,000,000+ BTC — that’s $366B or roughly 19% of total Bitcoin supply. 🙀

❄️ Crypto Winter Incoming? Bloomberg reports that Bitcoin options suggest traders are bracing for a prolonged consolidation between $80K–$100K. 🧐 December contracts are much more active than long-term ones, with many traders selling options to collect premiums, betting that the market will remain relatively stable in the near term.

💰 Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) bought 10,624 BTC for $963M at an average price of $90,615 each between Dec 1–7. As of Dec 7, the company holds 660,624 BTC (~3% of total supply), spending $43.35B since 2020 at an average of $74,696 per BTC. The latest purchase was funded through STRD preferred shares and MSTR common stock. Strategy continues its aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy. 🚀💪

📉 Bearish 2021 Fractal Making the Rounds on Twitter Traders on X are sharing charts that suggest Bitcoin may be repeating a 2021-style fractal with a bearish outcome. 👀 If this scenario plays out, BTC could face a deeper correction into the $35,000–$45,000 range. 😢 While fractals aren’t guarantees, the discussion highlights growing caution in the market as volatility and uncertainty return.

Trend Score Signal s Broad BTC Accumulation 💰 The Trend Score indicator shows active Bitcoin buying across almost all market participants — from large holders to retail investors. This kind of behavior has appeared before: in some cases it preceded further price growth, in others the market continued to decline. 📈📉👀 Historically, however, such broad-based accumulation has more often been observed either around major trend reversals or during the middle of strong rallies, when market optimism — and greed — start to intensify. 🚀

⚾️ Trump Takes a Shot at Peter Schiff Donald Trump dedicated a weekend post to longtime crypto critic Peter Schiff, calling him a “Trump-hating loser.” 😁 The remark came after Schiff appeared on TV discussing the economy, once again taking a bearish stance. Trump dismissed his views, mocking both the analyst and the show that invited him on. 🗣 📺

👀 Casascius Bitcoin coins come alive after 13 years Over the weekend, two transactions of 1,000 BTC each were moved for the first time in over 13 years — coming from so-called Casascius Coins. Someone finally decided to stop holding paper wealth and become a real multimillionaire. 💵 Casascius Coins were physical Bitcoin coins issued between 2011–2013: metal tokens with a hologram hiding a private key loaded with BTC. To access the funds, the hologram must be peeled off — destroying the coin’s collectible value forever. Many collectors have held these coins untouched for years. According to TimeChain Index, the 17 largest Casascius holders may still control 36,467 BTC (~$3.65B). 🙀 Just a month ago, BTC from one of these coins was also moved to Coinbase — a sign that more “sleeping” legends may be waking up.

🤏 Crypto bros on Twitter aren’t giving up… “alt season is coming soon.” 🚀 After every major crypto market correction in past cycles, altcoins delivered dozens of Xs (like in 2020–2021).👀

📈 Bitcoin is gearing up for $100k A CoinDesk analyst highlights several bullish signals pointing to a continued uptrend. 👀 • BTC volatility (BVIV) has dropped to 48, breaking below the long-term trend — fear is fading and the market is stabilizing. • A weakening dollar adds extra support for risk assets. • Technical setup: BTC is holding above $93,104 and above the Ichimoku cloud, keeping momentum strong. • Next targets: $98k–$100k. ⚠️ Risk: a move back below the Ichimoku cloud could weaken the bullish impulse. Targets for major alts: 🔹 ETH — $3,500 🔹 SOL — $165 🔹 XRP — $2.30 Overall: market structure remains bullish, and the push to six figures is back on the table.

Not only Peter Schiff showed up at Binance Blockchain Week yesterday 👀 CZ finally met Michael Saylor in person for the first time — a moment many in the community have been waiting years to see. 😎 At the same time, CZ said he doesn’t feel the need to return to day-to-day work at Binance anymore. 🤷 And honestly… why would he? When you can travel, chill, and meet interesting people instead 😄

💸 Funds Are Accumulating Bitcoin BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says sovereign wealth funds have been quietly buying large amounts of BTC around $80k — not for speculation, but for true long-term accumulation. 🐂 According to Fink, the Bitcoin market will accelerate much faster than most expect, and the key catalyst will be the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). 🔼 BlackRock believes tokenization will become the foundation of the new global financial system in the coming years. Fink continues to fuel interest in the RWA narrative — clearly warming up the market ahead of BlackRock’s upcoming products. 🕐

😳 Japan’s sovereign debt is on the edge 🇯🇵 Japan’s 10-year bond yield has jumped from –0.28% to 1.92% since 2019 — the highest since 2007. The country’s debt-to-GDP ratio is 215%, and it just launched a $135B stimulus package. Markets now expect an 80% chance that the Bank of Japan will hike rates again on December 19. Such a move could trigger a carry-trade unwind, potentially causing global shockwaves. While everyone watches the Fed’s decision on December 10, the real financial time bomb may be Japan. Remember: on August 5, 2024, BTC briefly crashed below $50k during a carry-trade panic 😩

🥊 Peter Schiff vs CZ: The Bitcoin vs Tokenized Gold Debate At Binance Blockchain Week in Dubai, Peter Schiff and CZ went head-to-head in a debate about Bitcoin vs tokenized gold. Before the event, Schiff even posted a cartoon video showing him and CZ fighting — CZ using Bitcoin, Schiff using a gold bar. 🥋 But on stage things flipped: CZ “knocked him out” by demonstrating a fake gold bar, making his point clear — “No proof of work — no value.” 🤷 Bottom line: the debate highlighted how, in today’s market, digitally verifiable value can outweigh physical gold, especially when gold can be counterfeited.

📈 Ripple CEO: Bitcoin could hit $180K by 2026 Key points from the interview: • Macro & cycles: Strong tailwinds and U.S. regulatory clarity are boosting crypto; institutions are just starting to enter. • ETF demand: Crypto ETFs are in early days — Ripple’s ETF saw $700M+ inflows recently, and institutional adoption is accelerating. • Stablecoins: Investors prefer stablecoins in risk-off periods; Ripple’s stablecoin already surpassed $1B market cap. Bullish outlook: BTC could surge as regulation, macro support, and institutional flows align.

🇺🇸 BlackRock: U.S. Debt Growth Could Spark a Crypto Bull Run BlackRock predicts that the rising U.S. national debt — potentially hitting $50T by 2035 — will drive crypto gains over the next decade, as a weakening dollar increases demand for Bitcoin as a store of value. 💡 The booming AI sector requires massive investments in energy and infrastructure, funded through the expanding deficit. With spot ETFs making institutional entry easier, cryptocurrencies are shifting from speculation to a legitimate hedge against debt and the new AI-driven economy. Bottom line: Crypto is becoming a natural response to rising debt and economic transformation.

📱 Major Security Flaw Found in Popular Android Chip — Solana Phones at Risk Ledger researchers have demonstrated a critical exploit in the MediaTek Dimensity 7300 chip — the same one used in Solana Seeker smartphones. ⚡️ Using an electromagnetic attack, they gained full control of the device, and the flaw lies in the boot ROM, meaning it cannot be patched. Key points: • The vulnerability is baked into the silicon — no software fix is possible. • Attackers can escalate privileges to the highest level. • Solana Seeker phones inherit the same hardware-level flaw. • Storing private keys on such devices is unsafe. • Ledger stresses that only secure-element hardware wallets protect against this class of attacks. A serious reminder: if your phone uses Dimensity 7300, it should not be your crypto storage device. 🤷