Crypto soothsayer

💰🇺🇸 Texas Becomes the First U.S. State to Hold Bitcoin Texas has officially launched its long-awaited state Bitcoin reserve following Trump’s pro-crypto shift. The first $5M purchase has already been made, making Texas the first state in the U.S. to add BTC to its balance sheet — potentially opening the door for others to follow. 👀 So far, the state allocated $10M, executed through BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF. But Texas plans to move toward direct BTC custody and purchases in the future. The domino effect may just be starting — will other states or even the entire U.S. follow next? 🚀

🇺🇸 JPMorgan’s Bitcoin Games Continue JPMorgan — the same bank that’s been openly targeting clients from the Bitcoin industry — keeps calling BTC a “macro asset” in its reports and even outlines long-term targets up to $240,000 per coin.💵 A classic Trump-style negotiation tactic: trash the asset publicly, squeeze out competitors, and quietly prepare to buy lower. The irony? While tightening the screws on crypto companies, JPMorgan’s own analysts paint one of the most bullish long-term scenarios for Bitcoin. 🚀

📈 TA believers predict BTC peak at $160K 🕵️‍♂️ Some technical analysts claim Bitcoin may rally to a cycle top around $160,000 by July 2026. According to their model, this would mark the end of the bull market, followed by a major correction. By 2027, they expect BTC to potentially fall toward $50,000, signaling the start of a new crypto winter. 👀 Long-term outlook remains speculative, but the chart suggests a classic boom-and-bust cycle 🎢📉

📉 James Wynn claims Bitcoin is heading down to $67,000 — sounds scary, right? But there’s one tiny detail: Wynn has already earned himself the reputation of the “Jim Cramer of crypto”. His forecasts tend to work… in reverse. The man has been liquidated 25+ times just this month, so traders are joking that his bearish call might actually be the most bullish signal of the week 🤣

Eric Trump gave a tour of the American Bitcoin mining facility, of which he is a co-founder. 🛠 According to Trump, they control 2% of the global hash rate. 🧐

📉🇺🇸 Interesting observation: Almost the entire Bitcoin decline since October 10 has been driven by U.S. trading sessions. While Asia and Europe showed more balanced or neutral flows, the American sessions consistently added selling pressure — effectively shaping the whole downside move. Whether it’s macro fear, ETF outflows, or simply U.S. traders hitting the panic button more aggressively, the pattern is hard to ignore. 🧐 If sentiment flips in the U.S., the trend could change just as fast. 🚀

🔎 On-chain data shows that the most recent market dump reshuffled 5.8% of the entire Bitcoin supply into new hands. 👏 Such large-scale redistribution typically happens during periods of capitulation, when weaker holders sell and long-term or higher-conviction buyers step in. Historically, these phases often mark key turning points in market cycles — though it may take time before the trend becomes clear. 👀

Bitcoin Block Took 17 Minutes to Mine Yesterday 👀 Miners unusually spent 17 minutes finding a new BTC block instead of the usual ~10, sparking discussions across the network. Such delays aren’t unheard of: • One of the longest confirmed intervals was 85 minutes. • Other documented cases stretched to 2 hours 19 minutes. • The ultimate record remains between the Genesis block and block #1 — over 5 days. Long block times typically happen when the hashrate drops, meaning fewer miners or temporarily disconnected hardware, slowing down the discovery of the next block.

🍷 BTC Open Interest Shows the Sharpest 30-Day Drop of the Cycle Bitcoin’s open interest has just recorded its steepest 30-day decline of the entire cycle — a level last seen only during the 2022 bear market, according to CryptoQuant. The sharp reduction in positions, especially on Binance, signals a major market “flush”: traders are closing losing positions, cutting leverage and reducing exposure after weeks of sell-offs and liquidations. 👀 Historically, such deep cleanup phases often appear near market bottoms and create conditions for the next stage of recovery in the bullish trend. 🐃

🔮 A Polymarket trader is farming near-riskless profits On Polymarket, users spotted a trader with an almost 100% win rate. His strategy is extremely simple: he enters markets in the final seconds, when the outcome is already essentially decided, but there’s still a tiny “inertia yield” of 0.1–1% left. 💰 According to his profile, Sharky6999 has made ~$113K in the last month using these micro-trades, and over $425K since the start of 2025 — while also holding several larger positions earning 30–40%. Sometimes the best alpha is just pressing the button at the right second. ⏳🧠

🪒 Wall Street Cuts $5.4B in Strategy (MSTR) — Pressure Intensifies Several major institutions — including Capital International, Vanguard, BlackRock, and Fidelity — collectively slashed their Strategy (MSTR) positions by ~$5.4B in Q3 2025, each reducing exposure by more than $1B. 🙀 Over the past month, Strategy’s market cap has already fallen 41%. 📉 Even internally things look shaky: EVP Shao Wei-Min sold 58,004 MSTR shares worth $13M in the past 10 days. 👀 Concerns are escalating as Strategy may be removed from major stock indices, forcing index funds to sell and increasing market pressure. Supporters of BTC and Strategy are now calling to boycott JPMorgan, which highlighted the potential exclusions. Strategy appears to be walking on thin ice — and the market is reacting accordingly. ⛸

💸 Winklevoss Brothers Keep Moving Bitcoin Out 🔍 Throughout all of 2025, funds have been actively flowing out of the Bitcoin address linked to the Winklevoss brothers — and the outflows have only accelerated over the past month (Arkham). The twins, early crypto pioneers and founders of Winklevoss Capital, have already realized over $1B in total profits from their BTC holdings. 💰 For now, it looks like the trend continues: steady, increasing withdrawals from one of the industry’s most iconic whale wallets.

🐻 Market sentiment turns extremely bearish Social sentiment around Bitcoin plummeted this weekend to its lowest level since December 11, 2023 (according to Santiment). 🧐 Across X, Reddit, Telegram and other platforms, retail traders appear to be capitulating, and panic-selling has reached levels not seen in almost two years. 📉 But there are early signs of stabilization: 🔹 Bitcoin has recovered back to ~$86,000 🔹 Growth is slow, but still better than further decline 🔹 The Fear & Greed Index has inched up — though it remains in Extreme Fear at 19 Historically, extreme fear often signals that the market may be near exhaustion of sellers. Let’s see if this becomes another turning point. ⏳

🍔 Here’s what the Bitcoin Burger menu from Steak ’n Shake looks like Steak ’n Shake has rolled out a special Bitcoin Burger, leaning fully into crypto-culture. Their promo slogan: “you wish you had three hands” — hinting at just how stacked this burger is. 😉 Crypto-themed fast-food marketing is clearly not slowing down. Who knew the next bull signal might come from a burger joint? 😄🍔

🍔 Zcash Forms a McDonald’s Pattern — Crashes Back to $500 Zcash just repeated its classic “McDonald’s pattern” on the chart — a sharp pump followed by an equally sharp dump. The coin was slammed back down to $500, erasing the recent spike as quickly as it appeared. ZEC once again proves its reputation as a volatile asset where every rally ends up looking like a fast-food logo 😁

📊 Despite massive FUD around Strategy and Saylor, demand is rising Even with all the panic and negative sentiment surrounding Strategy, the company just posted a 50% weekly increase in sales of its fixed-income, Bitcoin-backed credit products. 🧐 In other words — while everyone screams doom, institutional buyers are quietly loading up on Saylor’s BTC-collateralized yield instruments. 💰🚀

Strategy Faces Possible Index Removal 🙀 According to Bloomberg, Michael Saylor’s Strategy Inc. is at risk of being excluded from major indices like MSCI USA and Nasdaq 100 — a decision is expected by January 15, 2026. ⏳ Over the past six months, BTC fell ~23%, while Strategy’s stock dropped ~57%. 📉 If removed, the company could face $2.8B in outflows from MSCI-linked funds and up to $8.8B if other index providers follow. Despite growing pressure, it’s unlikely Saylor will sell BTC — the company can still rely on refinancing or issuing new debt backed by its Bitcoin reserves. But given current market conditions… anything is possible. 👀

🚀 Bullish signal for crypto? Jim Cramer has declared that “something is clearly wrong with Bitcoin,” judging by its current price. He also believes many investors should exit their positions. 🧐 But the crypto community views this as a contrarian bullish indicator: Cramer is famous for his reverse predictions, which often precede market moves in the opposite direction. Is this another classic “Inverse Cramer” moment? 📈

🤔 CEO of CryptoQuant on the current BTC cycle • Classic cycle theory suggests Bitcoin could retrace to $56K, but this scenario is unlikely because large holders are not selling. • From an on-chain cycle perspective, the bull market officially peaked when BTC hit $100K. • The current price zone looks attractive for long-term spot accumulation. • Macro conditions and the need for fresh liquidity injections before mid-next year may support the market and improve sentiment at any moment.

🚫🐳 Whales Have Left the Market 🔎 According to on-chain data (CryptoQuant), whale activity has collapsed — the big players have essentially left the market, and exhausted retail demand is pushing BTC lower. 📉 Without a rebound in institutional or retail inflows, Bitcoin is likely to remain under heavy pressure. Everyone’s gone… and the only ones still selling are those who still have something left to sell 🥴