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Today’s ETF
HDFCSML250
Incase you haven’t watched ETF Trading Monthly Income Strategy Video,Kindly Watch Now
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Good Morning Everyone
Major Market Sentiment
The overall market structure remains strongly bullish. The huge bounce seen on Friday, recovering nearly 60% of Nifty’s fall and 70% of Bank Nifty’s entire weekly fall, is a clear sign of strength. Bank Nifty is categorized as "extremely bullish" above the 58700 level. The core plan should be "Buy on Dip".
Important Support and Resistance Levels (Nifty Focus)
• Intraday Long Breakout: Look for a strong 15-minute closing above 26200 to plan buying.
• Key Dip Accumulation Levels (Long Plan): 26131, 2685, and 2650.
• Short Plan Confirmation: Only consider shorting below 2630 for extra confirmation.
Key Index/Sector Focus Areas
Nifty and Bank Nifty are the focus. Bank Nifty remains extremely strong, proving its "ferocious" trend following. If shorting is necessary, it is recommended to plan trades in Nifty rather than Bank Nifty.
Important Global Cues & Data Points
• RBI Rate Cut: The RBI implemented a 25 basis point rate cut on Friday, heavily impacting the market positively.
• India-US Trade Talks: Finalization or clarity on trade talks expected around December 10th. Positive news here could significantly "pump" the market.
• Global Close: US markets closed strong on Friday. GIFT Nifty is trading at 26,332 145 points above previous close.
Essential Things Traders Must Keep in Mind
1. Confirm the Move: Today's movement will clarify if the Friday bounce was solely news-based or the beginning of a larger momentum. If the move continues, expect a very positive week.
2. Longs on Dips: Be ready to accumulate longs on any dips, even if Nifty sees a further 200–400 point drop (worst case scenario, this is an accumulation area).
3. Selective Shorting: Avoid aggressive shorting in the current bullish environment; if required, plan short trades selectively in Nifty and only below the defined levels.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital.
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Friday's Sharp Upmove Because of RBI Meet & Closing Indicates a Single Side Move Tomorrow 👆👆
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Good Morning Everyone
Major Market Sentiment
The overall market structure remains positive, though the current movement is characterized by a lack of momentum and a "tug-of-war" around the 26,000 level. Price action suggests a potential bullish bias, with current scenarios indicating an aggressive upside momentum could develop, possibly catalyzed by today’s events.
Key Index/Sector Focus Areas
Bank Nifty will be the index on the radar today, as the RBI Policy Meeting is expected to heavily impact banks and cause potential misalignment in movement compared to Nifty.
Important Support and Resistance Levels
* Nifty Long: Plan above 26,090 (with a strong 15-minute closing candle).
* Nifty Short: Plan below 25,900 (with a negative 15-minute closing candle).
* Bank Nifty Long: Plan above 59,550 (with a strong 15-minute closing candle).
* Bank Nifty Short: Plan below 58,960 (with a negative 15-minute closing candle).
* Positional Bank Nifty Accumulation Levels: 58,723 and 57,865 (in case of a large dip).
Important Global Cues, News, or Data Points to Watch
* RBI Monetary Policy Meet: This is the key event today.
* RBI Outcome: Expected impact/news flow around 10:00–11:00 AM. A rate cut is anticipated, which could be taken positively by the market.
* US Markets closed positive and GIFT Nifty is at 26,171 trading 137 points above previous close.
Essential Things Traders Must Keep In Mind
1. Intraday trades must be exited on the same day; avoid converting them into swing or BTST positions.
2. If the market sees sharp selling or reversal, especially in Bank Nifty, do not panic if you are a positional trader, as dips to the accumulation zones could be good long opportunities.
3. Due to the major event, be prepared for both upside and downside volatility and manage your risk carefully.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital.
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Tomorrow is Rbi monetary policy & Tomorrow's meet impact will be huge on Banknifty & Nifty & Here is how i will position myself👆👆
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