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2025 年数字统计snowflakes fon
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$BTC UPDATE $USDT.D is now back at support which is alow the major swing, if we break and close a daily candle below this low, it'll be considered a BOS and price on Bitcoin chart will most likely move towards $126K but for as long as we are sitting at this support on $USDT.D, chaces are we'll have a move towards $112K eventually. Rest of the things remain pretty much the same as the last update. If you are thinking about going long on Bitcoin, this is not the right region to do so as we are at support on $USDT.D, short on the other hand is not a good decision strategically but still because of the support will give you a far more better RR in this scenario. Keep an eye on 4.40% resistance and 4.22% support. Flip of any of these levels is going to be the best trigger.
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$BTC UPDATE There was no 4H close above the 4.43% resistance on $USDT.D and hence the price rejection. It's sitting in the middle of nowhere right now with increased probability that it will revisit the support at 4.22% making the price on the Bitcoin chart go back towards $123K. Important thing is that we have only tapped 161.8% level for now and in most cases price would go upto 170.50% extension meaning towards $125K or possibly a wick into $128K aswell and will take several times before a move towards $108K happens. Best thing here is to play level by level using $USDT.D chart, any support bounce is short trigger on $BTC and any resistance retest is long trigger on Bitcoin. Any reclaim of resistance is also a short trigger for $BTC (the reason I'm recommending to use $USDT.D chart as a reference point is because levels are unclear on Bitcoin chart).
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$ETH/USDT LONG Entry Point: Entry: Market Price ($3046) DCA Level: $2811- 50% Stop Loss: Stop Loss: Hard Stoploss at $2672 Target: Final Target: $5K Leverage: 5x - 8x Reasoning: Daily Support Retest + 1D 12 EMA Support + Bullish Structure + 1D QVWAP. High Conviction Play. Rating: This setup is rated 8/10
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$BTC UPDATE Since some of you asked the reason I came up the $123K - $125K rejection or resistance point on Bitcoin chart, it was simply using the Fib level for the impulsive wave starting from $93K and ending at $112K on daily chart. The retracement wave for this impulse resulted in price bounce at 0.618 ($100.5K) and $98.2K (0.705) and so it's a good fractal and I simply just extended that fractal to come up with 161.8% ($123K) - 1.705 ($125K) price targets. If we use the same strategy on the impulse from $98.2K - $123K then you will sooner or later see price drop down to $108K (90% confirmed) and then $105K which will be a great opportunity to buy Bitcoin. Finally, in terms of S/R levels, I'm interested in buying or going long at $112K as it's previous ATH and a good support aswell and should function the same way as $74K did earlier.
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$BTC UPDATE As explained in the update yesterday, there was a 75% chance that price would continue with bullish momentum towards $123K - $125K. Now that we touching these price levels remember that it's a big resistance for Bitcoin and won't be easy to go past these levels. $123K - $125K is the 161.8% - 170% Fib level zone for the large daily fractal due to which we had a bounce at $100.5K (0.618) and then at $98.2K (0.705) and if you extend/invert these levels then you'd understand why I have been always talking about $125K because now we are at 161.8% Fib level. On top of that, $USDT.D is back at this 4H support after 03 Feb and this exactly was predicted during the last update that there will be move downside towards this update. Based on the update yesterday, if you did long Bitcoin around $117K then it's time to take some profits off your position.
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Now there are 75% chances that we'll be continuing with the same momentum towards $123K and $125K where you can expect a major retracement but let's talk about the other 25% which is the possibility of a retracement towards $112K. Now, not only $112K a previous ATH and hence a strong support but also aligned perfect with first resistance retest of 4.64% level on $USDT.D chart. Now, you have a choice to buy today and ride upto $125K or wait and expect a retracement towads $112K and then buy. Do not ever think that price won't come back, yes it will always because previous ATHs are good support levels. When we had a massive breakout above $73K and price went to $108K, people thought it would never come back but it did and that was your biggest opportunity, same is true for $108K - $112K levels.
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$BTC UPDATE Good Morning all. Hope you all had a nice weekend. $USDT.D is currently in middle of S/R level at 4.42-4.38% level and today's daily candle close is going is to define where we are headed in the next week. First of all, we already have an absolutely bullish weekly candle closing comimg in the next few hours, so one thing is for sure that sooner or later we are headed towards $123K - $125K because that is where the 161.8% and 165% Fib level are on the Bitcoin chart. Now, the reason why price is stalled a little bit is First because of weekend and low volumes, second because we are right at 127% Fib level which only gives a small reaction and finally it's very common gor price to get slow a bit after an impulsive move in one direction.
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$BTC UPDATE Trendline breakouts never fail right? Been mentioning since last few updates that we will eventually lose this trendline and whenever that happens, it's going to be a historic break. Now, two important developments have happened in the last 24 hours. First, finally there is a CHOCH or MSS on the $USDT.D chart which means it's no longer bullish and any retracement on Bitcoin is now a bullish retracement and hence a very good opportunity to buy. Secondly, we are sitting a very crucial support on $USDT.D meaning Bitcoin is at resistance, but just one 4H close below this support on $USDT.D and there will be another impulsive wave towards $125K which in my opinion is only a matter of time now.
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$BTC UPDATE Though it's very common for sell walls to be present around the all time highs and for price to take some time to go past these levels but let's hope this is not an SFP because it has all the signs of being one and if it's one, then we are cooked. Problem with SFP in a strong trend is that you are required to go against the trend but the good part is that it gives you tight fixed invalidation.
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RWA.C UPDATE Market capitalization of RWA tokens is having a big trendline breakout and that's how you are seeing coins like $XLM and $HBAR are on the move. During our last update on sector rotation, we talked about rotation into memecoins which had a very similar trendline breakout ultimately resulting in coins like $BONK, $FLOKI and $SPX make big moves. Now, there is going to be a clear rotation from memecoins to RWA coins for the next few days. Keep an eye on RWA basket, a clear trendline breakout is all you need to look for on these charts. $XLM already made a huge move, though not an RWA coin in a traditional sense but is used to tokenize RWAs. With that being said, $SPX is the only memecoin I am looking at for now which I believe is going to outperform the rest of memecoin sector.
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$BTCDOM UPDATE $BTCDOM finally had a break below this ascending trendline (where there is a trendline, there is always breakout). As I mentioned in my last update on $BTCDOM, this break will eventually trigger $OTHERS.D and $TOTAL3 to give breakouts above their respective trendline which is happening right now. There is plenty room for $BTCDOM to go down, eventually towads the support at $5000 level. Now that $5400 - $5500 level is a resistance, any retest is a solid opportunity to go long on altcoins. This is most likely the start of a small altcoin run that I have been talking about since the end of May.
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$OTHERS.D UPDATE $OTHERS.D is finally breaking out of this falling wedge, we already have multiple 4H candle closes above this trendline confirming the breakout. The reaction so far has been a little bit muted because of Bitcoin not moving much but this is the time for mid and low caps to rise and shine a little bit till we get to the resistance at 7.32% level.
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$BTC UPDATE $USDT.D trading in a limbo getting rejected at 1D 12 EMA and AVWAP. Nothing much has changed since the last update and all the variables are still in play. One important point is the price on Bitcoin chart has retested AVWAP one time around $105.2K which gave a push towards $110K eventually and right now, AVWAP is at $106.1K. So, in short if you are not long yet, $106.5K retest remains a good opportunity to get into one because of deviation below that level and AVWAP. The best bull case scenario for $BTC here is if $USDT.D would lose this ascending trendline and ultimately this 1D support too.
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$OTHERS.D UPDATE $OTHERS.D has been trending donward within this descending channel since mid of May. Currently, we are at the peak of volatility exhaustion with a tight, range bound base at the 6.96% support. There have been multiple attemps past few days to break out of this falling wedge channel but we have not seen any meaningful daily candle close above the trendline. If a breakout has to happen, this is the perfect scenario because once we lose this support, next support is at 6% level with price going down there being a bloodbath for altcoins. Even if we break out of this channel, with next resistance at 7.4% level, there is not going to be any structure shift on this chart and there are no signs of one to happen as of yet. At this point, it would only happen if we get a daily close above 7.87% which a really long shot. In short, with this breakout you may see a small rally in the altcoin market yes, but not something you all have long awaited for, which is a full altcoin season.
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$BTC UPDATE During our last detailed update, we discussed how market structure was bullish on the daily chart of $USDT.D but at the same time, because of the big ascending trendline, possibility of a downside breakout was increasing which is the only bullish case for Bitcoin at the moment. Now, there is not just one trendline but another perfectly symmetrical descending trendline aswell which makes this a symmetrical triangle which most of you would already know is a neutral pattern until a breakout happens (up or down). One thing is for sure that due to the volatility compression we have seen for over a week, this breakout above or below is going to result in a big move meaning if you are caught on the wrong side of it, may not be a good idea.
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$ARB UPDATE $ARB just filled the Entry! Sitting at daily support, looking solid.
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