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$BTC UPDATE
Good decision to remain patient here. $113.5K remains a key level to reclaim and so far, I don’t like the reaction we have seen at $112K support. It has been a slow chop past 2 days. Two important POIs are $110.5K level and $106K level. Second one obviously is far more important because of the daily 0.705 Fib level and for the first one, it’s just the 0.65 Fib level for smaller upside internal wave structures.
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$BTC UPDATE
Closed my bitcoin long yesterday after the daily close below 1D QVWAP. You can see that stablecoin dominance is at a level where it got rejected multiple times between August 29 and Sept 7 but this is exactly what makes this area no useful to us because it has retested multiple times already which is basically the same as $112K level.
8.3% is the next major resistance where we will take a long on bitcoin and 7.8% is the support for index where a possible shorting opportunity could arise. In the middle of it, I don’t see any solid opportunity as of now.
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$SUI LONG
Placing the limits for $SUI long at $2.9649 with DCA at 2.7584 and hard stoploss at $2.6028. High probability setup, rating it at 7/10, very similar to the limits we placed on $LINK, had to wait a month or so but was indeed the right decision. Looking at the 0.705 retest here to go long.
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$BTC LONG
Setting $BTC long to close breakeven. Daily close is obviously going to happen under 1D QVWAP and there is a chance we sweep $110K level due to 0.65 Fib level. Will see how things are looking again after the daily close.
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$OTHERSBTC UPDATE
$OTHERSBTC also back at support after the trendline breakdown and double top formation at resistance. This support though has been retested quite a few times in the past but expecting it to hold here for some time followed by a bounce towards the neckline of the double top at $0.13822 atleast.
I will be sharing a few charts that look good during this dump and you can pick up.
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$OTHERS.D UPDATE
$OTHERS.D finally breaking below the trendline forming a double top at resistance + 1D YVWAP. The good thing about ascending trendline breaks is that you know it will happen sooner or later, and once price hits a higher timeframe support, provides a good long opportunity too during flash crashes. So, 7.69% is a crucial level as $OTHERS.D as it has bounced at this level multiple times in the past, so expect a short term move towards 8% - 8.2% resistance.
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$BTC UPDATE
Filled on $BTC long, average is $112.9K. The trendline breakdown was the main reason for this flash crash, trendline breaks are 90% of the times always extremely impulsive ones. Been pointing out since last few days that main concern for bitcoin and altcoins remains these ascending trendlines.
Price is right now under 1D QVWAP which is present around $114.7K, so really important how this daily close happens. If the daily close is below 1D QVWAP, then would be a bad sign and we can expect a further decline in price towards 0.705 Fib level around $105K - $106K region.
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$BTC LONG
Placing the bitcoin long limit at $113.8K with DCA at $112K and stoploss is manual 1H close below $110.7K. Targeting the retest of 1D QVWAP which could happen during volatility.
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$OTHERS.D UPDATE
Most people are happy that $OTHERS.D is holding at the trendline which could be good for altcoins but those who trade trendline know already that it’s not a good sign. With price on bitcoin chart going up, alts may remain relatively stable but if any downside move happens on bitcoin chart, reaction will be worse with altcoins. So, going into FOMC, I’m slowly going to derisk my long positions that I have open. Also, if bitcoin was looking bearish to me, I would have loved to short some alts considering this trendline on $OTHERS.D but as I stated earlier, bitcoin is looking good to me in terms of consolidation under resistance.
Nevertheless, the purpose of this update is to let you guys know that $OTHERS.D is not in a very good shape.
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$BTC UPDATE
While $USDT.D perfectly retested the resistance, $STABLE.C.D narrowly missed the 7.74% level I have been looking at. Bit unsure at this point if the retest already happened or there will be another one but the safest bet is to wait for $STABLE.C.D to tap atleast 7.74% to go long on Bitcoin.
Mentioned this in my friday update and saying this again, there is no need to be bearish here, price is trading above 1D QVWAP which is at $113.8K and a maximum pullback imo could be down to this level and the way price on the bitcoin chart is holding under the $116K resistance, it is strong signal of bullish consolidation under resistance which almost always leads to a breakout. So, I’m in no mood to place any short bets.
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$BTC UPDATE
As mentioned in the last update on Friday, a small rejection at $116K is expected mainly due to deviation above resistance on bitcoin chart and deviation below support on the $STABLE.C.D chart which is also giving the first retest at the support but again, RR is not good enough to build a short here.
Now, at the same time, $STABLE.C.D is heading for the first retest of resistance which is around 1.2% up and so, on the bitcoin chart, I am looking to enter a long around $113.5K - $114K level which is also where 1D 12 EMA and 1D QVWAP is present. Have set the alerts at resistance on $STABLE.C.D to execute this long.
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$BTC UPDATE
Bitcoin daily close above the 1D QVWAP, finally the level is fully reclaimed. If anyone wants to go long, enter at $114K, stops below swing low around $109.5K and target new ATH. Price just finished the retracement at 65% Fib level. I would still keep my long limits at $106K (0.705 Fib) just in case. Apart from that, strong bullish signal with this daily close above the most important dynamic level on the chart. Any retest of this level now at $103.5K is a solid opportunity to go long.
Do not expect price to just go up to $124.5K in one candle ofc, there is some resistance around $116.5K zone also, so best play level by level. I had said already looking at the reaction at 1D QVWAP that price most likely is going to reclaim this level and hence I am mainly focused on taking longs.
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$OTHERS.D UPDATE
$OTHERS.D is still at resistance but if Bitcoin manages to close daily above 1D QVWAP, that’s an easy pump for altcoins and wouldn’t take long for $OTHERS.D to reclaim this resistance which is a good thing since we can immediately position into longs without waiting any further.
As long as price is trading under resistance, there is no reason to say be overly bullish but as I mentioned about bitcoin also, I am assuming, we are about to reclaim resistance on both of these charts and hence more focused on altcoin longs and red button completely disabled till FOMC.
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$BTC UPDATE
Do not want speculate here since price has just been moving in the same range but the way we keep retesting the 1D QVWAP, a breakout is possible. Now, if you look at historical reaction of price at this dynamic level, it’s actually quite the opposite, more bearish retests ultimately result in a bigger rejection but I don’t think it would be a decent idea to keep any long term bearish bias going into FOMC. I would slowly start to wind up any short positions I have open going into FOMC.
Also we have PPI release later today (1:30 PM UK TIME), so it’s again either a big rejection or reclaim most likely today.
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$OTHERS.D UPDATE
OTHERS Dominance after a long period of consolidation has finally reached the resistance at 8.2% - 8.3% level. Crucial level to flip for alts to continue this bullish momentum but also a sign of caution. Bitcoin is at resistance and so is $OTHERS.D and the last time we traded above this 8.3% level was back in May. I’m going to mainly confirm rely on 4H close to confirm the breakout and already have a few pairs I’m looking at to go long.
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$BTC UPDATE
Price retesting the 1D QVWAP one more time, major resistance here and a deciding moment. Daily close above and we’ll long towards $116K - $117K. Rejection means another move back down to $110K. If you are being really bullish right now, remember that we are still directly under resistance.

