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#BTC formed dragonfly doji in daily TF, and in H4 its turning bearish now. Still caught up in a range now, just moving back & forth, other market moving good, gold making new ATH, but only crypto is holding back now. Let see if we can see some rally in this mark as well.
#ACT/USDT
Target №4 - ✅
Mark price - 0.03845
Profit - 125%+
#AWE/USDT
Target №5 - ✅
Mark price - 0.060171
Profit - 120%+
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Conclusion: a likely rally in risks on expectations at the beginning of the year, fixation on the facts of QE and the rate in the summer.
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🌐Hidden QE, inflation, Fed rate
I've prepared a chart for you, which will form the basis of the investment strategy for 2026.
📈The Fed started buying Treasuries for $40 billion per month in December 2025 — officially, this is reserve management, but in fact, we understand that this is hidden QE. QT ended, the balance is growing, banks expect $30–45 billion per month throughout 2026.
📈The rate — one or two cuts in the spring-summer, core PCE inflation will drop from 2.4% to 2% by the end of the year.
📝What's on the chart:
📈Columns: volumes of Treasuries purchases according to bank forecasts — $30 billion from March (Deutsche Bank), $45 billion in the first half, then $25 (Bank of America), an average of $35 billion throughout the year. Liquidity peak in Q1-Q2.
📈The blue line on the right: the rate — 3.5% at the beginning, minus 0.25% in March, another decrease in June to 3.0%, then a pause.
📈The orange line: PCE inflation is gradually decreasing from 2.4% to 2.0%.
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