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๐ก Following up on mentioning of #Chainalysis, above you'll all see the 2024 Geography of Crypto Report release and I highly recommend you all spending a little time to read this report, especially in your own localities ๐ก
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the-2024-geography-of-crypto-report-release.pdf6.07 MB
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๐ก The number of Digital Asset Wallets in 2024 have reached 400M with data provided by #Chainalysis ๐ก
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๐ Digital Asset Market State of Play๐
Firstly I'd like to welcome all new subscribers to the channel, pleasure to have you all here and I'll provide the best content I can for you all;
So the markets, it's been wild peaks and valleys occurring, Donald Trump becoming President Elect and the G20 presidency going to have two more very favourable countries in 2025 & 2026, but more on that later in a future post;
You've all just witnessed what fomo *fear of missing out* in real time, November has been a very positive month for the digital assets industry, however this does not mean there is an Alt Season and/or Bullrun is happening currently, what we are in, is a bull trend which I explain the difference below:
The difference between a Bullrun and a Bull Trend is the following:
๐ A Bull Trend is when expecting prices of assets to rise over a certain period of time;
๐ A Bullrun is when these following events are happening at the same time:
โซ๏ธ Continuous upward movement in the prices of cryptocurrencies;
โซ๏ธ High Trading Volumes: Increased participation in the market, leading to higher trading activity;
โซ๏ธ Increased Investor Optimism: A general sense of confidence among investors, encouraging more buying;
Bull Trends can vary in momentum in the shape of institutional capital and retail captial investors being engaged in the markets, so not all Bull Trends are the same and that applies to Bull Runs too. History can only provide a base and analysis on the event past market events in the digital assets industry, so don't expect them to be the same as past runs;
So back to the current markets, after Bitcoin $BTC hitting a all time high of $99.6K on November 22nd, Bitcoin has fluctuated in price between $91K and $98K respectively upto the 3rd December as data shows;
During the month of November, daily realised profits have dropped significantly with the peak being $481M in a day on November 16th to the December 3rd lows of $227M in a day resulting in a 42% drop from November 16th. This signals from the drop in this activity, is suggesting that the market has entered a consolidation phase;
Data provided by Glassnode:
https://glassno.de/49jwGg8
Data sourced from The Bull Telegram
https://t.me/thebull_crypto
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/evening Koikasians where ever you are all located in the world ๐
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๐ก Top Governments by $BTC Holdings courtesy of #dropstab which to date works out at 2.43% of the current Bitcoin supply ๐ก
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๐ก Why Polls on TVL *Total Value Locked* ๐ก
Firstly I'd like to give a warm Babylon welcome to all the new subscribers who've recently joined. To put it simply, I provide the intelligence and data, only YOU can put what you learn into actions, I'll help where I can in advice and guidance and the more you put in and be active within Babylon and our community chat channel t.me/BoKois, the more you'll get out of being a subscriber;
Next I'd like to thank all subscribers who've participated in voting in the latest 2 polls, like with anything I post here, there is always a reason why posts appear and it's only to benefit you all *Koikasians* in learning and developing a deeper understanding in the digital assets industry;
So why TVL focus your all wondering....the primary purpose is to find the blockchains with the most potential in the industry, whether there in the Top 10 or below, focusing on established chains like for example Arbitrum and Ethereum isn't beneficial for both mine and your time as both blockchains have developed to a point of being a Top 5 blockchain in this statistical analysis and the returns for these chains would more likely be lower than focusing on potential blockchains to gain market sector slice of the consistant users who use blockchain technologies;
If you've got any questions, please ask them in the Koikasians Community Chat: t.me/BoKois and I'll get back to you as soon as I can;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/evening wherever you are located in the world ๐ก
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Following from last poll, which of those blockchains is currently leading in TVL *Total Value Locked*;
Total Value Locked (TVL) is calculated by summing up the value of all assets staked or locked in a DeFi platform.Anonymous voting
- Ton $TON
- Optimism $OP
- Sui $SUI
- Near $NEAR
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Most Undervalued Blockchain???Anonymous voting
- Sui $SUI
- Ton $TON
- Near $NEAR
- Optimism $OP
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๐ก Today's market analysis brought to you by CMC Academy;
https://coinmarketcap.com/academy/article/cmc-market-pulse-price-discovery-uncharted-waters ๐ก
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๐ก Market weekly overview brought to you by #dropstab, week ending the 15th November 2023 ๐ก
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๐ก Avoid the 'Meme' sector and I advise you all to start planning ahead in this cycle which I'll help with, any questions will be answered in t.me/BoKois ;
There is fomo and frenzied atmosphere currently in the industry where even established sectors are becoming saturated and reminds me of the last top being in last December, so even tho current TA is stating the trend is going to continue, do not get comfortable nor complacent as market conditions can change at a drop of a hat and catch out the retail sector, so I advise you all look over your portfolios to begin with and we'll move onto the next stages in due course;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/evening Koikasians whenever your located in the world ๐ก
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๐ก Latest #depin activities available to dive into courtesy of data from #dropstab ๐ก
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๐กEnd Trades Until Further Notice๐ก
With the US Election results incoming in the early hours UTC, I highly advised to end ALL trades until the markets settle which roughly will take a 3 to 5 days respectively;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning, afternoon, evening wherever your located in the world ๐ก
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๐ก This weeks market overview with data coming from #dropstab ๐ก
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๐ก Koi Update ๐ก
Koikasians, firstly I'd like to excuse the lack of update, BOK is alive and kicking;
The lack of communication was due to unforeseen circumstances and will make sure that I'll let you know if any breaks in communications are to happen in the future and I apologise that wasn't the case this time around and if anyone is wondering Koi is OK;
Babylon of Koi posts and content will be done differently in terms of number of posts per week/month as Koi needs to manage how many swims across the 4 oceans of the world, Koi can explore and focus on providing quality content when posts are due and are posted respectively;
Koikasians, if you've got any topics and/or research you want Koi to investigate and produce a detailed piece of content for, please let Koi know via t.me/BoKois - the Babylon of Koi Community Chat;
This is an opportunity for Koikasians to shape the content for BOK and create an impact, with the ones who participate in this process I've laid out, could have the opportunity in the future to have a guess post slot, including sharing your socials and/or sharing anything you want to share within reason. One thing BOK will be doing, is sharing the audience with other Koikasians to help them grow and blossom in the world hense the change incoming;
I've been thinking about this when I have been away and yes, fundermentally this is a digital assets community and channel, however how many people would ever have the chance to share to over 390K people globally, so this will become a platform for Koikasians to share something to the masses as if only 1 person benefits from these changes, that's the reason why;
Making a difference, creating an impact and showing to the world, being a Koikasian isn't just a word, it's a mindset;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/night whenever your located in the world ๐ก
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๐ฐ US Financial Update - Thursday 5th September 2024 ๐ฐ
Koikasians, it has been brought to my attention that the USA economy is on the brink going into a recession sooner than first thought, below I'll breakdown the reasons why this is a likely scenario taking place and explain exactly what is a recession;
๐ด What is a Financial Recession ๐ด
A recession typically comes with two quarters of negative growth. Weโre running out of time for that to happen in 2024 because the first half of the year saw positive economic;
๐ด Two Traditional Recession Indicators ๐ด
๐ด The Sahm Rule, when the three month average of USA employment rate is 0.5% higher than the lowest three month average over the previous 12 months. This rule which is simple and accurate has been applicable for every USA recession since 1949;
๐ด Treasury Yied Curve Situation, for a little over two years this has been sending out worrying signals to investors where the curve has remained inverted which means that short-term bonds yields have been higher that long-term bond yields - this isn't a normal condition and typicially indicates that investors are worried about the near-term outlook;
๐ด Current Forcasts ๐ด
๐ด JP Morgan = 35% that a recession hits before the end of 2024/45% that a recession hits before the end of 2025;
๐ด David Rosenberg - Economist = 85% that a recession will hit in 2024 using a new economic model based on National Bureau of Economic Research within a 12 month time-frame respectively;
Rosenberg states "The full model predicted the 'soft landing' we saw in 2023, but now is saying that for 2024, recession probabilities are highly elevated" back in February 2024;
โญ๏ธBelow will be a NY Times article exploring the job growth/downfall of various sectors since the pandemic:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/27/business/economy/jobs-election-county.htmlโญ๏ธ
๐ก Koi's Take ๐ก
Whether it's going to be this year or 2025, the likelyhood of a USA recession currently is averaging at over 50% using both traditional model and the new model by NBoE which is telling me that starting to save more capital than usual in terms of personal and investments is a wise thing to do and/or start thinking about saving more, plus regarding digital assets industry, start thinking about assets which provide technology and/or a service to the masses as this sector is likely to expand within the coming years respectively, the DePin sector will remain strong, however DeFi sector not so much, please bare this in mind before making any captial investment decisions, plus if you've got any questions regarding this post, please message in the Babylon Chat Channel at: t.me/BoKois;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/night whenever your located in the world ๐ก
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๐ก Koi Update ๐ก
Koikasians, due to unforeseen circumstances is the reason why there hasn't been an update since the last in on August 8th, excuse for the inconvenience caused with posts coming back including a bumper statement of address in multiple parts over a week and a introduction to $FORTA and the ways this protocol can keep your awareness and safe in the digital assets industry, the $FORTA post will be coming first and I'll announce SOA *statement of address* week when its all finalised at ready to go;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/night whenever your located in the world ๐ก
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๐ก Koi Update ๐ก
You'd all probably wondering why there hasn't been an update, while I've been getting together the information for the multi part post, the Japanese Yen domino with the ongoing threat of a USA recession just compounded the drops;and has affected all markets including traditional stocks with highest points drop since the pandemic collapse in March 2020;
So because of this event occuring in the industry, I've held back and re-evaluating and re-adjusting my statement of address to factor in this event and be able to articulate focus for Q3/Q4 2024 aswell as give you all options in the digital assets market respectively too. Expect the 1st part of BoK statement of address coming this weekend;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/night whenever your located in the world ๐ก
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๐กKoi Update ๐ก
Koikasians, expect an address to the community at the beginning of next month, this will cover a vast amount of things including assets to target for that month for short term trades and assets which have been forgotten about, however still has portential to be leading contenders within this next and possibly into next too, plus market update and my view on Q3 and Q4 2024 for the digital assets landscape;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/night whenever your located in the world ๐ก
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๐ฆญ 3 Tokens to Watch - Monday 15th July 2024 ๐ฆญ
โ๏ธ - $API3 - API3 - OEV Network Launch Event; building on Arbitrum
โ๏ธ - $CHR - Chromia Network - Official Mainnet Launch
โ๏ธ - $ARB - Arbitrum - Vesting Token Unlock, if interested advise to watch this market and once the unlocked tokens are in circulation, act accordingly if interested and invest into a position subject to your sizes and capital limits respectively;
๐ฅ Koikasians Notes ๐ฅ
Trailing doing this potentially monthly if there is enough interest in this becoming a new feature for our community;
Thank you for your time and I wish you all a smooth morning/afternoon/night whenever your located in the world ๐ฆญ
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