The Share Market Guru

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The market tone has clearly weakened. NIFTY started slipping from the higher zone and selling pressure gradually increased, with rallies getting sold into rather than attracting fresh buying. The index broke below the short-term consolidation area and drifted lower in a controlled manner, showing a series of lower highs and lower lows. Now the price moved toward the 26150-26160 zone where some buying interest finally appeared, leading to a mild bounce, but the recovery lacked strength. Overall, action reflects profit booking and cautious sentiment, with buyers stepping in only at lower levels and the market leaning slightly bearish for the rest of the session.

Today’s NIFTY session opened with volatility but saw a strong recovery from lower levels, as a sharp bearish move was aggressively bought, leading to a swift rebound. The index moved higher and tested the 26230-26240 zone, indicating short-term buying strength, but failed to sustain at higher levels and slipped back toward the 26220 area. There is mild profit booking and consolidation, suggesting that while buyers are active on dips, upside momentum is still facing resistance. Overall, the structure remains neutral to mildly bullish as long as NIFTY holds above the 26170-26180 support zone, with a decisive move above 26240 needed for continuation and a break below support indicating potential weakness.

Good Morning Everyone Major Market Sentiment The market is currently in a range-bound "traffic jam" that has persisted for two months. While the structure remains decently bullish, the environment is boring and sideways due to year-end institutional holidays and a low VIX near 10. Important Support & Resistance Levels • Nifty: Resistance at 26,200 (needs a strong 15-min green candle); Support/Dip buy zones at 26,107 and 26,028. Short only below 26,115 to fill the gap. • Bank Nifty: Resistance at 59,400; Support/Shorting level below 59,170. • Sensex (Expiry): Resistance at 88,700; Support at 88,340. Key Focus Areas Today features the Sensex Weekly Expiry (moved earlier due to the Christmas holiday). The IT sector has been the primary driver for Nifty recently; without it, performance remains sluggish. Global Cues & Data Global markets, including the US markets and Gift Nifty, are flat. Expect low volumes as institutions remain on holiday. Essential Reminders • Low Volume Trading: Trade with less quantity and avoid over-excitement in this range. • Patience is Key: Wait for random moves or spikes; forcing trades in this range will only lead to frustration. • Expiry Rule: For Sensex, hold option buys for a maximum of 30 minutes to avoid heavy premium decay. Trade with discipline, protect your capital.

Good Morning Everyone Major Market Sentiment The overall market structure remains positive, following a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. While buyers are showing strength by sustaining recent gap-ups, the market is currently range-bound. I am not overly aggressive yet, as a trending move requires a breakout beyond this range. Important Support and Resistance Levels • Nifty Support (Buy on Dip): 26,064 and 25,993. • Nifty Resistance: Expect fresh momentum only above 26,300. • Bank Nifty Long Entry: Above 59,375 (look for a strong 15-minute green candle). • Bank Nifty Support: 58,989 and 58,640. • Shorting Zones: Only below 25,700 (Nifty) or 58,750 (Bank Nifty). Focus Areas & Global Cues • Nifty Weekly Expiry: Today’s primary focus for intraday volatility. • Sector Focus: Watch the IT sector, which has shown significant strength recently. • Global Cues: US markets are currently flat; do not rely on Gift Nifty as it is often misleading. • News: Potential India-US trade deals are likely already priced into the current market reaction. Essential Reminders • Stick to Intraday: Avoid carrying losing intraday trades as "investments" or swing trades. • Risk Management: Focus on avoiding large losses to protect both your capital and your trading confidence. Trade with discipline, protect your capital.

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