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Good Morning Everyone
Here is your pre-market analysis, drawing from yesterday's discussion. Today is the Sensex weekly expiry.
Major Market Sentiment
The sentiment is strongly Bullish. The market had a good trending move and comfortably closed above 26,000. The underlying structure is "absolutely positive". Bank Nifty, which is currently making new All-Time Highs (ATH), remains a "beast" and should not be shorted.
Key Index/Stock/Sector Focus Areas
* Nifty: We are trading near the week's high and should expect an All-Time High soon. Focus remains on planning Long trades and Buying on Dips.
* Bank Nifty: Only plan Long side trades; it continues to generate alpha returns.
Important Support and Resistance Levels
* Nifty Long Breakout (Resistance): Above 26,075 (requires proper 15-minute closing).
* Nifty Buy on Dip (Support): 25,898 and 25,788.
* Bank Nifty Long Breakout (Resistance): Above 59,275 (Today's day high area).
* Bank Nifty Buy on Dip (Support): 58,771 and 58,464.
Important Global Cues, News, or Data Points to Watch
* Global markets are currently showing some pressure or fear.
* Crypto markets are experiencing selling due to global liquidity constraints and tightening money supply.
* Watch for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in December, which could ease liquidity and bring fresh money into markets.
* US markets closed positive and GIFT Nifty is at 26,107 trading 55 points above the previous close.
Essential Things Traders Must Keep in Mind
1. Wait for Confirmation: For breakouts, do not enter immediately; require a proper strong 15-minute candle closing to avoid market traps.
2. Follow the Trend: "Trend is your friend until it bends". Avoid aggressive shorting simply because the market has climbed.
3. Sensex Expiry: If trading the Sensex expiry, use a time stop-loss (30 to 45 minutes). Do not hold the trade if the move doesn't come quickly, as premiums decay fast.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital. Happy Trading Day Ahead
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We are hovering near 26000,dekhte hain kitna upar ya neeche close krte hain,Overall Longs Banknifty mein dekhna hai aur Shorts Nifty mein
Filhal as such koi news ya event hai nahi jo markets mein ek momentum laaye,Bihar election se pehle bhi aur ab bhi markets wahi hai
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Good Morning Everyone
Pre-Market Analysis Report
Major Market Sentiment
The broader Indian market is currently confused and stuck, testing patience and lacking clear momentum. While the structure for Nifty is not outright negative above a key zone, positive movement is absent. Bank Nifty, however, shows relative strength and maintains a very positive structure.
Key Index Focus Areas
* Nifty: Difficult to trade and untradeable for many. Focus on shorting opportunities if planning to trade the downside. A bearish engulfing pattern was formed on the daily timeframe.
* Bank Nifty: Preferred index for long trades. Look for trades on dips, as breakouts are generally failing in the current market.
Important Support and Resistance Levels
* Nifty Short Side: Below today's low of 25876, confirmed by a 15-minute negative closing candle.
* Nifty Dip Supports (Long Plans): 25760 and 25676.
* Bank Nifty Intraday Dip Supports (Long Plans): 58643 and 58359.
Important Global Cues and Data Points
* US Markets are closed negative.
* Gift Nifty is at 25950. 40 points above yesterdays close.
Essential Things Traders Must Keep in Mind
1. Adopt a cautious approach due to market confusion.
2. Do not trade between the defined zones; only enter trades upon reaching important levels.
3. Let the market decide at key levels (like 25865); look for positive or negative price action rather than pre-committing to a direction.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital. Happy Trading Day Ahead!
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Good Morning Everyone
Pre-Market Analysis: Nifty Expiry Plan
Major Market Sentiment
The overall market structure is bullish and positive, following a Higher Highs and Higher Lows structure on the daily time frame. Yesterday, we closed above the psychological figure of 26,000, near the day's high. The trend and strength are currently in the market’s favour, solidifying the plan to Long on Dips.
Key Index/Stock/Sector Focus Areas
Today is Nifty expiry, and a trending day is expected. Bank Nifty is a "separate beast" and has hit a new All-Time High, approaching 60,000. Traders should generally plan long trades in Bank Nifty and consider short trades only in Nifty if the opportunity arises.
Important Support and Resistance Levels
* Nifty Long Breakout: Look for a strong 15-minute green candle close above 2625 for strong upside momentum. A break above 2650 could lead to a new All-Time High.
* Nifty Short Trigger: A 15-minute negative candle close below 25925.
* Nifty Dip Supports (Long): 25856 and 25753.
* Bank Nifty Long Breakout: A 15-minute strong candle close above 58,987.
* Bank Nifty Dip Supports (Long): 58,706 and 58,629.
Important Global Cues, News, or Data Points
* Negative Global Markets: Global markets show some selling.
* Crypto Weakness: Bitcoin has seen heavy selling, recently hitting lows around $93,000.
* Fed Rate Expectation: The expected December Fed rate cut might be delayed, potentially tightening liquidity globally.
* GIFT Nifty: Currently trading at 26000, 13points above previous close.
Essential Trading Reminders
1. Wait for Confirmation: Always wait for a strong 15-minute candle close (positive or negative) before entering a trade to avoid traps.
2. Dip Strategy: Be ready to plan long positions if dips occur, especially in Bank Nifty, as the bias remains positive.
3. Index Selection: Avoid shorting Bank Nifty; reserve short plans for Nifty.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital. Happy Trading Day Ahead!
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