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π UsDollar forecast and important events this week!
Tuesday, December 02:
πΊπΈ USD - Core PPI m/m - 16:30 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - Core Retail Sales m/m - 16:30 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - PPI m/m - 16:30 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - Retail Sales m/m - 16:30 GMT+3;
Wednesday, December 03:
π¦πΊ AUD - GDP q/qy - 03:30 GMT+3;
π¨π CHF - CPI m/m - 10:30 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change - 16:15 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - ISM Services PMI - 18:00 GMT+3;
Thursday, December 04:
πΊπΈ USD - Unemployment Claims - 16:30 GMT+3;
Friday, December 05:
π¨π¦ CAD - Employment Change - 16:30 GMT+3;
π¨π¦ CAD - Unemployment Rate - 16:30 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - Core PCE Price Index m/m - 18:00 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 18:00 GMT+3;
πΊπΈ USD - Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations - 18:00 GMT+3;
A brief overview of US.Dollar:
π΅ The US Dollar has consolidated below the ascending trendline and is showing a decline. The price is approaching the support level at 99.09.
πΌ If the price fails to break this support level, a rise toward 99.51 is likely.
π½ However, if the support level is broken, the decline may continue toward 98.63.
π¬ How do you see the markets moving this week?
#weeklydigest
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π
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π₯ Bitcoin has formed a bearish flag and broken through the lower boundary, with AO confirming bearish dominance. However, the price has crossed the lower Bollinger band, and there is an imbalance at the top.
πΌ A rise above 86,500 will trigger a correction to 90,000;
π½ A drop below 85,500 will bring BTCUSD down to 83,000.
#TradeIdea
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The asset has broken through the descending trendline and is testing the resistance level at 0.6553. The price has shifted into a bullish structure.
πΌ Buy #AUDUSD only after breaking above the 0.6553 resistance level;
π― TP1: 0.6573;
π― TP2: 0.6612.
#TradeIdea
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βοΈβοΈγ½οΈπ½
π Trump said heβs chosen his next Fed chairβlikely Kevin Hassettβafter markets briefly drove the 10-year Treasury yield below 4%, with an announcement expected by Dec. 25.
πͺπΊ Euro-zone inflation holding near 2% β with November projected at 2.1% and core at 2.4% β is set to cement an ECB rate hold at the Dec. 18 meeting.
π° Bitcoin plunged over 6% to below $86,000 as December opened in a risk-off mood, extending a weeks-long selloff that wiped out $19 billion
βοΈ Airbusβs emergency A320 software recall appears contained, with most airlines completing the fix quickly β and its shares trade around β¬204.45 today.
π¬Amazon and πGoogle today launched a new multicloud service to give customers private, high-speed links between their cloud platforms β and #AMAZON shares trade at about $233.22 while #GOOGLE shares are around $320.18.
π CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 01.12.2025
πΊπΈ ISM Manufacturing PMI - 18:030 GMT+3;
#MarketNews
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π± Fear of the First Click
Many beginners face this situation: the analysis is ready, the plan is clear, the entry is obvious β yet pressing Buy or Sell feels scary. This is a normal reaction, and there are reasons for it.
π€ Why it happens
1οΈβ£ Fear of risk.
The brain protects you from losses, even when the setup is solid.
2οΈβ£ Information overload.
The more indicators and opinions, the harder it is to make a decision.
3οΈβ£ Lack of self-trust.
You have a plan, but confidence in your own skills is still low.
β How to overcome it
β’ Trade according to a clear plan.
β’ Reduce position sizes.
β’ Accept that losses are part of the job.
β’ Keep a trading journal.
βοΈ Key takeaway. The fear of the first click is normal.It fades with experience and discipline.
#Education
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π What Is an Orderblock?
An OB is:
π’the last bearish candle before a strong bullish impulse (bullish OB), or
π’ the last bullish candle before a sharp drop (bearish OB).
These zones reveal where smart money accumulated positions.
π Why It Matters
When price returns to an OB zone, it often reacts β leading to a reversal or a sharp pullback. This makes OBs powerful zones for planned entries.
β How to Trade Using Orderblocks
1οΈβ£ Identify the Orderblock
π’Look for the final opposite-colored candle before an impulsive move.
2οΈβ£ Entry Strategy
π’Classic Method: Enter around the 0.5 Fibonacci level inside the OB.
π’Stop-Loss: Place it just beyond the boundaries of the orderblock.
3οΈβ£ Extra Considerations
π’Internal OBs: Smaller orderblocks can exist inside larger ones on higher timeframes, offering additional entry points.
π’Liquidity: If liquidity sits just before the OB, the market may grab it first β increasing the probability of a strong reaction.
π Key Points to Remember
π Prefer OBs with large bodies and short wicks β avoid OBs with heavy liquidity behind them.
π If the OB has no wicks: target the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
π If the OB has long wicks: wait for a touch of the body.
π If body and wick are similar: aim for a wick touch.
π Mastering Orderblocks helps you refine your entry points, understand institutional behavior, and navigate the market with more confidence.
#Education
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π₯ XAUUSD: Cup & Handle Alert
βοΈ FBS analysts have identified a cup-and-handle pattern on the daily Gold chart, a classical bullish pattern.
A bullish breakout becomes likely if the price moves above 4200.
π― Target: 4400
π Pattern timeframe: 1D
π Sentiment: bullish continuation setup
Whatβs your view on Gold right now, guys?
#Forecast
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β οΈ Outage at CME Group, caused by a cooling issue at CyrusOne data centers, halted trading on CME Globex across FX, energy, commodities, Treasuries and equities, disrupting price discovery and hedging. CME targets near-term resolution.
#CME #Globex #USA
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ππ€πππ
π¨π¦ USDCAD in a symmetrical triangle bounced off the lower trend line. Parabolic SAR confirms the possibility of growth, and there is an uncovered imbalance at the top.
ππ€π USDCAD when it rises above 1.4050;
π― Target: 1.4100.
#TradeIdea
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πΆ EURUSD is navigating downwards within a global trendline.
The Momentum oscillator crosses the 100-line downwards, confirming a bearish sentiment.
π½ Sell #EURUSD only after a confirmed breakout below the 1.1570.
π― TP: 1.1510;
β SL: 1.1600.
#TradeIdea
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π The asset has shown growth and broken the wedge upward. The price is now testing the resistance level at 25310. If this level is broken, the upward movement is likely to continue toward 25710.
πΌ Buy #US100 only after a breakout above 25310.
π― TP: 25710.
#TradeIdea
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π The asset has shown growth and broken the wedge upward. The price is now testing the resistance level at 25310. If this level is broken, the upward movement is likely to continue toward 25710.
πΌ Buy #US100 only after a breakout above 25310.
π― TP: 25710.
#TradeIdea
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βοΈπ
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π XAUUSD bounced off the upper trend line of the symmetrical triangle and the golden Fibonacci pocket. The price also crossed the upper Bollinger Band, which makes a decline possible.
π½ We are considering selling XAUUSD if it continues to decline.
π― Target: 4130.
#TradeIdea
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π€π€π€π€
πΊπΈ Most experts expect the US dollar to weaken over the next six months. The reasons include a likely Fed rate cut due to slowing US economic growth, pressure on the regulator from the White House, and an expected easing of liquidity policy. The US Dollar Index is currently at 99.58.
π« BlackRock: Gold and BTC are the only two assets that have gained global recognition as alternative forms of money. XAUUSD is trading at 4187, while BTCUSD is at 91,347.
π© Read more news in the FBS Market News channel!
π Market Watch:
5οΈβ£ US500 +0.10%
πͺ Bitcoin -0.18%
π’ Brent Oil +0.30%
πΆ EURUSD -0.10%
π Gold +0.69%
π CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 25.11.2025
π¨π¦ GDP m/m - 16:30 GMT+3;
#MarketNews
@fbsanalytics
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π What Is the Golden Fibonacci Pocket?
π The βgolden Fibonacci pocketβ is the area between 61.8% and 65% on a Fibonacci retracement.
π§² This zone often acts as a βmagnetβ where trends pause, bounce, or fully reverse.
π How to Use the Golden Pocket in Trading
1οΈβ£ Apply the Fibonacci retracement:
Draw Fib from the swing low β swing high (in an uptrend) or vice versa.
The golden pocket is the narrow band between 61.8% and 65%.
2οΈβ£ Wait for the pullback:
Price often returns to this area before continuing the main trend.
3οΈβ£ Donβt trade blindly, wait for confirmation:
Look for:
β’ reversal candles (hammer, engulfing, pin bar)
β’ volume spikes
β’ support/resistance confluence
β’ MA200/MA50/Trendline touch
β’ RSI/MACD divergences
4οΈβ£ Enter the trend direction:
Example: If the market is in a downtrend and the price is at a pocket, look for sell opportunities.
5οΈβ£ Stop-loss placement:
A clean SL goes above 65.0% (or slightly under the lowest wick in the pocket).
If the pocket breaks, the setup is invalidated.
6οΈβ£ Risk-management = key
The golden pocket often offers high-probability entries with strong risk-reward, but only with a stop-loss in place.
π§ Pro Tip
The golden pocket becomes MUCH stronger when it aligns with:
π’ a major HTF trendline;
π’ a 4H/1D support zone;
π’ a liquidity pool;
π’ a fair-value-gap (FVG) or order block (OB);
π’ a previous breakout level.
π When multiple signals overlap β probability of reversal skyrockets.
π Example (from the picture):
β
Trend downβ price retraces β hits the 0.618β0.65 zone;
β
The price rebounded from the golden area;
β
Entry short;
β
SL above the 67.00;
β
Target: 38.2 Fibo.
πΌοΈ Simple. Clean. Repeatable.
β Write in the comments what topic you would like to discuss next time. π
#Education
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ππ€π₯Ήπ
The pair is showing a local decline, but the overall trend still remains bullish. The price is testing the ascending trendline. If resistance at 156.89 is broken, the upward movement is likely to continue.
πΌ Buy #USDJPY only after a breakout above 156.89.
π― TP1: 157.68
π― TP2: 158.93
#TradeIdea
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