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📊 Euro closes week with decline The euro (EUR) fell towards 1.16700 on Friday, recording nearly a 1% weekly loss as investors adjusted positions in response to escalating trade tensions and shifting monetary policy expectations. 👉 Possible effects for traders Trade tensions escalated over the week after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports effective 1 August and signalled 15% to 20% tariffs on most other major trading partners. Earlier in the week, the Trump administration imposed 50% tariffs on copper and Brazilian goods, heightening market concerns over potential disruptions to global supply chains and industrial demand. These measures reinforced investor caution as markets navigated an increasingly complex global trade environment. On the monetary policy front, Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts to ease the government debt burden. His comments highlighted the Fed's cautious approach against a backdrop of political pressure for monetary easing. The remarks added to the uncertainty around the regulator's policy path in 2025, as markets consider the risk of inflation against a potential slowdown in growth. U.S. economic data continued to show that the labour market remains resilient. The U.S. dollar (USD) strengthened sharply against the euro, supported by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed policy signals. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Gold rises for third consecutive session Gold (XAU) rose by over 0.32% on Thursday, driven by increased safe-haven flows amid deepening global trade tensions. 👉 Possible effects for traders Investors' concerns about the stability of global supply chains and rising geopolitical uncertainty are growing, reinforcing gold's role as a safe-haven asset. XAUUSD usually performs well in times of market uncertainty. U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports effective 1 August and indicated intentions to impose 15–20% tariffs on most other major trading partners. These measures follow earlier threats targeting Brazil and proposed duties on copper, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, adding further pressure to an already fragile global trade environment. Investors are closely monitoring potential retaliatory measures and the potential spillover effects on industrial demand and global growth prospects. Adding to the rising tensions, Trump's call for a 300-basis-point rate cut has fuelled speculation about a dovish shift in Federal Reserve (Fed) leadership next year. This rhetoric has raised market concerns about the risk of longer-term inflation expectations becoming unanchored, further enhancing gold's appeal amid potential currency depreciation and an accommodative monetary policy stance. On the data front, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report was lower than expected, underscoring the resilience of the labour market following last week's robust nonfarm payroll report. Despite strong labour data, markets continue to price in two rate cuts by the end of the year. Current rate futures indicate expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates at its upcoming meeting, keeping investors attentive to any hints of future easing amid an evolving macroeconomic backdrop. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

USDJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉 General outlook USDJPY has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours. 👉 Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 146.900. Set your stop loss at 146.540 below the previous low ($2.45 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 147.260 ($2.45 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market. @octa_analytics

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📊 U.S.–Japan trade talks stall USDJPY fell by 0.17% on Wednesday after the U.S.–Japan trade talks stalled, with key disagreements centring on Japan's protection of its domestic rice market. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. President Donald Trump recently imposed a 25% tariff on Japanese goods, effective 1 August. He explicitly ruled out any extension to the deadline, signalling a hard-line stance in negotiations. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba described the stance as 'truly regrettable' but emphasised Japan's commitment to dialogue in pursuit of a mutually beneficial agreement. A local think tank projected that new tariffs could reduce Japan's gross domestic product growth rate by 0.8% in 2025 and by 1.9% cumulatively through 2029. This underlines the potential long-term economic impact of the trade dispute. The Japanese yen strengthened to around 146.000 on Thursday, extending gains from the previous session as the U.S. dollar retreated amid a sharp decline in Treasury yields. The move reflects a broader shift in investor sentiment, with markets reducing positions in the greenback and seeking the relative safety of the yen amid global uncertainty. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Weakening U.S. dollar supports euro The euro (EUR) rose to around 1.17500 on Thursday as investors moved into riskier assets amid a broad rally in equities and commodities. 👉 Possible effects for traders Easing trade tensions and resilient corporate earnings have reduced demand for the U.S. dollar (USD) as a safe-haven asset, supporting other currencies. U.S. Treasury yields also moved lower following robust demand in Wednesday's 10-year note auction, further pressuring the greenback. The decline in yields reflects market expectations of potential policy easing and increased appetite for U.S. debt, highlighting investor positioning ahead of upcoming economic data releases. On the monetary policy front, minutes from the Federal Reserve's June meeting signalled that most officials are open to considering interest rate cuts later this year if economic conditions warrant support. The Fed maintained its data-dependent approach, carefully weighing slowing consumer activity and inflation risks linked to ongoing trade uncertainties. EURUSD continued to rise during Asian and early European trading sessions. Markets now focus on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment. Today, the U.S. Jobless Claims report at 12:30 p.m. UTC may cause volatility across all USD pairs. Stronger-than-expected figures could delay rate cuts and push EURUSD below 1.17000. Conversely, weaker-than-expected results could weigh on the U.S. dollar and lift EURUSD above 1.18000. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Tariff-related inflation risks support gold Gold (XAU) rose by over 0.35% on Wednesday. 👉 Possible effects for traders Markets remain focused on tariff demand letters from U.S. President Donald Trump, with Brazil the latest country to face steep duties on copper and other imports. The tariffs have fuelled concerns about broader trade disruptions and potential impacts on global supply chains. Meanwhile, minutes from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) June meeting revealed disagreements among officials about the timing and extent of potential interest rate cuts. While most anticipated some easing later this year, views ranged from supporting a reduction as early as July to favouring no cuts until year-end. The Fed maintained a cautious, data-driven stance amid mixed economic signals. Officials highlighted tariff-related inflation risks, slowing consumer spending, and a still-strong labour market as key factors shaping their policy outlook in the months ahead. Gold rose to around $3,320 during today's Asian and early European trading sessions. XAUUSD extended gains from the previous session as investors monitored trade developments and digested the latest FOMC Minutes. A weaker U.S. dollar also supports the precious metal, attracting safe-haven flows amid ongoing market uncertainty. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook AUDUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 0.65520. Set your stop loss at 0.65310 below the previous low ($2.10 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.65730 ($2.10 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

USDJPY, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉Level explanation USDJPY has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours. Now, the price displays a bearish Hammer pattern. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 146.310. Set your stop loss at 146.660 above the previous high ($2.74 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 145.910 ($2.74 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

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#economic_calendar This event may affect the market on 10 July. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

📊 Fed's caution tempers gold investors' enthusiasm Gold (XAU) declined by over 1% on Tuesday as a restrained dovish tone from the Federal Reserve (Fed) tempered investor enthusiasm. Although concerns over trade tensions persist, the market is reassessing the near-term outlook for precious metals amid shifting monetary policy expectations. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed there would be no extensions to the 1 August deadline, escalating trade tensions. The new tariffs include 50% on copper imports, up to 200% on pharmaceuticals, and 10% on goods from BRICS nations. These measures are likely to heighten global trade clashes and could impact supply chains across multiple sectors. At the same time, market expectations for a July rate cut by the Fed have decreased following a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report last week, which eased concerns about a significant economic slowdown. The labour market's resilience suggests that the Fed may maintain a more cautious approach, reducing the likelihood of aggressive easing in the near term. Gold stabilised around $3,300 during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Investors are now focused on June's FOMC Meeting Minutes today at 6:00 p.m. UTC. The minutes could offer deeper insight into the central bank's policy stance against a complex backdrop of inflationary pressures and trade policy uncertainty. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 EU may secure exemptions from U.S. trade tariffs The euro (EUR) rose by 0.14% on Tuesday as markets assessed the latest escalation in U.S. trade policy. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that the newly announced tariffs on 14 countries would take effect as planned on 1 August. According to EU officials, the European Union appears to have secured exemptions from the baseline 10% tariff rate. This should provide some relief to transatlantic trade flows and help reduce immediate market volatility in the euro. Further tightening the trade measures, Trump announced a 50% tariff on copper imports and signalled that additional sector-specific levies could be introduced. Particularly striking was his announcement of potential tariffs of up to 200% on pharmaceutical imports. However, these would be delayed by 12–18 months, giving the industry time to adjust supply chains and pricing strategies. EURUSD fell during today's Asian and early European sessions. Investors are now focusing on June's FOMC Meeting Minutes today at 6:00 p.m. UTC. The minutes could provide clearer signals on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory, which will be crucial in shaping the U.S. dollar's path. Key levels to watch for EURUSD are support at 1.11690 and resistance at 1.17500. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 RBA interest rate decision supports AUD The Australian dollar (AUD) gained 0.61% on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by leaving interest rates unchanged at 3.85%. The decision diverged from expectations of a potential cut, highlighting the RBA's cautious stance amid a complex global and domestic economic backdrop. 👉 Possible effects for traders The RBA's decision reflected its preference to wait for clearer signs of slowing inflation before adjusting policy further. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasised that inflation risks remain persistent, driven by high labour costs and weak productivity growth. These factors could keep inflation above current forecasts and require a longer period of restrictive policy. Adding to the cautious tone, RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser highlighted that the central bank monitors the global environment, specifically citing heightened uncertainty linked to U.S. tariff developments. The bank's attention to external risks underscores its sensitivity to global economic headwinds that could impact growth and trade dynamics. In the latest trade developments, U.S. President Donald Trump ruled out extending tariff deadlines beyond 1 August. He also announced new duties: 50% on copper imports, a potential 200% on pharmaceuticals, and 10% on goods from BRICS countries. These actions are expected to heighten global trade tensions, potentially impacting commodity flows and global inflation, factors that the RBA and markets will continue to monitor closely. The Australian dollar held steady around 0.65300 during the Asian and early European sessions. Market participants remain focused on today's release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 6:00 p.m. UTC. The release could provide further insight into the Fed's stance on monetary policy. Hawkish rhetoric will likely put bearish pressure on AUDUSD, while a dovish tone will support the current bullish trend. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

GBPUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook GBPUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.35980. Set your stop loss at 1.35590 below the previous low ($3.90 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.36370 ($3.90 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

GBPJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉 General outlook GBPJPY has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉 Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 199.730. Set your stop loss at 199.290 below the previous low ($2.99 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 200.170 ($2.99 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

‼️ Join Octa Analytics VIP Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success. To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps: 1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account. 2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot. 3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day. Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community! 💯 Limited-time offer 💯 Don’t miss the opportunity to use the BONUSVIP100 promo code for a 100% deposit bonus!

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 9 July. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!