Alex Friedman | Crypto Future
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👉 SEI/USDT
✅ Take Profit (№2)
Entry Price: (0.110700)
Mark Price: (0.11293)
Profit by signal: 100% +
👉 EIGEN/USDT
✅ Take Profit (№2)
Entry Price: (0.389200)
Mark Price: (0.397)
Profit by signal: 100% +
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↗️ RSI BTC signals a significant reversal.
The chart shows the average trajectory of BTC after the RSI falls below 30, which historically precedes a trend reversal.
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❗️Strong Bullish Convergence was formed on SEI/USDT [4H Chart]
Pump is expected.
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@Alex_Friedman_CEO
With the Fed cutting rates a third time this year, all eyes are on who the next Fed Chair will be and how divided the FOMC will be in 2026. Judging by the dot plot below, the answer to the last question is “very.” Either way, the market is expecting short rates to fall to 3.2% next year, which is near the Fed’s long-term estimate of neutral. But that interpretation of neutral assumes 2% inflation (plus 1% R-Star), and on the inflation side we are still north of that with the core PCE growing at 2.8% and Truflation at 2.6%.
In this sense it’s worth remembering that the inflation dragon has not been slayed. It went from below 2% in 2019 to 9% in 2022 and has never gotten back to below 2%, which is where it needs to go for the long-term average to revert to 2%. Did you know that the 5-year rate of change in the core-PCE is 3.8% and rising? This is at the heart of the affordability crisis evident in the consumer confidence surveys.
With the Fed announcing $40b of T-Bills purchases (which...
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🪙BTC BRIEF UPDATE
We got two rejections from the $89,600 resistance since yesterday update.
- High risk LONG — buy $85,900 support
- Mid risk LONG — buy $89,600 breakout
- Safe LONG — buy $94,500 breakout
In any other case - red scenario from the chart.
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🌵 XAU/SPX500 VISION
Not a regular chart I post here, but it seems pretty interesting at this point — Gold vs SPX500.
As you can see, Gold is ABSOLUTELY READY to outperform stocks in 2026! There is a clear Cup&Handle formed on the chart.
At the moment the index is breaking the 0.635 resistance and preparing for a massive ride in 2026. Gold is programmed to reach $5000 next year, while stocks & crypto look pretty... bad (ugly).
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👀 The crypto market in 2026: why 4-year cycles are becoming a thing of the past.
Grayscale believes that 2026 will be a turning point for the entire crypto market. The classic model of halving — bubble — crash will no longer work as it did before.
↗️ The end of 4-year cycles.
The market is gradually moving away from its rigid link to halving. Instead of sharp overheating and crashes, Grayscale expects a more sustainable bullish trend fueled by institutional money.
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