Alex Friedman | Crypto Future
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www.BestCryptoTradingSignals.com https://twitter.com/AlexFriedmanTG We provide Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Altcoin signals, futures scalps, swing trades, and risk-managed entry/exit points. Contact @Alex_Friedman
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Altseason knocking on the door? 👀
OTHERS dominance chart shows where altcoins usually bottom and where big alt cycles start.
Right now, OTHERS dominance is sitting very close to the same base zone where it bottomed in the past:
- In 2017 before the big altcoin rum.
- In 2020 before the 2021 alt season.
MACD is flattening and RSI is at historical bottom zone, similar setups in the past appeared before multi-year expansions in alt dominance.
This alone suggests altcoins are much closer to a bottom than a top.
Now let’s connect this with history.
In September 2019, the Fed clearly said it would end QT. Around the same time:
• OTHERS dominance bottomed
• In October 2019, the Fed started buying $60B per month in T-bills
• By March 2020, this slowly turned into full QE
From that point:
- Altcoins kept trending
- The cycle topped only in early 2022, when the Fed again hinted tightening
Now look at the last 4 years.
Altcoins kept falling or staying weak, even though Bitcoin went up strongly from its bottom.
The reason was simple:
- The Fed was draining liquidity
- Liquidity drain always hurts altcoins the most
But this phase is changing again.
What’s different now?
• The Fed has already started injecting liquidity again.
• T-bill buying starts now, around $40B per month.
• This is not full QE yet, but liquidity support has clearly begun.
Markets are also looking ahead.
Why?
Because, the market is expecting major liquidity catalysts.
• Corporate tax cuts are being discussed, which improves earnings and boost stock prices
• Plans like a $2,000 dividend check are being talked about, another liquidity event
• A new Fed Chair is expected, and markets see a more growth-focused approach
Even on rate cuts:
The dot plot shows only 1-2 cuts
But remember, Powell indirectly said no rate cuts for December but it happened anyway.
That happened because:
- The economy is not strong
- If the economy was healthy, the Fed would not be buying T-bills at all
This matters a lot for altcoins.
Another signal:
The Russell 2000 index just made a new high. Small caps usually move first when liquidity expectations improve
So the big picture looks like this:
- Altcoins are near long-term base levels
- Liquidity conditions have started to turn positive
- Markets are pricing more liquidity ahead, not less
This is why it’s very possible that:
• Altcoins are close to a bottom vs Bitcoin
• The real altseason starts in 2026, not before
• Similar to other cycles, we may see a good run in next 6-12 month based on how economy improves.
In normal case we expect others dominance will reach back to 12-13% which give a good alt season.
In bull case , If other.d jump towards 18%-20% in 2026, we might see biggest alts season of history.
In that phase:
- Alts can outperform Bitcoin
- And fall less than Bitcoin during pullbacks, because liquidity is improving
This isn’t about hype or the 4-year cycle.
It’s about liquidity. And liquidity always reaches altcoins early.
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Japan, a key driver of global markets, is expected to see the BoJ raise rates by 25 bps to 0.75% at its Dec. 18–19 meeting, the first hike in 11 months and the highest level in 30 years. 😳👀
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Only 10% of the top 100 tokens are green over the past 90 days. 👀
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The last three times the Stoch RSI on US10Y*CN10Y made a bullish crossover, a Bitcoin bull run followed.
The fourth just happened. 👀
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December Sale
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Japan might see its first rates increase in 11 months. First hike in 11 months signals economic confidence
This could stabilize Asia markets and attract fresh capital to risk-on assets like crypto 👀
🇺🇸U.S. Senators are pushing to finalize the crypto market structure bill before the end of 2025.
This bill will reduce market manipulation in crypto by atleast 70%. We really need it.
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🔥🔥Raoul Pal said that
2026 isn’t another year.
It’s the vertical phase.
His exact words:
“Bitcoin leads.
Ethereum follows.
Then liquidity spills into everything else and alts go parabolic.”
Timeline: 12–18 months from today.
The setup is perfect:
- Rate cuts are locked and loading
- Global liquidity is surging
- Retail is still scared and sidelined
- Institutions are quietly accumulating
First half of the bull: institutional repricing
Second half: retail FOMO into garbage
That’s when the 10–50× rotations happen in silence.
“Right now the market isn’t late.
It’s coiled like a spring.
Altseason isn’t dead.
It’s sleeping.
And 2026 is the alarm clock.
Front-run the fear.
Don’t chase the frenzy.
Position now.
Or watch from the sidelines when the rocket leaves.”
👀
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The Bank of Japan is set to hike rates next week on Dec 19th.
It's also expected that the BOJ will do more rate hikes in 2026.
Last time Japan raised rates, Bitcoin and crypto market dumped really hard. So the market is now already pricing in the negative news.
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The insider Bitcoin whale has now opened a $490 million $ETH long position.
At this point, it feels like he knows something.👀
🇺🇸The US Federal reserve will begin the purchase of $40 billion in treasury bills from today.
More liquidity is coming into the market. 🚀🚀
