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$RUT Russell 2000 update
New ATH. Entering price discovery π
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The more I look at the weekly #BTC chart, the more it reminds me of the Top in Q1-Q2 2021
Itβs literally the same topping structure π
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#BTC 1M chart
Why Iβm expecting a decent Dead Cat Bounce BEFORE going below $80k π
π EMA21 is a key Support level
When #BTC tops out and prints its first wave of a Bear Market, it usually finds Support at the EMA21 on the monthly timeframe and bounces back up π (Lower High)
After that Dead Cat Bounce the EMA21 eventually breaks and #BTC accelerates to the downside ππ
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2026 will be absolutely amazing for #Solana $SOL ππ
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$ETH 1D chart
One more dip to $2700-2800 π
Thatβs where Iβm planing to go long
π― Bounce Target: $3600-3800 (combination of MA200 & key Fib levels)
I will start a challenge. From $1000 to $100,000.
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$RUT Russell 2000 is breaking out again ππ
This is another reason why I'm still holding my $Alts
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$SUI vs $TON π§
In June 2023 $TON had a crazy flash crash followed by a 50-day decline until it reached the 0.5-0.618 Fib Zone (and then fully recovered)
That's exactly what we see on $SUI (and a bunch of other Alts) right now. Next phase is recovery
π― Target: $2.8-3.5
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#BTC 1D chart (Zoomed in) Update
Nice bounce! π π
IMO we're gonna test $85k again π
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#OTHERSBTC 1M chart | TA Picture
This picture is insanely bullish for #Altcoins
Despite the October 10 Crash, #OTHERSBTC held the Support line!
+ There's a Bullish Divergence on the MACD Histogram & MACD is printing a bullish cross π
π Selling #Alts here at the bottom of the 4-year Bear Market is a mistake.
As long as the Support holds, weβre in for a 2-3 Year Macro Uptrend on #Alts against #BTC π
#BTC Cycle Top is in. #OTHERSBTC ( #Alts against #BTC) has bottomed out. How is that even possible?
Well, actually, itβs nothing new. We had the same situation back in September 2019 π
That's when #BTC was consolidating -30% below the Top after an intense 7-month rally off the bear market bottom and #OTEHRSBTC was sitting at the cycle low.
That's exactly what we have right now, but on a bigger scale:
- #BTC was going up for much longer (35 months instead of 7 months in 2018-2019)
- #OTEHRSBTC has been going down for 4 years straight! (more than twice as long as the previous OTHERS/BTC bear market)
And one more thing - the Fed just ended QT on Dec 1, 2025 (yesterday) π
When did we have that in the previous cycle? Yep, in September 2019!
So we're in a pretty similar environment right now.
Back then #BTC had a -63% pullback while #OTHERSBTC rose by +65% (and kept going up until #BTC went parabolic from $11k to $40k)
Conclusion: #BTC has topped out like in 2019, but this time it's the Cycle Top. On October 10 $OTHERSBTC likely reached the Cycle Bottom, no more serious bleeding for #Alts against #BTC.
π Next Year I'm expecting a nasty #BTC correction (Bear Market);
π In the next 2-3 months Iβm expecting a good Bounce on #OTHERSBTC (liquidity rotation/mini Altseason) during the #BTC Dead Cat Bounce;
π In 2019-2020 #OTHERSBTC was going up (Relief Rally) while #BTCUSD was going down, so maybe we'll have the same throughout 2026.
π‘ Crazy Parabolic Phase on #Alts (the big Altseason) will only happen in the next cycle (2027-2029)
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Well well well, #BTC Longs on Bitfinex are at the highest level since April 2025 π
Big Bounce is coming π π
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#BTC 1D chart (Zoomed in) Update
Well, that was quick π
#BTC retested the $85k level as expected π
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#BTC 1M chart
This monthly close confirmed the #BTC Bear Market π
Monthly MACD crossed bearish for the first time since January 2022!
