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Conclusion: a likely rally in risks on expectations at the beginning of the year, fixation on the facts of QE and the rate in the summer.
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🌐Hidden QE, inflation, Fed rate
I've prepared a chart for you, which will form the basis of the investment strategy for 2026.
📈The Fed started buying Treasuries for $40 billion per month in December 2025 — officially, this is reserve management, but in fact, we understand that this is hidden QE. QT ended, the balance is growing, banks expect $30–45 billion per month throughout 2026.
📈The rate — one or two cuts in the spring-summer, core PCE inflation will drop from 2.4% to 2% by the end of the year.
📝What's on the chart:
📈Columns: volumes of Treasuries purchases according to bank forecasts — $30 billion from March (Deutsche Bank), $45 billion in the first half, then $25 (Bank of America), an average of $35 billion throughout the year. Liquidity peak in Q1-Q2.
📈The blue line on the right: the rate — 3.5% at the beginning, minus 0.25% in March, another decrease in June to 3.0%, then a pause.
📈The orange line: PCE inflation is gradually decreasing from 2.4% to 2.0%.
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Open long #PIPPIN 10x lev 🔼
Entry : $0.375 - $0.376
Target : 50% - 100%
Stoploss $0.35 ( -60% )
The movement of #BTC no longer has a significant mpact on altcoins. However, it's advisable to choose coins with good trading volume to avoid delisting.👌
Although BTC dropped in today, you can see that most altcoins are trading sideways, and some are even performing well 😉
Open new longs #BTC 25x lev at $88,200 - $88,300 ↗️
Open long #BTC 25x lev at $89,200 - $89,300 🔼
Target : 92,000
Stoploss below 85,000
