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Most traders are chasing profitability when they should be chasing consistency.
Profits donβt build consistency, but consistency builds profits.
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JUST IN: Bitcoin has dipped below $91,000 for the first time since April 22, reflecting a 28% drop from its all-time high. In the last seven days, total cryptocurrency liquidations have surpassed $5 billion in losses.
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JUST IN: Japan's economy contracted by an annualized 1.8% in Q3 2025, the first decline in six quarters following a 2.3% expansion in the previous period. The downturn was primarily driven by reductions in private residential investment and exports due to new factors.
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JUST IN: Trump has announced that tariff dividends will be distributed by the middle of 2026.
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JUST IN: The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged nearly 700 points as declines in the US equity markets intensified.
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β Slowly, Then All at Once
π΄ Nancy Pelosi is retiring
One of the longest-serving political power players stepping off the stage.
π΄ Warren Buffett is ending the Berkshire annual letter
The voice of βold-school marketsβ going quiet after decades of setting the tone.
π΄ Michael Burry is closing his fund
The original βBig Shortβ guy tapping out instead of trying to time the next crash.
π΄ Peter Thiel just erased his entire NVIDIA position
Silicon Valleyβs coldest reader of bubbles dumped his whole stake in one move and shifted to safer tech.
π΄ The White House says the last jobs report βwould not be released to the publicβ
When core macro data goes dark, confidence in the story around the economy takes a hit.
π΄ Bitcoin is under 100k
Flagship risk asset losing altitude right when uncertainty is rising elsewhere.
π΄ Verizon is cutting fifteen thousand jobs
Big corporate cost-cutting, a classic tell that management is bracing for a weaker environment.
π΄ Kalshi traders price a thirty percent chance of recession next year
Real-money prediction markets quietly marking up the odds of a hard landing.
Moves like this donβt pile up by accident. When the headlines start to rhyme, the cycle is already turning.β Subscribe to @trade
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π‘ Multidimensional, reality-based analysis grounded in discipline, capital management, and risk control
π― reading market structure across forex, crypto, and commodities.
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πΈ Japan Just Killed the Global Money Printer
Japanβs bond yield hit 1.71 percent, the highest since 2008. Sounds small, but this number is shaking global markets more than most people realize. The country spent decades flooding the world with near-free money, and that flow just flipped.
π Japan used to pump trillions into global bonds, keeping mortgages cheap and markets inflated
π Rising yields turned the math upside down, adding billions in interest to Japanβs own debt
π Japanese pension funds are now selling US Treasuries instead of buying
π The yen carry trade is unwinding and forcing leveraged positions to close
π Higher US yields risk hitting stocks, emerging markets and corporate credit
If Japan keeps tightening in December, markets wonβt shrug it off. The world relied on Japanese liquidity for years, and that cushion is disappearing fast. This shift wonβt stay under the radar for long.β Subscribe to @trade
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βΌοΈ Peter Thiel Just Nuked His NVIDIA Position
Peter Thiel wiped out his entire NVIDIA stake in one move. More than half a million shares gone. Zero left. For someone known for spotting bubbles before they burst, this shift is loud.
π Thiel Macro dumped 537k NVIDIA shares in Q3
π Cut Tesla by more than seventy percent at the same time
π Portfolio size collapsed from 212 million to 74.4 million
π Rotated into Microsoft and Apple instead of riding the AI hardware wave
π NVIDIA still trades far above its long term valuation norms
Palantir, a company tied to Thiel and one of the biggest AI winners this year, is soaring. Yet he still bailed on AI hardware.
Thiel has seen hype cycles turn brutal. He watched Cisco lose most of its value after the dot com frenzy. His latest move hints he sees the same pattern forming around chips and training rigs today.
With NVIDIA earnings landing soon, big money is already shifting to safety. Thiel just moved first. The signal is clear enough for anyone who wants to see it.β Subscribe to @trade
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π Key Events This Week
The US shutdown has officially ended, which means delayed economic data will finally be released. Markets now turn their focus to policy tone, labor trends, and Nvidia earnings.
Wednesday
β’ Fed Meeting Minutes.
Investors will look for clarity on rate cut timing and balance sheet plans.
β’ Nvidia $NVDA Earnings.
Implied move around 7.5 percent. With a 4.6T market cap this is roughly a 345B potential swing in value, big enough to move the entire market.
Thursday
β’ September Jobs Report.
Delayed due to the shutdown and now back in focus. Labor trends will shape expectations for future Fed action.
β’ Philly Fed Manufacturing Data.
β’ October Existing Home Sales.
Friday
β’ November Services and Manufacturing PMI.
β’ University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations.
If jobs data and PMIs come in soft, yields may ease and give support to risk assets.
A strong labor print or sticky inflation expectations could revive hawkish sentiment.
Nvidia remains the wildcard. Strong numbers could boost tech and risk appetite while a miss may trigger sharp rotations.
This week will set the tone for how markets close out November.
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Most "psychological" trading problems are symptoms of weak or ambiguous processes.
Weak process β uncertainty β stress β impulsiveness β losses β emotional damage.
Clear process β less ambiguity β lower stress β disciplined decisions β consistency.
Your inner game is a reflection of your outer process.
Your psychology canβt outperform your process.
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JUST IN: President Trump has unexpectedly directed Congress to release the Epstein files.
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JUST IN: Alphabet (GOOGL) shares surged nearly 7% in overnight trading after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway purchased $4.3 billion worth of the stock.
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π The Behavioral Gap: Why You Know One Thing but Do Another
There is always a difference between the profit you could make and the profit you actually end up with.
That space in the middle is the behavioral gap.
It forms slowly and quietly.
Every time you know the right move but choose something else.
You know a loss should be cut, yet you hold.
You know your plan matters, yet you drift from it.
The mind leans toward comfort. It feels safer to read more, analyze more, prepare more, than to put real money at risk and accept being wrong.
Meanwhile, the gap keeps widening.
Your knowledge grows, but your actions donβt.
And the market cares only about the latter.
It doesnβt reward theory or preparation. It rewards what you execute.
Closing this gap isnβt about learning another concept.
It starts when your decisions finally match what you already know.
When plans turn into action.
When discipline outweighs hesitation.
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The trader who made it failed more times than the quitter even tried.
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The market is not the problem, you are the problem.
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MAKE MONEY ON AIπΈ
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βAs soon as I fix my psychology Iβll be profitable.β- Dude who has no edge, no system, doesnβt test anything, doesnβt journal, and just draws lines on charts. β Subscribe to @trade
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