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📈 Trading TGE and Project Launches 101 Token Generation Events can look chaotic from the outside, but most of them follow familiar patterns. With $MON going live, it is a good moment to highlight how these launches usually behave. 💼 VC Coins These launches come from big raises and high valuations. They pump once on TGE and then slide for months. Charts of W, ERA, STRK and BERA show the same rhythm: early spike followed by steady bleed under constant sell pressure. If you trade them at all, treat it only as a quick early move. Long term holds do not make sense here. 🥷 Crime Coins These are coordinated launches where someone forcefully sends price up and later unwinds into late buyers. LAYER, COAI, M and MMT all followed the classic pattern of fast markup followed by a sudden collapse. They can be profitable in bullish conditions, but only with spot longs and preset sells. Short positions on these names are extremely risky. 🕯 Rekt and Reborn These projects dump hard on the first day and then stage a strong recovery once a base forms. PUMP, H and PENGU all collapsed at the start before building structure and reversing with momentum. The key is watching how deep the initial flush is and waiting for consolidation. Once selling stops, the move up can be clean. 🚀 ICO Coins with Hype Public raises with unlocks and premarket trading create chaotic TGE action. XPL, WLFI, PUMP, MON and MEGA launched with strong attention but also with heavy early selling from participants and the ecosystem. These tokens are rarely worth longing on day one. Premarkets distort price and squeezes are frequent. ✔️ Great Coins These are the rare clean launches with real demand and no VC drag. HYPE is the clearest example with strong float, strong users and a chart that reflected it immediately. There is no perfect script for TGEs, but the patterns repeat. Most new tokens drift down from the moment they launch, so treat them strictly as trades. Crime setups can help smaller accounts grow if timed well, while most other launches are better to skip.

Bagholding almost never ends well. Premarkets offer no safety either. The era of easy listing pumps has passed, so adapting to the new environment matters more than ever.

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JUST IN: Arthur Hayes has acquired a total of 331,000 PENDLE tokens valued at approximately $814,000 in recent purchases, including 218,000 tokens for $536,000 earlier today and an additional 113,000 tokens for $278,000 from Wintermute, according to data from Nansen. @cryp

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JUST IN: The Binance Wallet app now features a new "Stocks" section under the "Markets" tab on its official page, signaling support for on-chain stock trading. @cryp

JUST IN: CryptoQuant has reported a significant spike in capitulation among short-term Bitcoin holders, a pattern that historically signals impending short-term market bottoms. @cryp

JUST IN: The Texas Blockchain Council announced that Texas has become the first U.S. state to invest in Bitcoin by allocating $10 million to BlackRock's IBIT ETF. This move highlights increasing state-level adoption of cryptocurrency assets. @cryp

📈 Arthur Hayes on the Next Bitcoin Move Dollar liquidity is starting to improve. The Fed ends QT on December 1, and US banks expanded credit again in November. Hayes sees this shift supporting a sideways Bitcoin range between 80K and 90K. ➡️ What He Expects Next ● A quick move toward 80K is still possible ● He thinks 80K should hold as support ● The market likely chops through the rest of the year 🕯 How He Would Position ● Small accumulation is fine at these levels ● Keep the big ammo for early 2026 ● Wait for liquidity to properly turn before sizing up

The message is simple: expect volatility, but don’t expect a structural breakdown unless liquidity worsens again.

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📉 The Dollar Is Dragging Crypto Right Now Crypto isn’t selling off in a vacuum. The move is coming from the Dollar Index turning back up since mid September. When DXY rises, global liquidity tightens and bitcoin usually takes the hit first. ➡️ Rising dollar = pressure on BTC and alts ➡️ DXY strength has lined up with every major pullback this year ➡️ In this cycle the dollar leads and crypto reacts after If you’re a bull, the signal is simple: You want to see DXY roll over again.

Until the dollar weakens, upside in crypto stays capped.

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Crypto bros are like:

"No, I don't want a 3-5x return by buying btc"

So they take a -99% return instead. ✅ Subscribe to @cryp

📉 Navigating a Bitcoin Bear Market The market has clearly shifted into risk off mode. Bitcoin topped early, ahead of equities, and is now about 30% below its all time high. The rally window played out exactly where it should have, and now the real work begins: patience, discipline, and planning. 🧠 The mindset A bear market isn’t about hero buys or perfect timing. It’s about choosing an approach you can stick to. HODLing works if your fiat needs are met and you can stomach deep drawdowns. DCA works if you prefer steady accumulation without overthinking entries. A hybrid works if you scale in based on volatility spikes, sentiment collapses, or liquidity events. Whatever you choose, consistency matters more than precision. 🕔 Timing and cycles Bitcoin still behaves like a cyclical, time based asset built around halvings. If cycles hold, the macro bottom likely sits around early Q4 2026. This doesn’t mean you wait until then. It means you avoid rushing into full exposure too early and let time structure your expectations. If the cycle shortens, signals will show it. 💰 Parking cash while waiting While rates remain above 3 percent, safe yield exists. SGOV, WEEK, SHV and other short duration treasury ETFs act as cash alternatives. On chain options like AAVE or Kamino offer higher yield with higher risk. Some platforms pay on parked USDC. The goal is simple: preserve purchasing power while staying liquid for re entry. 🔎 Signs of a real bottom There’s never one perfect signal, but confluence gives confidence. ● time: more than nine months from the ATH ● momentum: weekly RSI under 40 and flattening ● sentiment: despair, forced sellers, big names capitulating ● events: the “FTX moment” of the cycle ● structure: reclaiming the 50 week EMA or long term VWAP ● beta: MSTR back above its 200 day SMA Bottoms form slowly. You don’t need to nail the exact day. Buying reclaim signals often beats trying to catch falling knives. Bitcoin rewards patience and discipline. It punishes impatience and size errors. Protect your liquidity, don’t over leverage, and let the market finish its reset. The next wave always comes, the key is still being here when it does. ✅ Subscribe to @cryp

Jackie Chan will play Changpeng Zhao in the upcoming Netflix biographical documentary “Crypto Kingpin”. ✅ Subscribe to @cryp

📈 Peak Capitulation Or One Step Before Reversal Short term holders just sent about 62.4K BTC to exchanges at a loss. That’s classic fear driven behaviour and usually marks the emotional end of a move, not the beginning. Here’s the rest of the picture. ➡️ ETF flows look like March 2025 ETF balances are now down about 4.66B from their peak. Investors are exiting fast and the pattern lines up with the March correction. ➡️Futures data is cooling Net taker volume was hitting negative 100M per hour at the worst point. Now it sits near negative 21M which shows sellers losing momentum. ➡️ Spot drove the first leg, leverage drove the second The early drop came from real selling. The final leg was a clean leverage flush that wiped out open interest across the board. ➡️ USDC inflows are building USDC inflows to exchanges hit about 4.55B in the last day which is the highest on any recent dip. That’s real dry powder preparing to deploy. Panic selling is here. Leverage has been cleared. Stablecoin ammo is rising.

Downside is always possible but the longer this structure holds, the more the upside starts to carry the better risk profile.

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⚡️ Crypto Watchlist for the week ➡️ $LINK - The first-ever spot Chainlink ETF is expected to launch next week ➡️ $AVAIL - Avail will launch Avail Nexus Mainnet, a coordination layer that eliminates the need for bridging, very soon ➡️ $HYPE - Hyperliquid's first team token unlock will happen on Nov. 29 ➡️ $MON - Monad mainnet launches tomorrow ➡️ $SOLV - Solv Protocol will go live on Solana tomorrow ➡️ $HUMA - Huma Finance just launched a limited-time deposit campaign offering 14-20% APY on stablecoins ➡️ $ARB - Arbitrum's community event in Hong Kong is scheduled for Nov. 26 ➡️ MegaETH - MegaETH Pre-Deposit Bridge launches on Nov. 25 ➡️ Lighter - Lighter teased a major announcement for the next days ➡️ $LDO - Lido will release Lido V3 in November ➡️ $CAKE - Pancakeswap will make a big announcement soon ✅ Subscribe to @cryp

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⚡️ Crypto Watchlist for the week ➡️ $LINK - The first-ever spot Chainlink ETF is expected to launch next week ➡️ $AVAIL - Avail will launch Avail Nexus Mainnet, a coordination layer that eliminates the need for bridging, very soon ➡️ $HYPE - Hyperliquid's first team token unlock will happen on Nov. 29 ➡️ $MON - Monad mainnet launches tomorrow ➡️ $SOLV - Solv Protocol will go live on Solana tomorrow ➡️ $HUMA - Huma Finance just launched a limited-time deposit campaign offering 14-20% APY on stablecoins ➡️ $ARB - Arbitrum's community event in Hong Kong is scheduled for Nov. 26 ➡️ MegaETH - MegaETH Pre-Deposit Bridge launches on Nov. 25 ➡️ Lighter - Lighter teased a major announcement for the next days ➡️ $LDO - Lido will release Lido V3 in November ➡️ $CAKE - Pancakeswap will make a big announcement soon ✅ Subscribe to @cryp

Eric Trump said Q4 will be unbelievable for our crypto bags.

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This user is back after making some insane predictions in the past that all came true. He is now predicting a huge crypto supercycle.

Are you ready?

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Guess its that time in the cycle again. ✅ Subscribe to @cryp