Alex Friedman | Crypto Future

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BREAKING: 🇺🇸Blackrock has deposited $202.77 million worth of Bitcoin into Coinbase today. 👀

🇺🇸 US House calls for the Senate to pass crypto market structure legislation before the end of this month.

Market Update #BTC is holding up on weekly with a bounce from the supporting trendline marking as seems like another bottom for #Bitcoin. Today is the first rate cut after #FED announced #QE earlier this month. These combined with a rumour of the new FED chairman and the 50bsp rate cut could send #BTC to knock on new #ATH. All eyes on todays decision.

The stock market is giving a warning that BTC is about to rally. Pure Vol ( Beta) vs Pure Profitability (Quality) fell hard as BTC fell from 115 to 80. Now Beta vs quality has ripped back to highs in 10 of last 11 days while BTC is trying to gain its footing. Pure Vol vs Qual correlated to PMIs over time. Higher BTC to come. 👀

The 4-year cycle only worked because it aligned with macro easing. If liquidity hasn’t turned yet, the “real move” is still ahead of us. 🚀🚀

25 bps = Priced in No cut = Dump 50 bps = Glorious Bull Market 🚀🚀🚀

Santas rally loading? 👀👀

CZ just said “we might see a supercycle.” 🤑🤑

JUST IN: 🇺🇸White House Advisor Hassett says there is 'plenty' of room for interest rate cuts.🔥🔥

Is the reversal coming? #OTHERS is holding nicely above the supporting trendline that in the past has worked as a stronghold for upcoming #Altseason . Taken into account the upcoming economic speculations we may get a strong reversal from here. Next few days will be crucial. Hold your positions.🔥🔥

Market Update. #TOTAL is currently holding above the supporting trendline prior to the upcoming FOMC rate decision revealed tomorrow. As of now we cant confirm that the upcoming cut is priced in because we have not seen any significant inflows to the market. There are speculations that we may see a 50bsp cut, if true we could see a reversal coming that will continue to Q1 2026 . So all eyes on charts and the upcoming rate cut decision.😎

Reversal? Or Doom? 👀

Why Bitcoin always dumps at 10 a.m. when the U.S. market opens ? Yesterday, Bitcoin erased 16 hours of gains in just 20 minutes after the US market opened. Since early November, BTC has dumped most of the time after US market opens. The same thing happened in Q2 and Q3. Jane Street is the most likely entity doing this. When you look at the chart, the pattern is too consistent to ignore: a clean wipeout within an hour of the market opening followed by slow recovery. That’s classic high-frequency execution. And it fits their profile: • Jane Street is one of the largest high-frequency trading firms in the world. • They have the speed and liquidity to move markets for a few minutes. The behavior looks simple: 1. Dump BTC at the open. 2. Push the price into liquidity pockets. 3. Re-enter lower. 4. Repeat daily. And by doing this, they have accumulated billions in $BTC. As of now, Jane Street holds $2.5B worth of BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, their 5th largest position. This means most of the dump in BTC isn't due to macro weakness but due to manipulation by one major entity. And once these big players are done with buying, BTC will continue its upward momentum.🔥🔥

Bernstein analysts say Bitcoin has broken its 4-year cycle pattern and is now in an elongated bull cycle, raising price targets to $150K in 2026 and $200K peak in 2027. 🤑

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