Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin

What Is the Puell Multiple Indicator? 📊 The Puell Multiple looks at Bitcoin from the miners’ side of the economy. Since miners have fixed costs and must regularly sell coins to cover them, their revenue patterns often influence broader market cycles ⛏ 🟠 It is calculated by dividing the daily issuance value of Bitcoin in USD by the 365-day moving average of that value. This shows whether the amount of new Bitcoin entering the market is unusually high or unusually low compared to history. 🔼 When the Puell Multiple falls into the green zone (check the chart above), miner revenue is depressed relative to long-term norms. These conditions have historically aligned with market lows and strong buying opportunities. 🔽 When the indicator enters the red zone or is very close to it (red line enters the red rectangle), miner revenue is far above average, often marking overheated conditions. The Puell Multiple works ONLY on high time frames. Use this indicator to navigate market cycle lows and highs. Here you can use it for free 🕯 #FAQ @CoinPost

Don't touch this 💩 Yesterday Kanye West launched his own token, today it fell by 72%. One of the rapper's fans lost 50% of his deposit in a matter of hours on a stream. The rest of the celebrity tokens crashed by 96-99%. The token creators and insiders successfully unloaded on a crowd of gullible fans. If you want to support a star, buy a concert ticket, but don't touch their shitcoins ‼️ @CoinPost

What a beautiful day 🔼 As I wrote on August 20:

Imagine what would happen if Trump forced the Fed to lower rates, ignoring the threat of rising inflation.

For now, we cannot dream of a 3% reduction in the Fed rate, as Trump demands. But today, Jerome Powell in Jackson Hole explicitly stated the Fed's readiness to review its monetary policy in favor of easing 🍴 The probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17 is back to 99% — this indicator is almost always right. Let's enjoy the green market today, but let's not get carried away. The key factor for the Fed in making its decision will be the state of the labor market. The data will be released on August 5, and the more Americans lose their jobs, the higher the chances of a rate cut and continued growth in BTC 💸 @CoinPost

Bearish signal for BTC on 1W 🐻 Bearish divergence is a signal of a trend reversal and appears when the price updates its high, while the peaks of the RSI indicator decline. Such a signal on the higher timeframe is a serious warning, but it is not a guarantee of the end of the bull market 😏 Here's what we can understand from this signal: ⏺ BTC still has a chance to return to $124k and even a new ATH. But it is unlikely that the price will rise above $130k unless the bearish divergence is broken. ⏺ If your analysis indicates that BTC will rise to $150k and above, then confirmation of this movement will be an RSI above 70. @CoinPost

Top 5 signs a token launch will dump 📉 Most new tokens pump on day one, then fade hard. Here’s how to spot the ones most likely to bleed 👇 1️⃣Low float, high FDV. Tiny circulating supply makes price look strong early, but unlocks crush it later. Market cap increases or stays the same while price stagnates forever. 2️⃣Big VC allocations. When early backers hold a huge share at cents-on-the-dollar, guess who’s selling into your “entry.” 3️⃣Heavy unlock schedule ahead. Large cliffs and emissions mean constant new supply. Price rarely keeps up. 4️⃣Exchange listing fake hype. Day-one listings are often mispriced. Liquidity is thin, insiders exit, sometimes without even selling spot, but by hedging on perps, and retail becomes exit liquidity. 5️⃣No real users or revenue. If the product isn’t being used, token demand can’t absorb the selling pressure. 📌 Save this list. It’ll keep you from holding bags you never meant to buy @CoinPost

😭 The altcoin season is over (no) Interest in altcoins on Google has returned to its initial position amid the Bitcoin correction. And market sentiment has once again entered a bearish phase, according to Santiment data. This is a normal reaction to the crypto market's correction from its peak. We always think that prices will only go down from here. But so far, there is no real confirmation of the start of a bear market; all you see in the market right now is emotion: ⏺ Emotions from FOMO. ⏺ Emotions from red numbers in your portfolio. ⏺ Emotions from not understanding what is happening. And then there are analysts scaring people with the conflict between the White House and the Fed ahead of Jerome Powell's speech on August 22 🤬 Always DYOR and remember about the NFA. But before you do anything: 🟢 Read Coinbase's report on the prospects for altcoins. 🟢 Remember the 85% chance of Bloomberg approving an altcoin ETF this fall. 🟢 Imagine what would happen if Trump forced the Fed to lower rates, ignoring the threat of rising inflation 😊 @CoinPost

💣 Israel calls up another 50,000 reservists for a military operation to completely capture Gaza and destroy Hamas.

Bitcoin is trading at $113,500, Bukele 'indicator' is working as always 😁 For the first time since January of this year short-term BTC holders have started selling for a loss 🔽 😱 It means momentum cracked and weak hands are puking, which often clears leverage and transfers coins to stronger owners. If SOPR stays sub 1 for weeks I treat it as trend deterioration, but a quick reset with rising spot bids often marks a low which you can buy after the retest 🔍

Top 5 ways people get rekt in crypto 😵 After a few cycles, I noticed that most losses people have don’t come from black swans, but from stupid stuff people repeat over and over 👇 🔜 First is leverage. Crypto markets are thin and volatile, so a 10% wick can wipe out 10x leverage traders. Liquidation cascades make the move even sharper. Leverage is the most dangerous thing for most people when it comes to trading and is tied to most sad stories in crypto. 🔜 Emotional trading. Herding behavior makes people chase momentum, then capitulate when it reverses. Short-term holders are always the ones realizing the heaviest losses in selloffs. Price speculation is simply unnatural for humans, your psychology works against you in most market scenarios. 🔜 Third is high FDV low float tokens. A tiny circulating supply lets push prices high up, but unlocks flood the market with new supply. Dilution eventually drags valuations back to where real demand can sustain them. People who marry such bags often hold them for multiple years until it's down -99% 🔜 CEX listing hype. New listings often open mispriced because liquidity is thin and informed sellers unload into demand. Retail buyers are effectively betting against both time and insiders. With leverage, the risk is multiplied. 🔜 Illiquid bets. NFTs or low cap altcoins look attractive when rising, but when the bid side disappears, there’s simply no exit. Most collections and small tokens drift to zero once attention fades, it can happen over 1 month, or week, or even overnight. 📌 Save for later

What Is a Swing Failure Pattern? 📉 😨 An SFP happens when price pushes above a key high (or below a key low), only to reverse and close back inside the range. It’s a classic fake-out: liquidity gets taken from stop orders, but the breakout fails. 🤑 Right now BTC just locked in a weekly bearish SFP. That means price tried to break higher, swept liquidity above the highs at $123k, but failed to hold. Historically, this has been one of the most reliable reversal signals. 🗓 Over the last 5 years, this exact setup has appeared many times and almost always it led to strong downside reactions. It doesn’t always guarantee a dump, but the odds are stacked against continuation once a weekly SFP forms. If you have many leveraged longs — better cut now than later. But hey, NFA, DYOR, you know... 🧠 #FAQ

How to Size Your Bets Properly 🤔 Many traders lose in the long term not because they pick bad assets, but because they size their bets badly. Risk too little and you grow slowly. Risk too much and one streak of losses wipes you out. The Kelly Criterion solves this problem. 🧮 It’s a formula from probability theory that shows how much of your capital to risk when you have an edge. The idea is to maximize long-term growth while minimizing the risk of ruin. The theory also explains why overbetting is fatal: the more you exceed the Kelly amount, the faster your chances of blowing up rise. Underbetting is safer but leaves profits on the table. That’s why many traders use “half-Kelly” to balance growth and volatility 🤔 For example, say you have a $10,000 portfolio and a strategy that wins 60% of the time at 1:1 R/R ratio. 👉 Kelly would suggest risking about $2,000 per trade. Not $500, which grows too slowly, and not $5,000, which risks ruin — but the balanced middle. ⏺f = the fraction of your bankroll to risk. This is the answer the formula gives. ⏺b = the odds or payout ratio. For example, if you risk $100 to win $100, then b = 1. If you risk $100 to win $500, then b = 5. ⏺p = the probability of winning. This is how often your strategy works (like 60%). ⏺q = the probability of losing, which is simply 1 − p. If p = 0.6, then q = 0.4. #FAQ

Top 5 tools for analyzing crypto projects 🔍 Price charts only tell part of the story. These tools help you dig into real usage, fundamentals, unlocks, and on-chain activity 👇 🔍 Token Terminal — Protocol revenue, fees, and financial ratios. The go-to for fundamentals. 🔍 DeFiLlama — Best free app in crypto. TVL, yield strategies, bridge flows, protofol, fees and L2 activity across nearly every chain. 🔍 Dropstab — Clear unlock schedules and vesting calendars to gauge future sell pressure. 🔍 Skynet — Security dashboards by Certik that provides risk scores, giving you a quick read on a project’s safety. 🔍 Santiment — On-chain, dev, and social data to catch trends and signals before the market does. 📌 Save this list for later

Some yields right now are just too good to ignore 💸 🤑 On Binance Simple Earn, you can park USDC and get 12.2% APR. Fully liquid, withdraw anytime, no lockups. 🤑 ETH maxi? GammaSwap’s gETH vault is pulling in 21.6% APY from AMM yield. 💶 Stream protocol is offering 18% APY on USDC and EURC. Steady income, paid daily, plus you also earn protocol's points. Three plays, all live now. Pick your yield and let the coins do the work. Save for later 📌

Holding TRX? Read this 😂 Justin Sun just got himself into a very public mess. He wanted to be featured in Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index, so he gave them proof that he controls 60 billion TRX tokens. That’s almost two thirds of all TRON tokens in existence (total supply is 94B). Bloomberg ran with the numbers and published a detailed breakdown of his crypto holdings. 🤬 Justin hit back immediately, suing Bloomberg for revealing what he says was confidential verification data (it wasn't, lol). His team claims the wallet info was shared only under strict promises it would never be made public. Bloomberg says they were clear from the start that the valuation would include major asset breakdowns. Leaked chat logs show months of arguing over privacy, with Justin’s side repeating that no detailed breakdown could be shared. Bloomberg pushed ahead anyway 🤣 🔍 Many people who have been in the crypto for a long time knew that Justin was a schemer and that he owned most of the TRX supply. But now he personally admitted this uncomfortable fact, just to get in the billionaire index. @CoinPost

Hot inflation print just hit and market flushed hard 🔽 📊 Producer Price Index rose 0.9% from June and pushed the annual rate to 3.3%. Economists looked for 0.2% in July and 2.4% year over year. BTC is now down 5.46% from yesterday’s new all time high. That level just turned into resistance again. More than $546 million in overleveraged long positions were liquidated in the last hour ⚰️

BTC HITS A NEW ATH OF $123,500 🔼 Nayib Bukele posted El Salvador’s Bitcoin PnL again. He is the president of El Salvador and this is the national BTC reserve 💸 The last few times he did this, BTC topped within a few days and then corrected 📉 BTC just hit a new ATH after July's previous local top. Will Bukele's curse spoil our fun? 😱

OKB token of OKX exchange ripped to a new all-time high, up about 205% in thirty minutes 🔼 This happened after OKX announced that it burned 65.2M OKB tokens (around 75% of total supply) to cap max supply at 21M. ❗️ Moves like this are why risk controls matter. One headline can double a coin price in minutes and liquidation chain will follow. If you trade with cross margin and no stop, a single candle can wipe the whole account. 🟢Always set a stop loss order so a surprise pump/dump does not take you out of the game 🟢Prefer isolated margin if possible 🟢Always assume the worst-case scenario is on the table 🧠

A forgotten seed phrase just became a billion-dollar lesson 😨 Estonian financier Rain Lohmus was an early believer in Bitcoin and Ethereum. In the 2015 ETH ICO he invested around $75,000. 🔑 He later lost the seed phrase from his wallet and at today’s prices those coins are valued near $1.14B. Takeaway: self-custody is powerful but unforgiving. Back up seed phrases in multiple secure places ❗️

That's what I call a health pullback 🤣 Stop buying low cap bundled scams with hope of getting 1,000x. You will be farmed 99% of the time

Don't be discouraged if you're not happy with your results in this market. There is always a next trade 🧠 Price does not matter as much as timing. The best entries show up at inflection points when open interest gets flushed and sentiment flips from despair to euphoria or back. See that clearly and it gets easier to take profits and close a trade without any doubts. 😱 FOMO shows up when you think chances are running out. Treat the market as an endless stream of opportunities and you can act calmly, not reactively. Process over price. Make a plan, execute it, move on. The next trade is just around the corner 🧘