Keith Woods

Check out my interview with Eddie Hobbs! https://youtu.be/FCufP2F3x2E?si=uxiBULsCQUqScUDR

🇮🇷l🇺🇸 Preparations are underway to join the Israeli campaign against Iran if Trump gives the green light. CENTCOM supports joining while senior administration officials oppose it, a US official tells i24News

Let's circle back and see how World War 3 is going in a few months 😂

Of course you could also follow the analysis of Eric Striker, the man with the worst track record on predictions of any living political analyst

People seem to be getting a bit carried away about how well Iran is doing against Israel. Iran surprised a lot of people with its capability to strike Israeli infrastructure, but this strategy alone will obviously mean they face a declining stockpile, while Israel has apparently established air superiority over much of the country. The latest figures I've seen are that in the first three days of the war, Iran fired more than 270 missiles, with around 20 actually impacting. The vast majority of their drones seem to be getting intercepted. Most of the targets aren't of great value compared to what Israel is hitting. The strikes on Haifa's power plant yesterday seem like an exception. Israel hit over 100 targets its first day, and managed to take out the head of the IRGC and 6 top nuclear scientists. They are still striking Iran's military infrastructure daily. The barrage on Israel yesterday was actually quite small. Some of the strikes were impressive, but they actually ended up launching far less than expected. Why? Because Israel targeted their launchers with their airforce as soon as the attack began. Iran has hypersonic missiles, a couple of which it apparently fired yesterday, but probably no more than a few dozen are operational, and that it is apparently using them already suggests it wants to restore maximum deterrence early at the cost of being in it for the long haul. So as this drags on, Israel can begin degrading Iran's missile capacity and continue to wipe out key military infrastructure while Iran is limited to less precise rocket fire on Israel which is doing little to weaken their military. The problem for Israel remains that they can't hit Iran's key nuclear infrastructure without American hardware, which suggests they have started this war now with some confidence that they will eventually get American support, perhaps when Iran's air defences are degraded enough that it will be less risky for Trump politically. Aside from something drastic like closing the Strait of Hormuz and massively upping the international pressure for a resolution, it seems like Iran will have to rely more on asymmetric warfare from its proxies, but without shattering Israeli public morale, which I don't think will happen, and after events of the last two years it doesn't seem like they are capable of dealing a serious blow against Israel either. So I think Iran will most likely want some big face saving move and a shift to some kind of diplomatic arrangement that freezes things sooner rather than later.

People seem to be getting a bit carried away about how well Iran is doing against Israel. Iran surprised a lot of people with its capability to strike Israeli infrastructure, but this strategy alone will obviously mean they face a declining stockpile, while Israel has apparently established air superiority over much of the country. The latest figures I've seen are that in the first three days of the war, Iran fired more than 270 missiles, with around 20 actually impacting. The vast majority of their drones seem to be getting intercepted. Most of the targets aren't of great value compared to what Israel is hitting. The strikes on Haifa's power plant yesterday seem like an exception. Israel hit over 100 targets its first day, and managed to take out the head of the IRGC and 6 top nuclear scientists. They are still striking Iran's military infrastructure daily. The barrage on Israel yesterday was actually quite small. Some of the strikes were impressive, but they actually ended up launching far less than expected. Why? Because Israel targeted their launchers with their airforce as soon as the attack began. Iran has hypersonic missiles, a couple of which it apparently fired yesterday, but probably no more than a few dozen are operational, and that it is apparently using them already suggests it wants to restore maximum deterrence early at the cost of being in it for the long haul. So as this drags on, Israel can begin degrading Iran's missile capacity and continue to wipe out key military infrastructure while Iran is limited to less precise rocket fire on Israel which is doing little to weaken their military. The problem for Israel remains that they can't hit Iran's key nuclear infrastructure without American hardware, which suggests they have started this war now with some confidence that they will eventually get American support, perhaps when Iran's air defences are degraded enough that it will be less risky for Trump politically. Aside from something drastic like closing the Strait of Hormuz and massively upping the international pressure for a resolution, it seems like Iran will have to rely more on asymmetric warfare from its proxies, but without shattering Israeli public morale, which I don't think will happen, and after events of the last two years it doesn't seem like they are capable of dealing a serious blow against Israel either. So I think Iran will most likely want some big face saving move and a shift to some kind of diplomatic arrangement that freezes things sooner rather than later.

One of the hypersonic impacts in Haifa

🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- A high-speed chase between an Iranian intelligence officer on a bike, and a Mossad-operated truck armed with drones on the streets of Tehran. The Iranian officer can be seen shooting twice at the vehicle.

🇮🇱 Israeli settler spokesman Rabbi Yishai Fleisher says Gazans should be sent on boats to Europe to clear it out for Israel, and anyone who stays should be declared an enemy combatant and killed "Send them to Cyprus, send them to Spain, send them to southern France...to Ireland"

I recently had a long back and forth with Curtis Yarvin on his belief that British leftists were responsible for Irish nationalism Read back the full debate here: https://keithwoods.pub/p/curtis-yarvin-debate

Read back my debate with Curtis Yarvin on the origins of Irish nationalism: https://keithwoods.pub/p/curtis-yarvin-debate

Trump this week: "I changed my mind I support amnesty now" "America First actually means war with Iran" "Here's a shitty DEI parade sponsored by Palantir"

Sponsored by coinbase

Can't believe how underwhelming all the footage of America's military parade is. 250 year anniversary for the world's biggest military and they get troops trotting along out of sync, isolated tanks rolling through to complete silence, small crowd, no cool displays of precision marching or cool tech, and lame country music to cap it off. Embarrassing. And they're saying this cost over $50 million? Real late empire vibes.

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 WATCH: Super closeup footage of an Iranian impact in Tel Aviv @Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 BREAKING: The Iranian ballistic missiles are targeting ammonia depots in Haifa Port @Middle_East_Spectator

🇮🇷❌🇮🇱🤝🇺🇸 — Channel 14, citing a senior Israeli official:

We estimate that the United States will actively join the war on Iran, including offensive operations.