AlexBro | Crypto Profit Calls

= Which means opening a SHORT position at TGE will be a successful trade with 85% probability, just a matter of time — you're welcome 🙂

🩸Token launches in 2025 have mostly been a bloodbath Tracked 118 TGE launches this year and compared today’s FDV vs opening: - 84.7% (100/118) are below TGE valuation. This means 4 out of 5 launches are below their opening valuation - Median token is -71% FDV (-67% MC) from launch - Only 15% are above TGE price TGE isn’t early anymore 🥲

❗️Liquidation Map Update The liquidation map clearly highlights two major liquidity zones. A strong cluster sits above the current price around the 90K area, packed with short positions. This zone acts like a magnet and could trigger a sharp upside move if bullish momentum steps in. Below the current price, there is another heavy liquidity zone filled with long positions. If bearish pressure increases, price may sweep this area to clear liquidity before choosing the next direction. 👉These levels are critical for short term price action. Expect increased volatility, manage risk carefully and watch how price reacts around these zones.

ALTSEASON IS COMING

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🚨 BITCOIN COULD SEE VIOLENT MOVES RIGHT AFTER CHRISTMAS!!! $23.66 BILLION in BTC options expire Dec 26. For those who don’t know, that’s MASSIVE. That’s over 1% of bitcoin’s entire market cap expiring ON A SINGLE DAY. Let me explain what it means and where BTC might go next: Here’s what it shows. – Total options open interest: 268,267 contracts – Calls: 194,801 – Puts: 73,466 – Put/Call ratio: 0.38 – Notional value expiring: $23,663,778,007 – Max pain: $96,000 That’s enough size to matter for how the market behaves into expiry. Why this matters? Options don’t just sit there. Big whales hedge them. And when there’s heavy positioning around certain strikes, price starts getting pulled toward liquidity. On this chart, you can literally see the battlefield by strike: – Big clusters of calls stacked above current price – Puts heavier down lower, but still smaller vs calls (again: 0.38 put/call) So into expiry, you often get this annoying behavior: – Price grinds up → gets rejected near a bi...

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🤷‍♂️ The BEARISH signal appeared on the 1M MACD! Fast & Slow MAs crossed, this intersection usually led to the beginning of the bear market. Good thing is that usually after this signal there were 1-2 green candles (retest), so it perfectly matches with our plan of seeing Bitcoin at $100,000 - $105,000 before the real bear cycle starts.

🥲 It looks like Trump was right — everyone might be tired of winning, except Altcoin Traders

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🪙BTC just confirmed its 3D bull div too These are rare Not as nice as the previous one imo as that low already had multiple sweeps, this time around got 2 unswept lows below but the div is now confirmed