Trade Watcher

Trump: "The tariffs are responsible for the great USA economic numbers just announced." ✅ @trading

❕ NVIDIA and China: chips as geopolitical leverage NVIDIA is aiming to ship around 80,000 H200 GPUs to China before Lunar New Year 2026 in what looks like a tightly controlled release. The goal is to prove demand and set a precedent, with broader capacity orders potentially opening in Q2 2026. The move sits at the intersection of politics and supply chains. 🟡 Washington is applying a 25% surcharge on approved exports 🟡 Beijing is considering approvals, but only if H200 purchases are bundled with mandatory buys of domestic accelerators 🟡 Shipments are limited, deliberate, and heavily negotiated Both sides are using $NVDA as leverage. For the US, it’s export control with monetization. For China, it’s conditional access tied to strengthening local chip ecosystems. ✅ @trading

JUST IN: Silver prices have surpassed $70 per ounce for the first time in history, marking a 144% increase year-to-date. @trading

🥇 Gold hits a new record as BRICS keep accumulating Gold has broken above $4,400 per ounce, setting a fresh all-time high after a year-long rally. Rate-cut expectations in the US and rising geopolitical tension matter, but the dominant force behind the move is sustained, price-insensitive buying by BRICS central banks. What’s really happening 👇 🟡 BRICS and aligned countries are responsible for over 50% of global central-bank gold buying in recent years 🟡 Russia, China, and India together hold more than 5,500 tonnes of gold 🟡 The bloc also controls roughly half of global gold production, led by China and Russia 🟡 Accumulation is driven by diversification away from US Treasuries and sanctions risk 🟡 BRICS are pairing gold buying with new settlement tools and plans for independent pricing infrastructure

Gold is no longer just a hedge. It is becoming a core reserve asset in a gradually shifting, less dollar-centric financial system.

✅ @trading

Trading gets simple when survival becomes the priority. Everything else follows. ✅ @trading

‼️ Don't try to time the market. ✅ @trading

🕯 Macro is back on the table This US dollar setup may be one of the most important macro developments heading into 2026. The year started with the DXY at one of the most overvalued levels in its history. Since then, the dollar has fallen sharply and returned to a major support zone that has held for roughly 15 years. That level has now been tested multiple times, especially in recent months, and the pressure is building. The broader context matters. 🟡 Foreign central banks are moving toward tighter policy 🟡 The Fed is under increasing pressure to ease as US debt servicing costs rise 🟡 Large trade and fiscal deficits historically do not resolve under a strong dollar When deficits reach this scale, the adjustment usually comes through financial repression rather than growth. That process is far easier with a weaker currency. If this long-term support breaks, the implications extend well beyond FX. It would reshape capital flows, risk appetite, and relative performance across global assets.

One takeaway stands out: exposure to hard assets still looks structurally under-owned.

✅ @trading

🇺🇸 Federal Reserve to Inject $6.8 Billion into Markets Monday at 9AM ET to Ease Year-End Cash Crunch You know what happens next.. ✅ @trading

🗓 Key Events This Week Short holiday week. Almost all meaningful data is packed into Tuesday. Liquidity drops hard after that. ✔️ Tuesday • ADP employment change. Early signal on labor conditions. • US preliminary GDP Broad growth read that can move yields and USD. • Durable goods orders Business investment and capex signal. • Core durable goods orders Cleaner view without transport noise. • GDP price index Inflation component inside GDP. • CB consumer confidence Household sentiment and spending outlook. • Richmond manufacturing index Regional growth check. ⚠️ Wednesday • Initial jobless claims Weekly labor market update. • US stock market closes early at 6:00 PM UTC. ❌ Thursday • US stock market closed. Christmas holiday. ❌ Friday • European bank holidays. Very thin liquidity.

Not a week to force trades.

✅ @trading

One thing that helps massively with avoiding overtrading is starting each day expecting to take no trades at all. That mindset keeps the focus on waiting for your model instead of looking for action. When you expect to find a trade, you always will. The subconscious fills the gap and pushes you into setups you were never meant to take. ✅ @trading

Watch this video every night before you go to bed to work the next day. ✅ @trading

“Wall Street is the only place that people ride to in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway.” - Warren Buffett ✅ @trading

It's important to teach this to your kids. ✅ @trading

Most of your day is resisting urges to do dumb shit. The rest is accepting you're going to fail sometimes anyway. Losses happen. Mistakes happen. You're not a robot. Just keep choosing logic over emotion at every decision point. Do that and you win. ✅ @trading

A gem of a video from Warren Buffet: The most important thing in hitting is waiting for the right pitch... In investing, there's no called strikes. I only get a strike called if I swing at a pitch and miss. So I can wait there and look at thousands of companies day after day, and only when I see something I understand and when I like the price at which it's selling, then if I swing, if I hit it fine, if I miss, it's a strike. But it's an enormously advantageous game. This is why doing nothing is often the hardest trade. ✅ @trading

🚨 Base App drop: up to $2,000 per account with $5 cost Base App has opened access to everyone. What used to be invite-only is now fully public. To celebrate the launch, Base rolled out Base App Holiday Rewards with a $2M reward pool. With simple actions, users may qualify for rewards that can reach up to $2,000 per account, with very low capital requirements. Entry costs are roughly $5, and those funds are not actually spent. Base App is an all-in-one app combining content posting, trading, and portfolio tracking. ❓ How to participate • Go to Base website, scan the QR code, and download the app • Import an existing wallet or create a new one • Open Base Verify and complete any verification • Make a swap of $1+ inside the app • Hold at least $5 on balance 🔖 Campaign deadline: December 21 ✅ Subscribe to @cryp

When nothing’s happening: keep working. When everything’s going wrong: keep working. When everything’s going right: keep working. Momentum belongs to the consistent. ✅ @trading

This ✅ @trading

Most traders don’t blow accounts from one bad decision. They blow them trying to emotionally undo a correct loss. The loss was part of the plan. The spiral was not. ✅ @trading

🧠 Stoic principles every trader should internalize Stoicism is not about suppressing emotion. It is about controlling reaction. That is why it fits trading better than almost any modern “mindset” framework. Here are the core Stoic ideas that matter most in markets. ✅ Focus on what you can control Price, news, and outcomes are outside your control. Execution, risk, and discipline are not. Wasting energy on anything else degrades decision quality. ✅ Emotion gives away control If price action makes you angry, fearful, or euphoric, it is already controlling you. The more emotional the reaction, the harder it becomes to follow a plan. ✅ Assume you know nothing Markets punish certainty. The moment a trader believes they know what will happen next, bias creeps in and flexibility disappears. ✅ Opinions are not facts News, forecasts, and targets are perspectives, not truths. Price is the only reality that matters. ✅ You do not need an opinion There is no obligation to trade, comment, or react. Capital and attention are limited resources. Preserve both. ✅ Difficulty does not mean impossibility Most people fail at trading for the same reason they fail elsewhere. They stop doing the work before results compound. ✅ Stay in the present Regret over missed trades and anxiety about future ones both corrupt execution. Trades are executed now, not in hindsight. ✅ Preparation creates luck Opportunities only matter if you are positioned to act on them correctly. ✅ Quality beats quantity Good traders wait. No signal means no trade. Activity is not progress.

Stoicism teaches acceptance of reality and disciplined action without emotional distortion. That mindset does not guarantee profits, but without it, consistency is impossible.

✅ @trading