CRYPTO TREYSI

🗣 Trump gets to work and manipulates the market In the last 48 hours, the market has experienced significant swings, and its main ambassador, of course, has been Donald Trump — whose words move the market like a puppet. 💸 As I mentioned yesterday, the key event was his announcement about creating a strategic crypto reserve and signing an executive order on digital assets. According to this order, the Presidential Working Group will be responsible for forming the crypto reserve, which will include BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA.

So, how did it all start...

🔤 After the inauguration, we saw many statements about various tariffs — this clearly became FUD for financial markets, and for crypto in particular. But on February 28, the crypto summit was announced, which will take place on February 7, and the market responded with some local positivity. This was followed by a kind of warming-up week for the crypto push.

We’ve already seen the news about the reserve, which pumped all the assets listed in it.

📥 But by the evening of yesterday, they had once again dropped following the announcement about the introduction of tariffs starting from April 2. As a result, in 24 hours, the crypto market lost $500 billion in capitalization. Now, we can only wait to see what surprises the summit will bring. And perhaps we will be greeted with a few more big news items before it begins. 💬 Also, interestingly, Eric Trump commented on his father’s tweet: «It’s time for traditional finance to catch up with the crypto industry, which operates 24/7. The world no longer lives 'from 9 to 5', and if banks and stock markets don’t change, they will disappear.»

He called the announcement of the creation of the crypto reserve on Sunday a brilliant move, as Wall Street was out of action.

🔖 Some large companies and individuals have also expressed that the market’s sharp reaction to Trump’s post is excessive. «There is no clear plan to create such a reserve in the US, and the president’s actions are uncoordinated», said the TD Cowen team.

TD Cowen is an American investment bank with more than $11 billion under management.

😐 It’s also worth mentioning the case of the «insider», who opened a long position with 50x leverage on Ethereum for $200 million an hour before the reserve announcement, and then quickly sold, making ~6.8 million. Coincidence? Probably not... He also opened a position on BTC. To understand his risk: • The ETH position was opened at $2,197, and the liquidation was at $2,149. • The BTC position was opened at $85,908, and the liquidation was at $84,752.

At its peak, the position size reached $100 million in BTC and $150 million in ETH.

❕ In general, there are still more questions than answers. The real game will begin after the summit — we’ll be keeping an eye on the developments 🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

💸 Trump, Ukraine, Crypto Reserve The last few weeks have been a real storm for global markets. Political tensions, trade conflicts and instability around Ukraine are directly affecting the economy, and of course, cryptocurrency.

Let's break down what's going on and how it will affect us.

🔤 Yesterday, Donald Trump published a post announcing the creation of a cryptocurrency reserve that will include coins such as: $XRP, $ETH, $BTC, $SOL, $ADA and others not named. This caused the entire market to plummet sharply. • $XRP +18% • $SOL +14.5% • $ADA +32% Trade war: the beginning of the end or a new round of pressure? In February this year, Donald Trump initiated new trade conflicts by imposing significant tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, China and the European Union (EU).

In response, the American people naturally received similar retaliatory measures.

🔎 What are the consequences of this • Creating phenomenal volatility. • Breaking through the local lows of the year. • Reducing the trade deficit and increasing control of economic flows in the US. Right now we are in a zone of high turbulence and every piece of news can send us in absolutely any direction. The motto for the start of this year is huge volatility and destabilisation in all financial markets! ❕ But still the mood in the market can be called as follows — altseason soon. In addition, on 7 March, the White House and Donald Trump will hold the first ever crypto summit — wait...🐳 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

💸 This hasn't happened in a very long time... Hello friends. Bitcoin is more oversold now than it was during the FTX crash when BTC was only $16,000 - shocker? 🔤 Who would have thought then that at $80,000, bitcoin would be as heavily oversold as it was at $16,000. Oversold in the financial markets is the state of an asset in which its price is reduced to a level that is considered excessively low relative to its true value or trend.

The market works wonders :)

❕ One important thing to keep in mind is that reaching such a strong oversold level literally indicates that a local bottom is near. Although we have thought so many times before.....🧐 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

🪙 Successful SOL holder re-purchases Hello everyone. Today after analysing onchain, a large whale of an address has purchased $6.7m worth of SOL coin. 🔤 It's important to note that this address has been hitting Solana on a regular basis and he always manages to lock in a pretty decent profit. Last time, in November, he sold all of his SOL coins for a total of $28.3 million, for a profit of $11 million (at $230). Right now, the token is priced at $145.

Now, after months of waiting, he's decided to stock up again.

❕ Those of you who have been looking for a good zone to dial in a position on Solana, take advantage. This guy clearly knows when to buy — maybe even an insider 🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

🩸 There is the biggest fear in the market Friends, the last few days have been a bloody battle in the financial sector: • Liquidations have exceeded $1bn; • Outflows from BTC ETFs have exceeded $2.5bn; • Fear and Greed Index fell to 10 (the values ​​that were in June 2022); • The US stock market lost over $500bn. 🔤 This kind of upset comes amid Donald Trump's statements about the imminent imposition of duties against Mexico, Canada and even Europe. His words, «Soon we will impose 25% duties on cars and on goods from the EU.»

This level of the Fear and Greed Index is reached in a bear market, or when a local bottom is reached in a rising market.

The current values should be taken literally as the end of a corrective movement, because in practice we have never seen a significant correction from the current values. ❕ The onset of such a state of fear has always led to an early reversal. If you were planning to short the current market (especially altcoins), you should think twice. Not a financial recommendation 🐳 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

📉 About the market fall and domination Friends, in the last 24 hours BTC fell another 8% and reached $86,800! I honestly didn't expect this to happen. 💵 The market dropped well below the main liquidity block, which was around $93,000. As a result, all longists were liquidated, totalling $1.1 billion!

The dominance still does not want to change its trend and continues to actively rush upwards, already trading above 62%.

The market is falling, for this reason people are selling off their assets in panic. 📥 Accordingly, liquidity is leaving the altcoin sector, which causes bitcoin dominance and strong selling pressure on altcoins. So far, the situation is deplorable and it can only be corrected by a liquidity flow from bitcoin to altcoin, and this event will happen only after bitcoin reaches another new ATH. ❕ Until then, the bulk of alts will be falling, and only single assets, which are stronger than the market, will show at least some upward impulses. CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

😎 The cryptocurrency market is maturing — it is no longer afraid Friends, despite another local market decline, it's hard not to be surprised at how easily we survived the biggest hack in the history of crypto. $1.5bn in ETH was stolen for a minute, not from Binance, but from Bybit. 🔤 Let me explain, in case you missed it: 4 days ago, the crypto market got a bit battered, namely ByBit (one of the most popular exchanges) was hacked by hackers. The exchange lost 401k ETH (≈$1.5bn) on this. Previously, the market panicked over every ban in China or news about Mt.Gox payouts, but here the situation is quite different. After the attack, we even showed growth over the weekend. 🔎 There are 2 conclusions here: 1️⃣ The market is becoming more resilient - even when it comes to North Korean hackers breaking into exchanges, because the "industry" will help. 2️⃣ Judging by the market reaction, there is nowhere to fall, there is little liquidity at the bottom. If this hack happened on the local ATH, the effect would be stronger, but now it looks like a signal that the bottom is near.

The only question is how long we will be driven up/down.

🛡 Separately, of course, I would like to praise Bybit. Everyone expected that the exchange would lose customers after this hack, but exactly the opposite happened The whole Twitter respects the Bybit team and their funder for the way they handled the situation. ❕ This incident, which could have been a blow to reputation, on the contrary, showed that the exchange can be trusted and can withstand serious challenges 🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

💵 Market maker buys KAITO Friends, yesterday I analysed wallets of one of the largest market makers «WinterMute» and saw that he added $5.06 mln KAITO coin to his portfolio. 🔤 This asset has only recently entered the market and does not have a long trading history yet, but apparently MM has already planned some actions on it.

To understand (not an advert): KAITO is an AI-aggregator for crypto that collects information from Twitter, Discord, forums and podcasts.

Given this accumulation process, there is a pretty high probability to see significant growth impulses on this asset in the near future. It is worth taking note of. ❕ I personally have not bought it yet - I keep watching the price. Let me remind you that it is more risky to enter fresh assets 🐳 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

🚨 Michael Saylor's pyramid that will crash the market Friends, on the way of any financial market there were «black swans» that dramatically and dramatically changed the whole situation.

In crypto, among the most significant ones are the collapse of Mt. Gox, Terra (LUNA) and, of course, FTX.

🔤 There were no such precedents in this cycle, but, I decided to consider one of the candidates — Strategy. Let me explain: Strategy (formerly called MicroStrategy) is an American IT company specialising in business intelligence. 💰 Since 2020, it has bet on bitcoin, becoming the largest corporate holder of BTC (478,740 BTC), financing its purchases through bonds and issuing shares - and this is the point that interests us most. Since the adoption of the bitcoin strategy, MSTR's shares have become highly dependent on BTC dynamics. In most cases, they repeat its price movements, but with an increased amplitude of ~1.5 times.

The main principle of the strategy is to raise borrowed funds to buy bitcoins through the issuance of convertible bonds.

The company issues debt securities with fixed income or the option to exchange for MSTR shares in the future. Conversion becomes possible if the share price reaches a predetermined level. 🛡 Why is this attractive to investors? • Ability to exchange bonds for MSTR shares at a higher price. • Potential increase in share price due to bitcoin accumulation. Everything seems fine, but... This mechanism creates a kind of closed loop:

Bitcoin growth → MSTR stock growth → increase in bond conversion value → issuance of new debt → purchase of more BTC.

It follows that if the bitcoin price starts to fall, MSTR stock will fall even more. 📉 Financial risks and possible scenarios If bondholders convert the bonds into shares when the price reaches the right level, the company's debt is effectively cancelled itself. But if the MSTR price falls, Strategy will have to repay the debt in cash. In that case, the company may start selling its BTC to meet the obligations, and that could cause panic.

How so? One of the largest holders of bitcoin has started selling it? — Sell it too.

📥 How can all this be affected? Right now, MSTR is on the cusp of inclusion in the S&P 500, and that moment could come in mid-June 2025. For that, the company needs to show earnings in Q1 2025. A key factor is the value of bitcoin. If BTC holds above $96,330 by the end of Q1, Strategy's chances of getting into the S&P 500 will increase significantly. ❕ If that doesn't happen, Sailor's entire strategy will be in jeopardy, as the main trigger for raising enough capital for the company is the S&P 500 — without it, the ice will already start to crunch. Put 🔥 if you liked this kind of post CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

💸 The market will be pumped with money again Over the last 24 hours, quite a lot has happened that directly affects the crypto market, so I decided to make a small squeeze of the most important things for you.

I don't usually do this kind of thing, but today it's necessary.

1️⃣ Trump said: I intend to make America the ‘crypto capital’. We put an end to Joe Biden's war on cryptocurrency. I'm considering giving 20% of D.O.G.E.'s saved funds to Americans. 2️⃣ New approvals from the SEC: • Accepted for consideration to add staking to 21Shares' Ethereum ETF. • Accepted for consideration for launch of Ripple ETF from Canary Capital. 3️⃣ Trump's campaign World Liberty Financial bought more Atlts, this time $125k worth of SEI tokens. 4️⃣ ETFs inflows/outflows for 19 Feb: BTC ETFs recorded net outflows of -$65m. . ETH ETFs net inflows of +$19m (a big positive).

As you can see — there is a lot of positive news here. And now let's talk a little bit more about the first one.

🔤 I don't understand why everyone missed this news. Trump is considering giving 20 per cent of DOGE savings to Americans and 20 per cent to debt repayment. DOGE (Deportament of Government Efficiency) uncovered billions of dollars worth of fraud this month, in the future they plan to send the savings to Americans = helicopter money.

During past helicopter money ~$1200 in 2020 could buy 0.17 BTC. Now it's ~$17,000 😎

❕ Handing out money to COVID has been one of the strongest catalysts for stock market growth. But this time the money will go into crypto 🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

🐸 «We are here» — but where exactly? Friends, there are, as always, two answers to this question. The same graph is superimposed on two completely different situations — see the picture. 🔎 Of course, we all want to see scenario #2, and I would not rule it out. It just takes time — the market always moves slower than our expectations.

Most analysts give March-April a chance, saying that if nothing happens in these months, we can go on a six-month holiday.

But we know how the market works — and more often than not, it goes against the crowd's expectations. ❕ Will there be a surprise this year that shatters expectations of a «sell in May»?! CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

⛔️ How not to fall into the trap of illusory wealth Friends, many traders and investors experience strong emotions when looking at their portfolio numbers.

Some feel nostalgic for the times when the balance was higher, others feel like a millionaire after seeing 7 digits on the screen.

🔤 But it is important to understand the key principle of financial markets: your portfolio is not money until you have fixed and withdrawn it. If your deposit looks impressive today, it's no guarantee that the numbers won't halve or even more tomorrow. Similarly, if the balance is down, it doesn't mean you're poorer than yesterday until you record a loss.

The main trap is the feeling that if the portfolio has reached a certain point, then it's “your” money. But it isn't ⬇️

1️⃣ The unrealized PnL (profit/loss) is not your real capital — it's a volatile figure that can change in a matter of minutes. 2️⃣ The market doesn't move linearly — many people think that if they've made 10x, they can do it all over again. But the market doesn't obey your expectations. 3️⃣ Wealth is not a number on a screen but liquid assets — real money is what is already withdrawn and is under yours in a bank account. 📥 Typical mistakes that cause you to lose money • Ignoring market changes — traders think that once a strategy has worked, it will always work. • Aggressively increasing positions — when growth seems endless, risk starts to seem insignificant. • Ego and complacency — success is written off only on one's own abilities, not the market.

Money is lost at every stage: it is difficult to catch the top point for profit taking, not every pullback leads to growth, and excessive trading activity often brings losses.

❕ The main thing is not to be greedy and regularly withdraw part of the profit into stable assets. If there is no profit on a spot - wait and everything will come... Do you have enough patience when working in crypto? 🔥 — Yes, everything is good 🐳 — It can be emotionally difficult CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

📉 Mass exodus from Solana Friends, saw an interesting statistic today — the number of active addresses in SOLANA network has decreased from 18.5 million (in November) to only 8.4 million as of today.

The recent correction on SOL has forced many to exit this asset.

🔤 However, it should be noted that it is small investors of the market that exit from the coin most of all. Large players continue to hold it without changes or it is partially purchased. Even today I came across a whale address, which was bought today by Solana for $7.89 million.

This tells us that the current values can be freely considered as favorable marks for additional positions.

❕ But personally, I keep a minimum amount of SOL in my portfolio — there are more promising assets for me 🐳 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

💸 New chance for Ethereum growth Friends, the story with scam memcoin linked to the president of Argentina has moved to a new level — now regulators are seriously looking into it.

I wouldn't be surprised if high-level proceedings are already underway. How can this affect ETH and its ecosystem?

🔤 First of all, Solana is under attack - it was on its blockchain that all the recent scams originated. Here we should ask ourselves the question: «what was the main driver of Solana's growth?». The answer is meme tokens, AI agents and other narratives that have fueled the influx of liquidity and retail players onto this blockchain.

In other words, it fueled trust in the ecosystem and motivated to hold SOL.

📥 But when projects on your favorite blockchain start screwing you over, the reaction is obvious — sell, walk away and forget. If aggressive FUD in the media is added to this, the consequences could be catastrophic. Already analysts are finding traces of involvement of major Solana projects like Jupiter in this story. ❕ If this wave of negativity does not subside, but only increases, Solana risks getting its own «black swan». And this, of course, is to the benefit of ETH and its entire ecosystem 🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

📉 Biggest scam in recent memory Friends, this story wasn't because of another anonym who scammed hamsters by hacking some official's Twitter. 🔤 This time, Argentine President Javier Milei was at the center of the scandal because of the launch of the LIBRA memcoin, which may go down in history as one of the biggest «rug pull» schemes.

The token was created in a hurry: the investor form led to a Google survey, and the domain, purchased hours before the launch, was registered for only one year.

At its peak, LIBRA's capitalization reached $4.5 billion and daily trading volume was $1.1 billion. In the first three hours, insiders withdrew $87.4 million, causing the price to plummet. 📉 At the same time, sellers' transactions accounted for only 27% of total transactions, which means that retail buyers were simply «fed» this shit. KIP Protocol, who work closely with the Argentine president, are also said to be behind the creation of the token or its promotion. Here's what they stated in their tweet:

💬 LIBRA is not a rag. KIP is involved in the project, but our main role is to help distribute funds to Argentine companies, not to manage the token.

Milei deleted his original post, saying he was simply supporting a private project he knew nothing about. He called the organizers of the scam «dirty rats». ❕ Crypto without regulation is the wild west. As long as there is no regulatory framework and regulation, such cases will recur. The best solution is to skip them or enter only for the amount you are willing to lose, even if the token is launched by the president himself 🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

🐸 The founder of Binance and his dog. What's going on? Friends, hello everyone. I think everyone is already aware of what's going on if you're following the news background. In a nutshell, CZ revealed the name of his dog Broccoli in a post on Twitter. 🔤 He gave 3 hours notice that he would post such information. The excitement was huge!

It looks like CZ and team want to launch a BSC season on their blockchain.

Which means they are working on the growth of the network's native coin, BNB, trading volumes on DEX, and of course, meme season on the BSC blockchain — as the main narrative of this bull cycle. 🔎 However, they decided not to create their own CZ dog meme, but just warmed people up, did some cool marketing, and gave development teams a chance to come on their blockchain and launch their memcoin.

It was one of the toughest PvP-fights between traders and degens in history.

The amount of scam coins within a minute of CZ's post was such that it's hard to even count. Tokens with the same tickers appeared by the dozens, but in the end only a few survived. 💵 According to my observations, 98% of people simply lost money in this chaos. The only adequate strategy is to wait until a clear leader in terms of capitalization and volumes appears. This particular dog is in the best position right now — link (not an advertisement) ❕ This is not a buying tip. The link is just for convenience so you don't waste time searching and possibly losing money on it 🐳 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

🐸 It's finally being talked about Friends, I have some news. Ethereum is up over 5% in the last 24 hours on the back of staking filings for ETF-ETH. 💸 It looks to me like this is the kind of fundamental shift that could bring ETH back into play, especially since the volume of ETH purchases through ETFs is already higher than BTC-ETFs.

That said, there are more and more shorts on ether, which opens the door for a cascade of liquidations and a powerful short-squeeze (surge).

🔤 What's important: — Feb. 28-March 5 Pectra network update comes out, it will improve ETH performance. — Feb. 18 FTX begins returning $16 billion to clients, first phase of $7 billion in refunds. — Likely launch of new altcoin ETFs and inclusion of staking in ETH ETFs. — State reserves may start buying not only BTC, but also ETH with top altcoins. 🔎 There are positives on on-chain as well: — Large volumes of ETH are being withdrawn from CEX exchanges, reducing selling pressure. — Large wallets continue to accumulate ETH at current levels. ❕ The current sideways movement and a stall after a powerful collapse is a normal phenomenon. Yes, there are still risks of local bottom point retest, but considering all the above, the RR ratio is clearly on the side of longs. NO PAIN, NO GAIN 🐳 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

😏 Major conspiracy — Binance, Coinbase & Winermute. Friends, remember the idea: there are no accidents in the crypto market. Especially when the biggest players start moving volumes a day before the global dump. What happened? 1️⃣ According to Arkham Intelligence, on February 3, just hours before the market crash, Coinbase sent $11.86 million in ETH to Wintermute's Binance addresses - one of the largest market makers. 2️⃣ Binance also transferred several million dollars to Wintermute at the same time. 3️⃣ But the most interesting thing is Ethereum's sleeping whale, which moved 77,736 ETH ($228.6M) onto Bitfinex (the oldest cryptocurrency exchange) for the first time since January 2019 - and exactly after that, the market plummeted. 🔤 Why exactly was ETH under attack? It's simple: Ethereum is a key liquidation point for the entire DeFi sector. Its fall automatically triggers a chain reaction of liquidations on DeFi lending platforms, destroys margin positions, which pulls the whole market down.

The conclusion is that this is not just a dump — it's a controlled liquidation designed to knock out positions before the next leg of the move.

❕ Manipulation? Coincidence? It's up to you to decide. But while the market is recovering, the main players are already gaining new positions. Let's keep an eye on the continuation of their game. Give it a 🔥 if you like these investigative posts CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

💵 Trends at 2x speed In recent years, the crypto sector has not only demonstrated rapid growth but also a noticeable reduction in the lifespan of narratives.

Whereas previously altcoins held attention for 1-2 years, memes now only last a few quarters, and the AI-token theme was hyped for just a couple of months.

📑 Over the past 4 years, the rotation of narratives in crypto has compressed to a minimum: — 2021-2022: Fundamental alts (L1, L2) – lasted 1-2 years (Solana, Arbitrum). — 2023: Memecoins – hype lasted several quarters (Pepe, Bonk, WIF). — 2024: AI-theme – from 2 to 8 weeks for each wave (Bittensor, FET, RNDR).

Now, many are burning out within the first 72 hours.

It must be acknowledged that the market has become more speculative and less stable. Money moves faster, and holding positions requires instant reactions. 💵 What causes this: 1️⃣ Excess liquidity and greed Previously, the capital rotation looked like this: BTC → ETH → Large-cap alts → Small-cap alts → Memecoins. Now everything compresses much faster – traders instantly look for the next 10x asset. 2️⃣ Information overload On Twitter, trends can catch fire in a matter of minutes. We've seen it happen where a token launch gets picked up by a famous influencer, and within a few hours/days, it’s too late to get in because the asset is overheated.

It’s no longer enough to be «early»; you need to be more adaptable and quicker.

3️⃣ Betting on hype rather than long-term In the past, you could hold assets for several years more calmly, but now new narratives work on a time frame. If a non-fundamental asset hasn’t performed within a few weeks, it’s unlikely to yield any returns. 4️⃣ AI memes and bots make the market ultra-fast — Twitter bots instantly identify trending words. — Telegram bots buy alts before those who go in manually. — Degens with expensive scripts get in before those using Telegram bots.

Algorithmic trading speeds up the cycle: if a trend hasn’t gained critical mass – it dies.

📌 The key skill now is quick adaptation Always keep in mind that the lifespan of a trend is limited — no matter how cliché it sounds. For more efficient action, you can specifically create AI agents for yourself and subscribe to analytical services for Twitter (for example, Kaito). 📥 Some choose to spend whole days and nights searching for new trends / trades in crypto. Others take a broader view of the market, accumulate positions, and wait for their targets.

This has always been the case, but now there are many more «early birds» due to the appearance of «easy money».

❕ As one Twitter user said: «The window of opportunity will shrink to just a few minutes, and belief in a coin will drop to zero — only the momentum of the chart in the very beginning. In the end, deals will become a double-click. But what awaits us next — that's the big question.» 🐳 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe

💵 Are we waiting for new negativity or is bullish market starting? Friends, I like the way BTC/ETH/SOL reacted today to another statement in the commodity war between China and the US. Many expected a repeat reaction similar to the first time, but this time it's different. 🔤 The market was overheated then: • Funding at super highs • A large number of people sitting in leveraged positions • Overweight to longs (which, the big player of course wanted to take and capitalize on) Any minimal negativity could have triggered a cascade of liquidations. Now the price behavior shows that the FUD around the duties has already been fully taken into account by the market, and further such news will not become a trigger for sell-offs and falls. 🔎 The exception is if the stock market does not throw surprises, but crypto has already digested this information occasion.

Two V-shaped buybacks point to a possible bullish week.

Additional positivity: — The BTC chart is looking strong — ETFs continue to flood with money — ETH is ahead of BTC in terms of inflows (almost 2x!) ❕ Many, of course, were expecting quick positivity and market growth after Trump took office, but things have dragged on. Now the market is in uncertainty, so many are gradually selling assets, which is a good thing. P.S. On the chart you can see my long-standing prediction. So far it's going according to plan🔥 CRYPTO TREYSI | Subscribe