Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin
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Simple, plain, and fast crypto digests. Since 2017 Russian version: @Coin_Post Editor: @MikeCoinPost Advertising: @CoinPost_Agency Chat: https://t.me/+x91r5TkB3rE3MGUy Creator: @K_Capitan
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In the last 30 years, $1 lost half its value 📉
But $1 in the S&P 500 grew into $19, even after inflation 📈
Find opportunities to increase your earnings and invest them, or doom yourself to poverty due to the endless devaluation of fiat money 🤷♀️
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Never Join Presales on X 👎
If an influencer posts a wallet address for presale or just token contract address, you are not early. You are being exit liquidity ❗️
Yesterday’s example says it all. Crypto influencer “kook” (presumably it was him) launched a presale and got away with around $140k after selling. He then rugged one more coin, deleted all tweets and started saying he was hacked.
🗣 This is the pattern. Random memecoin presales and rushed calls to “ape in.” This type of KOLs exist only to extract money from followers.
Protect your capital. In crypto there are no refunds 😐
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The Ultimate 5 Indicators for Timing Bitcoin Cycles 📊
Here are the five indicators that matter most if you want to buy Bitcoin near the lows and sell into euphoria 👇
⏺ MVRV Ratio – Compares market value to realized value to show when BTC is over or undervalued.
⏺ Puell Multiple – Tracks miner revenue against yearly averages to highlight stress or relief in mining.
⏺ Long Term Holder SOPR – Measures if long-term holders are selling at a profit or a loss.
⏺ Net Unrealized Profit/Loss – Shows overall market psychology by comparing unrealized profits vs losses.
⏺ Bitcoin Power Law Model – Uses regression bands to frame BTC’s long-term price path.
These indicators are designed for long-term investing. They help you spot cycle bottoms and tops that happen every few years. They’re not useful for day trading or short-term moves ⚠️
📌 Save for later and share with a friend
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Should You Use Leverage in Crypto Trading? ⚖️
Leverage is what ruins most traders. The problem is not the tool itself but the way people use it. Too much risk, too much size, and the account is gone 😣
🧠 Used correctly, leverage can optimize your capital. Imagine you have $20,000. Without leverage, you could simply buy $20,000 of BTC on spot.
With 5x leverage, you only need $4,000 in margin to get the same exposure. That leaves $16,000 free in stablecoins. You can farm yield with them and add margin if BTC pulls back 20% 🧮
This way, instead of going all-in and locking you liquidity in BTC, leverage gives you more flexibility. It is a capital efficiency tool, not a shortcut to riches. I would advise beginners never to use leverage greater than 10x ❗️
#FAQ
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The World Liberty Financial ($WLFI) token is officially tradable with an FDV of $26.4 billion 🤩
🤔 Even given that the Trump family is backing this project (nominally), there's a 99% chance the graph will look like the sketch above in a few years/months 📉
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The Sunk Cost Fallacy in Crypto 😐
The sunk cost fallacy is one of the most common traps in investing. It makes us hold something only because we already put money, time, or effort into it, instead of judging it by current reality ℹ️
Think of a hyped altcoin. The team is late, the chart is bleeding, BTC and ETH are stronger. Rationally you should rotate out, yet many keep holding because selling feels like admitting defeat 🙅♂️
🤦 This is the sunk cost fallacy. We anchor to past effort rather than comparing better opportunities. Loss aversion and commitment bias make it even harder to let go.
The solution is simple. Ask yourself: if you sold today, would you buy this coin back tomorrow. If the answer is no, you are only holding because of sunk costs.
❗️ Focus on future potential, not past mistakes. The next decision matters more than the last one.
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What Is the Bitcoin Power Law Model?
The Power Law model applies a simple linear regression on Bitcoin’s log price over time, then extends it into two parallel bands. The lower band acts as long-term support, while the upper band represents resistance. Bitcoin’s price has historically oscillated within this channel for over a decade 🟠
📈 The model implies a gradual but predictable growth curve. According to its projection.
After 2028, the model suggests Bitcoin should never fall below $100,000 again. Extending further, it points to $1,000,000 being reached between 2028 and 2037, after which the price would remain above that level.
🧮 While the Power Law offers an elegant way to contextualize Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory, it is based entirely on past performance. Structural shifts could break the model. It should be seen as a framework for understanding long-term price trends, not some kind of forecast ❗️
This indicator is only usable for high-timeframe investing. You can use it for free here 🔗
#FAQ
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All it takes is $686, a dream, and a bit of insider knowledge 🤣
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What Jesse Livermore Can Teach Traders Today 🤔
Ok guys, since you clearly showed interest under the last post, here are some of the key trading rules and philosophies of Wall Street legend Jesse Livermore 👇
1️⃣Trade with the trend. Markets are never wrong, opinions often are. He only entered when the chart confirmed the direction. He was buying only when stocks were already moving up and shorting only when they were already breaking down.
2️⃣Be patient. His fortune came from sitting tight once he was in a winning position. Livermore said the big money was never made in constant trading, but in holding strong trends and letting profits grow.
3️⃣Cut losses quickly. He was one of the first high-profile traders to popularize the use of stop-loss. If a trade went against him, he exited without hesitation.
4️⃣Don’t overtrade. He often sat in cash for weeks waiting for the right setup. For him, not trading was better than forcing a trade.
5️⃣Scale in, not all in. He started small and only added when the market proved him right. This way he risked less at the start and pressed winners once momentum confirmed.
6️⃣Master yourself. Livermore believed human nature — fear, greed, impatience — was the biggest enemy of every trader. He saw discipline and psychology as more important than any chart or tip.
📚 Much of this wisdom is captured in "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator", and in Livermore’s own book "How to Trade in Stocks". These works remain essential reading for anyone who wants to understand his approach to speculation.
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Jesse Livermore is remembered as one of the greatest speculators in history. He made his name by shorting the 1907 panic and again in 1929 😮
But his life shows the cost of chasing greatness. Livermore didn’t just make fortunes — he lost them too. Over and over again. His net worth chart looks like a rollercoaster of billions in today’s money 🎢
🕯 Being up $1.6M while 23 years old and then being in the hole for $16,837 at 24 is crazy. In 1929, he peaked at $1.64 billion! But just five years later, it was down to $104M.
For almost 40 years his life was like this — massive wins followed by brutal crashes. Few people can imagine what it feels like to make hundreds of millions, lose nearly all of it, then come back again and again and again...
Jesse once said:
“It never was my thinking that made big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!”🏆 That’s why Livermore is a legend. Not because he was always rich, but because he took risks on a scale almost nobody dares to. To play like this, you have to accept volatility that would break most people. Your net worth will never grow in a straight line to the right and up if you decide to make a living by speculating. 😨 If you can’t handle wild swings, don’t try to be like him. Don't try to make a living by trading. Study him, learn from him, but know the price he paid. Would you like to learn more about Jesse's approach to trading and the principles he followed? Let me know in the comments 💬
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Remember YZY memecoin launched by Kanye West? 🤣
It's down 81.7% since August 21, and most people who bought it lost between $1 and $1,000 📉
Just look at the stats. Out of 70,000+ total traders:
⏺ 51,862 lost $1–$1k
⏺ 5,269 lost $1k–$10k
⏺ 1,025 lost $10k–$100k
⏺ 108 lost $100k–$1M
⏺ 3 people lost $1M+
⏺Less than 2,600 people made more than $1,000 in profit. Of those people, only 99 took most of the gains, pocketing more than $100k in profit each.
This game is rigged. Don't buy bundled memecoins promoted by celebrities, it always ends badly ❗️
@CoinPost
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Bitcoin falls below $109,000 🔽
$447 million worth of longs was liquidated in the last 24 hours.
The Swing Failure Pattern remains undefeated 😮
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Avoid Google Ad Scams ⚠️
Google search is packed with crypto scams. Fake sites copy real brands, buy the top ad slot, and drain anyone who clicks and approves some transactions in their wallet 😱
Better way to find a real website of a crypto project:
💬 Search its profile on X and use the links in the bio. Do not trust the first Google result. Never click ads for wallets, bridges, or swaps.
🦙 Use LlamaSearch if you want a safer search flow. It surfaces trusted links first, then falls back to Google when needed.
🔖 Set bookmarks and use them every time. Wallet, bridge, DEX, portfolio, trackers. This stop you from clicking on a fake URL.
🔍 Quick checks before you click. Is the domain spelled exactly right. Does it match the link on X. If anything feels off, back out and find the link from the project’s official profile.
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Price manipulation in the XPL perp market left many traders completely ruined 😱
🕯 XPL token is not live yet. There is no spot market. A few venues listed a premarket contract so presale buyers could hedge and speculators could bet before TGE.
Then Hyperliquid became the whole story. One wallet bought with roughly $16M and ripped price nearly 200% in minutes on that one venue. Almost all hedgers were liquidated 💀
After the spike the manipulator sold his longs into thin liquidity after forced deleveraging of most traders and walked with an estimated $15M profit.
🔍 Why it worked. The order book was thin and the perp was illiquid, so one big player could set the tape. With no spot market there was no arb anchor to pull price back.
How not to fall victim to such manipulation in the future or at least minimize your loses:
1️⃣Keep size small on premarket perps.
2️⃣Use isolated margin, not cross.
3️⃣Always place a stop loss.
@CoinPost
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New scam from Trump on Monday 😡
On September 1, trading will begin for the WLFI token, a DeFi project from Donald Trump's family.
Similar to the official meme token of the 47th president, TRUMP, a hype pump is expected, followed by insiders (including Trump's sons) dumping on gullible retail investors 😁
The chart shows the pump and dump of the TRUMP meme token, which temporarily drained liquidity from the crypto market and led to a drop in BTC. Then there was a second phase — insiders cashing out at the expense of retail investors.
The WLFI token unlocking schedule indicates that a similar scenario is in the works 😐
In this situation:
⏺ Participating in the pump on the listing looks like a high-risk idea; you simply won't have time to lock in your profits.
⏺ It seems interesting to short Trump's new cryptocurrency when insiders start selling.
@CoinPost
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Bitcoin is repeating the pattern of gold and will go to $320k 💸
A beautiful chart, let's analyze the reasons for the growth of gold:
⏺ A 10% decline in the dollar index since the beginning of the year.
⏺ Trump's tariffs have created the threat of recession in the US.
⏺ Countries are buying up gold for their reserves to replace the dollar.
From this list, only the weakening of the USD works in favor of Bitcoin.
BTC has not yet gained the status of a safe-haven asset, and central banks are in no hurry to add the first cryptocurrency to their gold and foreign exchange reserves 😒
For this forecast to come true, Bitcoin must obtain the status of a safe-haven and reserve asset. So far, we only have a Bitcoin reserve in the US, which is formed exclusively from confiscated assets.
A paradigm shift for Bitcoin has begun, but we are only at the beginning of the way 👌
@CoinPost
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What Is the Net Unrealized Profit Loss Indicator? 😮
Short name is NUPL, it's a metric that tracks Bitcoin market sentiment by showing whether investors as a whole are sitting on unrealized profits or losses. It is calculated as (Market Cap – Realized Cap) divided by Market Cap 🧮
📊 When NUPL is positive, most investors are in profit. When it is negative, the majority of coins are held at a loss. This simple relationship has proven effective for mapping out market cycles, yes, this is another indicator for high time frames.
High positive readings, especially above 0.75, have historically aligned with phases of euphoria where market tops often form. Negative readings typically appear during fear and capitulation, which have marked strong long-term buying opportunities.
Buy Bitcoin when the yellow enters green zone, sell when it enters the red zone, everything in between is mid-cycle price action 👍
By monitoring these shifts, investors can better understand the psychology of the market. NUPL helps frame whether conditions reflect greed at the top or despair at the bottom. Don't use this indicator to for day trading or scalping 🙅♂️
You can find this indicator here for free ⬅️
📌 Save for later
#FAQ
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How to use Bitcoin Long Term Holder SOPR indicator?
🔍 LTH-SOPR tracks whether long-term Bitcoin holders are selling at a profit or a loss. It measures the profit ratio of coins that have been dormant for at least 155 days when they move on-chain.
Values above 1 mean long-term holders are realizing profits. Values below 1 show they are selling at a loss 💸
This metric is important because long-term holders are considered the strongest hands in the market 🐳
📉 When they start selling heavily into profit, it has often aligned with cycle tops. When they sell at a loss, it tends to happen near cycle bottoms.
Buy when the green line is below 1, sell when it's around 9-13. Use this indicator here for free 🕯
#FAQ
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BTC lost all of Friday's gains, but we have a gap in the $116,900–$113,600 range 🥺
NFA. Remember, the price is not required to close gaps, but it does so in 90% of cases. Don't panic 😩
@CoinPost
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Waiting for the altcoin season: let's look at TOTAL3 💵
TOTAL3 is a cryptocurrency market indicator that shows capitalization excluding BTC and ETH. It is believed that in the current market cycle, TOTAL3 best reflects the dynamics of altcoin movements.
Analysis of the TOTAL3 chart gives a 60% probability that the indicator will maintain an upward trend and will soon try to break through the resistance at $1.10 trillion, followed by sideways trading with an upper limit of $1.15 trillion 🔼
It is important to monitor the RSI on 1W:
🔜 There is a hint of bearish divergence, similar to the BTC chart. If the RSI remains below 70, altcoins will show a 30-80% growth and then go into correction.
🔜 If the RSI breaks above 70, the bearish divergence is canceled, TOTAL3 enters the ATH zone and we get a chance for a full-fledged altcoin season.
Remember BTC, without its growth, nothing will happen. NFA, DYOR, you know... 😏
@CoinPost
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