Not a trader ENG

💼 1W 50 EMA has historically been the best $BTC bull/bear market support & resistance indicator. Right now sitting at $76.2K. Eyes on it 👀

🐸 A bit of analysis—time to find something positive at this stage. Here’s what I like: - Bitfinex has accumulated a record number of ETH longs—ATH for the entire cycle. - They've also started accumulating BTC longs. Historically, these moments always led to growth. Not immediately, of course—volume needs to be built up, but after such longs, prices were always significantly higher. 👀 BTC longs on Bitfinex also confirm that we are in a cycle correction before the next leg up.

🐸 Poor Bybit, how much more can they take... Once again, unusual transfers are being spotted — 650M USDT moved to unknown wallets 👀 If this is indeed part of the hack, Bybit's total losses are now at $2B. Someone just secured themselves the most expensive weekend in history.

It’s safer to let the knife fall on the floor then pick it up….

Yesterday, the biggest crypto hack in history happened 😲 Today, crypto is green on the week. The market showed strength despite the largest theft of all time. My takeaway: if I looked at the daily chart without context, I wouldn’t have even guessed that something major had happened — just a standard bounce from mid-range. And usually… - Good news marks the tops. - Bad news marks the bottoms. Let’s see how this ages 🎁

The Bybit hack has been exposed And Park Jin Hyok might be behind it. This is the story behind the biggest crypto heist ever🧵 (check comments)

🐸 I didn’t withdraw anything from Bybit. Was actually chill about it. Study the physiognomy of Chad Ben, and maybe you’ll understand why. GM ☀️

🐸 Bullish hack for $ETH? By a twist of fate, this hack might be the most bullish event to happen to ETH in recent years. Bybit now has to buy back $1.4B worth of ETH to refill its cold wallets. That’s some serious buy pressure. Official statement. The fact that nothing catastrophic happened is evident in BTC’s reaction: only -2% in the moment — despite all the FUD. In 2022, the market crashed way harder after FTX collapsed. Plus, buyers have already stepped in, proving that markets are stabilizing fast. Realistically, $1.5B is not a death sentence for the 2nd largest exchange in the world. No one would let Bybit sink, and if things got really bad, the whole industry would bail them out. Panic is the worst reaction to situations like this.

🐸 Not Your Keys, Not Your Coins. Today, the crypto world got another reminder of this golden rule: during Bybit's migration, a hacker managed to replace an address and gain control of one of the wallets. Panic? Maybe. But all other funds are secure. What’s next? - The hack already happened, and if the hacker decides to dump the ETH, most of it will likely just get absorbed by the market. - A portion (or all) of the funds will likely be recovered in the coming days/weeks. This is a huge amount, fully visible on-chain, and there's no easy way to escape with it. - Offramping this money is nearly impossible. Major CEXs, OTC desks, and stablecoin issuers will blacklist the addresses. - Even if they try mixers or laundering schemes – good luck moving that size without getting caught. 💭 Just another reminder that security in crypto isn’t just a buzzword.

🐸 The escape to the "better world" didn’t end so well All those who ran screaming “SOL is king, TON is dead” and poured their funds into Solana are now sitting at even bigger losses than those who simply stayed in the TON ecosystem. Sure, TON tokens took a hit, but if you compare them to their Solana counterparts, they’re actually holding up just as well—if not better. Lately, I’ve been noticing a trend in chats: “That’s it, we’re leaving for a better world, nothing to see here.” So I propose we commemorate these brave souls with a special SBT to honor their brilliant financial decision. Maybe we call it *“The Great Migration”*? 😆 At the end of the day, no matter where you run, the bear market always catches up.

🐸 10 days of $BTC price action Honestly, these are the least visually-pleasing daily candles I’ve seen in a while. Please move already 🙏

🐸 What kind of pattern is this? Yesterday, the entire crypto market held its breath while the founder of the largest exchange revealed his dog’s name 🐶 Once again, I’m reminded that we are not a serious industry 😆

🐸 CZ just reminded us of timeless wisdom: "If you can't hold, you won't be rich." Interestingly, he said this exactly 4 years ago, right before the start of a massive alt season. And today, he's bringing it back. Coincidence? Maybe. But history does have a habit of repeating itself 👀

In one of the chats (8club), Sasha mentioned that he's ready to buy PX via OTC starting from $25,000 (around 250k PX at the current rate) and even emphasized: "Any volume." Why this matters: - Trust in the project: If the leader himself is willing to invest such amounts, it's a strong signal of confidence in the project's future. - Price support: OTC purchases help alleviate pressure on market liquidity. - Message to the community: This shows that the team cares about the current state of the project and its participants. To me, this looks like a significant step in the right direction. While it may not solve all issues, it’s a powerful statement: the project is not being abandoned, and they’re willing to fight for its position. Who knows, perhaps PX is just beginning its real journey 🚀

Well, here we go 🐸

🐸 Now, let’s get to the point. Despite everything I’ve said, I’ve decided to believe in this project (token). Why? - $0.1 — it’s a psychological round level that could mark a reversal. - A $10M token buyback has been announced (yes, spread over a year, but still, it’s support). - Faith in Open Builders, their approach, and what the team is doing. Looks like the team is actually building—just builders with a certain handicap 🐸. Here’s what you need to keep in mind: - Not Pixel isn’t about “donations” or pre-sales. People played, competed, and earned PX through actual effort, not just throwing money at it. - PX couldn’t be bought for money. It had to be earned. Right now, PX isn’t just a token. It’s potential for the future: - In-game utility. - Opportunities for growth through listings and the Telegram Wallet. - A chance to reignite interest among traders and investors. On top of that, I believe in TON’s strategic entry into the US market. Recently, it was revealed that the new head of TON Foundation discussed the possibility of TON entering the US market with Donald Trump. If this comes together, it will be a massive breakthrough — even for Pixel. As for the game itself... I haven’t seen any Telegram games as massive, competitive, and community-driven as Not Pixel. This isn’t just a token — it’s an inevitable part of the future crypto ecosystem. I’m buying more at this level (at my own risk, averaging down, and not advising you to do the same). I believe this project still has potential, despite the rocky start. Sometimes, to reach a brighter future, you need to walk through chaos 👫.

🐸 The first time BTC hit $100k, ETH was at $4k. The second time BTC hit $100k, ETH was at $3.9k. The third time BTC hit $100k, ETH was at $3.7k. The fourth time BTC hit $100k, ETH was at $3.4k. Yesterday BTC hit $100k again… ETH is at $2.8k. Comparing NOT, TON, or any other alt in this context? I don’t even see the point. Alts seem to exist in their own world, defying all logic 😐

The Great Pixel Downgrade 🐸 Well, folks, Not Pixel has officially hit $0.1. Honestly, this looks like the "best listing" of the year, doesn’t it? I added more at $0.2, threw some into their stickers (because why not?), and now I’m staring at this chart thinking, "Well, Sasha, something didn’t quite click." Key questions: - Where’s the magic of the listing that was supposed to "take off"? - Why do all these brilliant PX concepts work only in theory, not in practice? - And where’s "the plan" if this project isn’t following the usual drop → dump → disaster scenario? If anyone’s still thinking a Tier 1 CEX listing or $1 price tags will appear with a snap of the fingers—bad news for you, my friend 🐸

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🐸 What the fuck just happened to the market?! Tell me I’m still sleeping and this is just a bad dream? No no no… $2B liquidated in the last 24 hours - More than LUNA - More than the COVID crash - More than FTX collapse We just witnessed history. If you’re still standing — respect 🫡