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After the early breakdown Nifty attempted to stabilise for a while, but every small bounce was met with fresh selling, keeping the structure firmly tilted to the downside.
The drift lower toward the 26040-26050 zone showed that sellers remained in control, even though the pace of the fall slowed. Some short-covering and cautious buying emerged at lower levels, leading to a mild bounce, but the recovery lacked strength and volume, suggesting it was more of a pause than a genuine reversal.
Markets are likely to stay heavy and choppy unless it manages to reclaim key levels.
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Todayβs NIFTY session opened on a weak note and remained under pressure right from the start. Early attempts to stabilise were met with selling, and the index gradually drifted lower through the morning.
A sharp sell-off decisively below the 26110 zone reflects clear bearish intent and aggressive unwinding. Although some buying emerged near the 26080β26090 area, the rebound was shallow and lacked conviction, indicating that buyers were cautious and not willing to chase prices higher.
Overall, the tone for the day is bearish, with sellers firmly in control and any small recovery looking more like a pause than a reversal.
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Major Market Sentiment
The market is currently in a "traffic jam," stuck in a frustrating range-bound phase with very low momentum and compressed ranges (low ATR). While the overall structure remains positive, historical data indicates a high possibility of aggressive year-end profit booking, which has not yet materialised this December.
Important Support & Resistance Levels
β’ Nifty Support: 26,108 and 26,208 (buy on dip areas); aggressive shorting only below 25,640.
β’ Nifty Resistance: 26,440 (yesterday's high).
β’ Bank Nifty Support: 59,085 (intraday short); 58,700 (structural weakness).
β’ Bank Nifty Resistance: 59,465 (breakout zone for 60,000 target).
Key Focus Areas
β’ Nifty & Bank Nifty: Both are exhibiting low momentum.
β’ IT Sector: This sector is currently the primary driver keeping Nifty positive.
Global Cues & Data
β’ US Markets: Closed.
β’ Gift Nifty: Showing slight negativity, though potentially flat opening.
Essential Reminders
β’ Wait for Confirmation: Do not short blindly based on historical patterns; wait for specific levels like 25,640 (Nifty) to breach.
β’ Monitor ATR: Momentum is lacking; look for an increase in ATR alongside price action for reliable trades.
β’ Patience is Key: Year-end markets test perseverance; avoid overtrading in sideways ranges.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital.
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The market tone has clearly weakened. NIFTY started slipping from the higher zone and selling pressure gradually increased, with rallies getting sold into rather than attracting fresh buying.
The index broke below the short-term consolidation area and drifted lower in a controlled manner, showing a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Now the price moved toward the 26150-26160 zone where some buying interest finally appeared, leading to a mild bounce, but the recovery lacked strength.
Overall, action reflects profit booking and cautious sentiment, with buyers stepping in only at lower levels and the market leaning slightly bearish for the rest of the session.
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Todayβs NIFTY session opened with volatility but saw a strong recovery from lower levels, as a sharp bearish move was aggressively bought, leading to a swift rebound.
The index moved higher and tested the 26230-26240 zone, indicating short-term buying strength, but failed to sustain at higher levels and slipped back toward the 26220 area. There is mild profit booking and consolidation, suggesting that while buyers are active on dips, upside momentum is still facing resistance.
Overall, the structure remains neutral to mildly bullish as long as NIFTY holds above the 26170-26180 support zone, with a decisive move above 26240 needed for continuation and a break below support indicating potential weakness.
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Good Morning Everyone
Major Market Sentiment
The market is currently in a range-bound "traffic jam" that has persisted for two months. While the structure remains decently bullish, the environment is boring and sideways due to year-end institutional holidays and a low VIX near 10.
Important Support & Resistance Levels
β’ Nifty: Resistance at 26,200 (needs a strong 15-min green candle); Support/Dip buy zones at 26,107 and 26,028. Short only below 26,115 to fill the gap.
β’ Bank Nifty: Resistance at 59,400; Support/Shorting level below 59,170.
β’ Sensex (Expiry): Resistance at 88,700; Support at 88,340.
Key Focus Areas Today features the Sensex Weekly Expiry (moved earlier due to the Christmas holiday). The IT sector has been the primary driver for Nifty recently; without it, performance remains sluggish.
Global Cues & Data
Global markets, including the US markets and Gift Nifty, are flat. Expect low volumes as institutions remain on holiday.
Essential Reminders
β’ Low Volume Trading: Trade with less quantity and avoid over-excitement in this range.
β’ Patience is Key: Wait for random moves or spikes; forcing trades in this range will only lead to frustration.
β’ Expiry Rule: For Sensex, hold option buys for a maximum of 30 minutes to avoid heavy premium decay.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital.
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