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BTC was moving inside a rising wedge / compression structure.
Price kept making higher lows, but failed every time near the upper diagonal resistance.
This is the key reason π
β’ Upside was getting sold consistently
β’ No strong bullish expansion despite multiple attempts
β’ Buyers were only defending, not in control
What we observed on charts:
β’ Multiple rejections from the same supply line
β’ Momentum started slowing near the top
β’ Riskβreward was clearly better on short side near resistance
Structure wise:
β’ Rising wedge generally resolves on the downside
β’ Smart money sells near resistance, not at support
So the short is not random π
β’ Taken near supply
β’ With defined invalidation
β’ Expecting either a range rotation or breakdown from support
If price gives a clean breakout and sustain above resistance,
short thesis fails β simple.
Gap-up opening ke baad first 15 min ka candle strong tha, lekin uske baad price consolidation mode me aa gaya hai. Abhi market impulsive nahi, selective ho chuki hai.
What this price action is saying:
β’ Gap-up ke baad follow-through buying missing
β’ Buyers aur sellers dono cautious
β’ Ab market levels respect karegi, emotions nahi
Key Levels to Focus π
β’ Resistance: 26,150 β 26,175
β Is zone ke upar sustain = fresh upside momentum
β’ Immediate Support: 26,080 β 26,050
β Iske niche slip hua to gap-up ka advantage weak hoga
β’ Major Support: 26,000
β Yahan aaya to sellers active ho sakte hain
Strategy (simple & practical):
β’ Resistance ke neeche over-aggressive longs avoid
β’ Support ke paas price + confirmation pe hi entry
β’ Aaj ka game patience aur level-based trading ka hai
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Good Morning Everyone
Major Market Sentiment
The market is currently showing a positive structure on higher timeframes with a "higher-low" pattern, despite recent volatility and a lack of stability. We are anticipating a significant gap-up today, supported by Gift Nifty and massive movement in the Infosys ADR following hopes for an India-US trade deal.
Key Focus Areas
β’ Indices: Nifty and Bank Nifty.
β’ Sectors: IT, specifically Infosys, which may see a major opening move.
Support & Resistance Levels
β’ Nifty: Resistance at 26,050; a 15-minute green candle close above this is bullish. Major support sits at 25,740, with a break below 25,750 potentially leading to mass selling toward 25,000.
β’ Bank Nifty: Resistance is at 59,175, while aggressive shorting is only considered below 58,700.
Global Cues & News
β’ Gift Nifty and positive US market closings indicate a strong start.
β’ Watch for mixed reactions following a Bank of Japan rate hike.
β’ Expectation of positive news regarding the India-US trade deal.
Traders' Essentials
β’ Gap-up Strategy: If we open with a gap of 100+ points, do nothing for the first 30 minutes (9:15β9:45); trade only after the range high or low breaks.
β’ Stay Unbiased: Avoid entering with a fixed long or short bias; let 15-minute candle closings confirm the move.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital.
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