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Good Morning Everyone
Pre-Market Analysis: Nifty Expiry Plan
Major Market Sentiment
The overall market structure is bullish and positive, following a Higher Highs and Higher Lows structure on the daily time frame. Yesterday, we closed above the psychological figure of 26,000, near the day's high. The trend and strength are currently in the market’s favour, solidifying the plan to Long on Dips.
Key Index/Stock/Sector Focus Areas
Today is Nifty expiry, and a trending day is expected. Bank Nifty is a "separate beast" and has hit a new All-Time High, approaching 60,000. Traders should generally plan long trades in Bank Nifty and consider short trades only in Nifty if the opportunity arises.
Important Support and Resistance Levels
* Nifty Long Breakout: Look for a strong 15-minute green candle close above 2625 for strong upside momentum. A break above 2650 could lead to a new All-Time High.
* Nifty Short Trigger: A 15-minute negative candle close below 25925.
* Nifty Dip Supports (Long): 25856 and 25753.
* Bank Nifty Long Breakout: A 15-minute strong candle close above 58,987.
* Bank Nifty Dip Supports (Long): 58,706 and 58,629.
Important Global Cues, News, or Data Points
* Negative Global Markets: Global markets show some selling.
* Crypto Weakness: Bitcoin has seen heavy selling, recently hitting lows around $93,000.
* Fed Rate Expectation: The expected December Fed rate cut might be delayed, potentially tightening liquidity globally.
* GIFT Nifty: Currently trading at 26000, 13points above previous close.
Essential Trading Reminders
1. Wait for Confirmation: Always wait for a strong 15-minute candle close (positive or negative) before entering a trade to avoid traps.
2. Dip Strategy: Be ready to plan long positions if dips occur, especially in Bank Nifty, as the bias remains positive.
3. Index Selection: Avoid shorting Bank Nifty; reserve short plans for Nifty.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital. Happy Trading Day Ahead!
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Today's Sharp Movement in Both Indices & Price action Indicates High Possibility of an All Time High in Nifty's Expiry Tomorrow 👆👆
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Good Morning Everyone
This morning’s analysis is derived from Friday’s market structure, which remains very positive. Last week was critically bullish, showing clear strength from the bulls, suggesting buyers will continue to take the price higher. Our overall approach remains 'Buy on Dip' unless critical support breaks.
Major Market Sentiment
* Bullish/Positive Structure: Market structure is positive, evidenced by higher highs and higher lows on the weekly timeframe.
* Bank Nifty Strength: Bank Nifty is the preferred index for Long trades, having recently made a new All-Time High, significantly outperforming Nifty.
Important Support and Resistance Levels
* Nifty Intraday Long Dip (50% Retracement): 25850.
* Nifty Aggressive Long Breakout: Above 25935 (requires a 15-minute strong candle close).
* Nifty Critical Support: 25350 (Breaking this level would shift structure to favor sellers).
* Bank Nifty Key Resistance/Breakout: 58535 (Expect aggressive momentum and targets toward 59700–60000 above this).
Key Index/Sector Focus Areas
* Strategy Focus: Plan Long trades in Bank Nifty and Short trades in Nifty.
Global Cues & Data Points
* US markets closed negative on Friday.
* GIFT Nifty is currently trading at 26000. 90 points higher than the previous close.
* Local performance (Bihar elections): BJP achieved a strong result (202 out of 243 seats), though the market structure was positive regardless of the outcome.
Essential Trader Reminders
1. Buy on Dip: Maintain a 'Buy on Dip' mindset as long as Nifty remains above the critical zone. Target 25750 or 25529 for long opportunities if we get a deep retracement and positive price action.
2. Gap Trading: If we open with a large gap up or gap down (e.g., >100 points in Nifty), mark the high and low of the first 30 minutes and trade the direction of the breakout.
3. Simplicity: Keep your systems and trading approach simple for better results.
Trade with discipline, protect your capital. Happy Trading Day Ahead!
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Friday’s Last 30 mins Sharp Green Candle & Closing Indicates an Aggressive Single Side Move Tomorrow 👆
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Today’s Video is a bit emotional for me and Our Tsmg Traders Community
As we lost our beloved community member Shri.Sharad Sharma
In this video i have given a small tribute to his contributions to the community and prayed for the departed soul
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