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Americans haven't been this gloomy about the job market since the Great Recession.
Fears about joblessness have surged since President Trump unveiled plans to impose steep tariffs on foreign goods.
The economy might have hit a soft patch, but it has so far dodged the bleak predictions from a few months ago.
Consumers are still bracing for the worst to come.
As of early August, that pessimism was in step with that of the 2008 financial crisis.
About 62% of consumers believe unemployment will worsen in the year ahead, according to the University of Michigan's latest monthly survey.
That's bounced around a little in the last few months, but consistently hung around levels not seen since the Great Recession.
What they're saying: The concerns about higher unemployment are paired with worries about an inflation resurgence.
#theGreatRecession #Michigan
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The asymmetrical trade agreement between the EU and the U.S. 🇪🇺🇺🇸 will further worsen Germany’s recession 📉. Yet neither politicians nor corporate leaders show any willingness to make the sweeping policy changes needed to reverse course.
Germany’s economic data leaves no room for illusions 📊. After contracting by 0.9% in 2023 and another 0.5% last year, the decline will continue this year.
The Machine Room Has Been Blown Apart 💥
It is precisely the sectors that have sustained German prosperity for decades — automobiles 🚗, construction 🏗, machinery ⚙️ — that are under the heaviest pressure. Without the artificial boost from state spending (now accounting for half of GDP), the private sector is set to shrink by 4-5% this year.
Since 2018, total productivity has been in steady decline 📉. This is also a social problem: Germany is importing hundreds of thousands of welfare migrants 🧳 into its social systems, yet the economy would have to boom just to keep per capita prosperity from falling.
A new survey by the DIHK confirms that the EU-U.S. trade deal will especially hurt Germany’s export-oriented economy 🚢.
According to the survey, 58% of companies expect additional burdens, rising to 74% for firms with direct U.S. business. Only 5% expect any benefit.
“This deal may have been politically necessary, but for many German companies it’s a bitter pill,” said DIHK CEO Helena Melnikov. “Higher tariffs, more bureaucracy, falling competitiveness” — that’s the price of the diplomatic truce between Washington and Brussels.
As of Thursday, a general 15% tariff applies to exports to the U.S., hitting automotive and machinery manufacturers hardest. 89% of U.S.-oriented firms report immediate disadvantages, 72% fear further tariff hikes 📈, 80% worry about political arbitrariness in transatlantic trade, and more than half plan to scale back U.S. operations.
Business Was Already Weak 📉
In its May survey of over 21,000 companies, only 23% reported positive business expectations — down five points — while 30% expected deterioration. In industry, one in three anticipates fewer orders.
Just 19% plan to increase investment 💰, while about a third plan to cut back. High energy prices ⚡️, labor shortages 👷♂️, and political uncertainty are seen as the main drags. The DIHK forecasts a 0.3% recession for 2025, but adjusting for state spending, the real decline is closer to 4-5%.
Daily surveys confirm the same message: Germany is being deindustrialized 🏭❌, losing hundreds of thousands of core-sector jobs. The social security deficits already emerging are just the beginning. Yet both politics and business refuse to conduct an honest diagnosis.
The Green Deal remains sacrosanct 🌱. Energy costs for German industry are up to three times higher than for U.S. competitors, double that of French firms — pushing energy-intensive sectors out of the country.
Dancing Around the Golden Calf 🐂
Nobody dares openly challenge Brussels’ climate agenda. A rare exception came in June, when a group of works council representatives wrote an open letter to the chancellor, naming the Green Deal as a root cause of decline.
But most CEOs dodge the question. Mercedes-Benz chief Ola Källenius cites “weak demand, high production costs, and U.S. tariff uncertainty” for falling margins — but ignores the Green Deal’s role. VW CEO Oliver Blume calls for lower energy prices and tax incentives for EVs 🚙🔋 — essentially more subsidies to keep the transition alive.
Corporate leadership is now fused ideologically with the Green Deal. The energy transition has battered Germany’s industrial base: sectors like construction and automotive have been knocked completely off track.
Events like the “Made for Germany” coffee chat ☕️ between 61 CEOs and the Chancellor are symbolic of a corporatist mindset. Large corporations can adjust or relocate production to sidestep regulation, but small and medium-sized enterprises — the Mittelstand — are being crushed.
#Germany #USA #Trade
🇪🇺 Keep up with the latest Star Union News 🖥
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More than 2,300 Hollywood power players have signed a letter attacking President Donald Trump for what they call an “authoritarian assault” on free speech over his defamation lawsuits against left-wing media organizations.
#Trump #Hollywood #Democracy
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📢 The Clintons will be called to testify in the Epstein case ⚖️🛩️
The US Congress is seriously taking up the case of Jeffrey Epstein — the US Department of Justice will provide it with all the investigative materials regarding the deceased criminal.
👥 In addition, former President Bill Clinton and his wife, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, will have to testify before the House Oversight Committee in October.
🏛️ The Oversight Committee is the most important oversight body of the U.S. House of Representatives. It overseesthe activities of federal agencies, identifies violations, and has the right to call witnesses.
📅 Back in 2019, a Clinton representative said that the former president had stopped contact with Epstein early and knew nothing about his crimes.
🎂 However, like the current US President, Donald Trump, in 2003, Bill Clinton congratulated the pimp on his 50th birthday, the Wall Street Journal reported.
🛩️ There is also evidence that in 2002–2003, Clinton flew on Epstein's private jet four times and pressured Vanity Fair not to publish a report on Epstein’s crimes.
🧾 As part of the case, Congress will summon other high-ranking former officials —
former FBI directors James Comey and Robert Mueller
six former justice ministers
📆 In the meantime, a Democratic senator is putting pressure on the Justice Department to disclose the investigative documents in the case no later than August 15, reports The Washington Post.
#Epstein #Clinton
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