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Crypto Updates, Onchain Insights and Altcoin Alpha. โ๏ธ Delivered Daily ๐ธ
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๐ BITCOIN DECOUPLES FROM STOCKS
In the second half of 2025, $BTC diverged sharply from US equities, falling nearly 18% over six months while the Nasdaq rose 21%, the S&P 500 gained 14.35%, and the Dow climbed 12.11%.
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๐จ FIREDANCER GOES LIVE ON SOLANA
The Jump Cryptoโbuilt validator client is now running on Solana mainnet, exiting controlled testing and helping drive a 5% rally in $SOL to around $140.
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โ ๏ธ $4.3B LIQUIDATION WALL ON BOTH SIDES
Bitcoin is sitting between $4.3B in leveraged bets!
A drop to $81K nukes LONGS, while a rally to $98K wipes SHORTS.
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๐จ 126 CRYPTO ETFS WAITING FOR APPROVAL
ETF analyst James Seyffart says there are 126 crypto ETF applications filed in the U.S.๐บ๐ธ
Bitcoin leads with 21 filings, followed by basket ETFs (15), $XRP (10), $SOL (9), and $ETH (7).
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๐ง๐ท BRAZILโS LARGEST BANK ARM RECOMMENDS BITCOIN
Itaรบ Asset Management, Brazilโs biggest private bank arm, advises investors to hold 1โ3% in $BTC.
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๐บ๐ธ U.S. MARIJUANA STOCK RIPS
US Cannabis ETF $MSOS surged 55% today with ~$500M traded, about 10x its daily average.
The rally follows reports Trump will sign an executive order reclassifying marijuana at the federal level.
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๐จ $XRP ETF INFLOW STREAK CONTINUES
U.S. spot XRP ETFs added $20.17M today, marking 19 straight days of positive flows
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๐จ SVM BLOCKCHAIN FOGO CANCELS TOKEN SALE
Solana Virtual Machine blockchain Fogo has cancelled its planned $20M token sale. The tokens will now be airdropped to users during its full public launch on January 13th.
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๐จUPDATE: Tom Lee's Bitmine just bought 14,959 $ETH ($46M).
Bitmine now holds over 3.86M $ETH with an average entry price of $3,008 per ETH.
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๐จ BREAKING: Figure seeks SEC approval for a second IPO to natively issue equity on Solana.
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๐จ Financial giant Interactive Brokers to allow users to fund brokerage accounts with crypto stablecoins.
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โกJUST IN: Phantom integrates with Kalshi to bring prediction markets directly inside its crypto wallet.
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๐จARE DATS BACK THIS DECEMBER?
After the October liquidation, DAT inflows plunged.
But this week, inflows have picked up again, led by $962.7M into $BTC and $423.9M into $ETH.
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โก๏ธ TRUST WALLET INTEGRATES REVOLUT FOR EU
Trust Wallet has added Revolut as a payment provider, enabling users across Europe to instantly fund wallets and buy crypto.
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๐ PREDICTION MARKET PLAYBOOK
Just like the memecoin trenches, most retail traders on Polymarket and Kalshi tend to lose all their money. Only a select few are profitable.
The main difference between winners and losers is their understanding of how to trade these platforms, not what to bet on. Let us explain.
> Why do retail traders lose? ๐ง
Retail traders tend to:
- Chase moonshot returns (greed)
- Overbet low-probability outcomes (<10% probability)
- Lack an objective lens (emotion over data)
> What do winners do differently? ๐น
Most winners rely on data and analysis to spot mispriced probabilities. Others take advantage of privileged information.
Broadly, they employ two strategies.
โก๏ธ Strategy #1: Scalping (1โ3% Gains That Compound Fast)
This is the most consistent way traders make money on Polymarket/Kalshi today.
The idea is simple: capture small mispricings repeatedly with discipline.
Here are the main scalping methods:
A) Cross-Platform Arbitrage โ๏ธ
Look for the same event priced differently across platforms.
Example: Polymarket: BTC $100K by 2025 โ 80% YES
Kalshi: Same market โ 84% YES
You buy the cheaper side and sell the expensive one. When probabilities converge, you lock in risk-free gains.
B) Mutually Exclusive Arbitrage ๐ช
Trade mispriced event contracts whose resolutions are directionally opposite from the other.
Example: โTrump Winsโ YES + โDemocrats Winโ YES
If the combined cost < $1, the trade is profitable regardless of who wins.
C) Late-Stage Bidding โฐ
Hours before resolution, near-certain markets often drop from ~99% to ~95โ98% as early bettors unwind. Traders can scoop these dips and ride them into final resolution for 2โ4% gains.
Note: Most scalpers automate their strategies with bots. However, manual setups can still work on slower or low-liquidity markets.
โก๏ธ Strategy #2: Wallet Tracking (Retail-Friendly, High ROI)
Some wallets clearly trade with inside information or early data access.
These wallets often enter positions in size, win repeatedly across specific markets and move order books before news breaks.
Examples seen recently include whales predicting Google Search Trend rankings and TIME Person of the Year picks.
๐จโ๐ป How to use this:
- Watch unusual large inflows into specific markets.
- Check the walletโs history; do they have an unusually high win rate in that particular category?
- Follow CT/X accounts that track these wallets publicly.
This is currently the least technical, highest-impact strategy for most retail participants.
โผ๏ธ Bottom Line: If you want to profit reliably avoid long-shot gambling, focus on mispricings, track informed money, take small consistent wins, and let compounding work for you.
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๐จTRADER WHO PROFITED $100M, LOADS UP ON FRESH MEGA LONGS
Garret Jin, the trader who made over $100 million during the October 10 tariffs crash, has now taken more than $500 million in long positions across ETH, BTC, and SOL on Hyperliquid in recent days, per MLM.
His cumulative PnL currently stands at $111.81 million.
Wallet
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๐จCONGRESS PRESSURES SEC TO APPROVE BITCOIN IN 401(K)s
U.S. lawmakers have sent a letter urging new SEC Chair Paul Atkins to quickly allow Bitcoin and other digital assets in 401(k) plans, pushing for an executive order that could unlock a $9Tโ$12.5T retirement pool and trigger major institutional inflows.
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๐ฅ XRP COMING TO SOLANA!
At Solana Breakpoint, plans were revealed for Hex Trust and LayerZero to bridge and issue wXRP, unlocking XRP liquidity for Solana DeFi.
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๐จALERT: $4.6B BTC & ETH OPTIONS EXPIRES TODAY
Nearly $4.5 BILLION in $BTC & $ETH options expire today at 8PM UTC. Thin year-end liquidity and macro uncertainty could amplify volatility.
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๐ฅHUGE: Coinbase set to launch PREDICTION MARKETS and TOKENIZED STOCKS on December 17.
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