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Official global account of Octa, an award-winning and internationally recognised investing services provider. Have any questions? Write to @Octa_Rep Our posts are not financial advice. Trading is risky—be responsible. Terms and Conditions apply
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These events may affect the market on 17 July.
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🚀 Take your first step into trading with Octa!
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📊 Gold declines as U.S. inflation rises
Gold (XAU) prices declined by 0.57% on Tuesday, falling for the second trading session in a row, as investors digested a notable rise in U.S. inflation.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation in June accelerated at its fastest pace in five months. CPI rose to 2.7% year-on-year, up from May's 2.4% increase, aligning with the forecast. This acceleration suggests that U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs may be filtering through to consumer prices.
The rise in inflation adds complexity to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious stance on rate cuts amid concerns about potential inflationary pressures. While Trump has publicly called for immediate rate cuts to support the economy, Fed officials have signalled a more cautious approach, emphasising that rising inflation could limit the scope for easing. U.S. economic data paints a mixed backdrop for gold. Bullion typically benefits from a low-interest-rate environment. However, sustained inflation may reduce the likelihood of significant rate cuts, weakening demand for non-yielding assets like gold.
XAUUSD started to rise during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Markets now focus on today's Producer Price Index report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. The data could provide further insight into the inflation pace and its potential impact on the Fed's policy trajectory. A higher-than-expected PPI could intensify concerns over tariff-induced price pressures, reinforcing the Fed's cautious stance. Meanwhile, a softer reading may revive hopes for near-term rate cuts and support gold.
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🕯 Octa Analytics VIP: real signals, real advantage.
The free channel gives you a start. The VIP channel takes you where you want to be.
Get access to high-accuracy trading signals that don’t appear in the public feed. Become an Octa Analytics VIP member in three simple steps:
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These events may affect the market on 16 July.
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AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
AUDUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 0.65350.
Set your stop loss at 0.65700 above the previous high ($3.50 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.65000 ($3.50 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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📊 Euro remains in a downtrend
The euro (EUR) remained below 1.16800 on Tuesday, hovering near a three-week low as markets positioned cautiously ahead of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Investors will closely monitor the data for signs of how U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs may have affected consumer prices, potentially reshaping the inflation outlook and monetary policy expectations in the near term.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell has recently noted that inflation could rise over the summer as tariff pressures build, reinforcing the view that the Fed may delay any interest rate cuts until later this year. As investors adjust their rate expectations and hedge against the risk of prolonged higher rates, this has helped maintain demand for the U.S. dollar (USD) amid global uncertainty.
At the same time, concerns about the Fed's independence have resurfaced, with Trump renewing his criticism of Powell's policies. Trump argued that interest rates should be at 1% or lower, creating further uncertainty about the central bank's policy direction. Still, markets currently expect the Fed to maintain its cautious approach unless inflation or growth data deteriorate sharply.
On the trade front, Trump signalled a readiness for further negotiations with the EU and other key partners, leaving room for potential de-escalation of tariff tensions. However, the persistent uncertainty around trade policy continues to support the U.S. dollar's safe-haven appeal, as investors seek clarity on how tariffs may affect domestic inflation and the Fed's future rate path.
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GBPUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
GBPUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.34450.
Set your stop loss at 1.34110 below the previous low ($3.40 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.34790 ($3.40 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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These events may affect the market on 15 July.
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⏳ Still clicking without a clear plan? That’s how overtrading drains your edge
In this episode of Trader’s Minute, we break down how doing less can help you earn more.
🎯 Smart habits, zero noise
Powered by @octa_analytics
Reels_titles.mp446.80 MB
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📊 Last week’s market performance recap
A breakdown of key gains and losses across major instruments:
🚀 Top performers
🔹 USDZAR +1.97%—the rand weakened sharply as risk sentiment soared
🔹 USDJPY +1.93%—yen weakened as the dollar maintained its dominance
🔹 USDCAD +0.62%—tariffs on Canadian goods pressured the loonie
❌ Top losers
🔹 GBPUSD –1.12%—the pound fell on weak GDP and dovish BoE tone
🔹 NZDUSD –0.86%— the Kiwi underperformed amid global risk aversion
🔹 EURUSD –0.76%—euro slipped after new U.S.–EU trade tensions
📉 Trump’s surprise tariff plan sparked a dollar rally and risk-off mood, sending emerging market and European currencies lower. Despite the stronger greenback, gold still posted modest gains.
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
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BTCUSD, 1-hour timeframe chart
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 122,558.82.
Set your stop loss at 125,377.95 above the previous high ($28.19 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 119,739.69 ($28.19 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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USDCAD, 30-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
USDCAD has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.36920.
Set your stop loss at 1.37180 above the previous high ($1.90 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.36660 ($1.90 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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📊 USDJPY hits two-week high
The Japanese yen (JPY) rose towards 147.500 on Friday amid escalating global trade tensions.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The move followed U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a 30% tariff on imports from the EU and Mexico, effective 1 August. This fuelled concerns about potential disruptions in global trade flows, prompting investors to reposition into safe-haven assets such as the yen.
In response to the U.S. tariff measures, EU and Mexican leaders said they would continue negotiations with Washington to secure a lower tariff rate. The EU is reportedly advancing discussions with other nations affected by the tariffs, including Canada and Japan. These developments highlight the risk of a prolonged period of trade uncertainty, keeping markets on edge and supporting sustained demand for the yen as a hedge against global volatility.
Domestically, Japan's economic data showed signs of stabilisation, with core machinery orders falling by 0.6% month-on-month to ¥913.5 billion in May. This marked a notable improvement from April's steep 9.1% decline and beat expectations of a 1.5% drop. Although the figure remains negative, it indicates underlying resilience in Japan's capital spending outlook. The data offers some support for the broader economic narrative as the country navigates external trade risks and a fragile global growth backdrop.
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📊 Trump's 30% tariffs pressure euro
The euro (EUR) declined towards 1.16700 on Monday. EURUSD reached its lowest level in over two weeks after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 30% tariff on imports from the EU and Mexico, effective 1 August. The announced tariffs triggered a wave of U.S. dollar (USD) buying as investors sought safety amid concerns about the potential impact on European export growth and broader market sentiment.
👉 Possible effects for traders
In response to the tariffs, EU and Mexican officials signalled they are prepared to continue negotiations with Washington to secure a lower tariff rate and ease tensions. At the same time, the EU is intensifying its discussions with other U.S. tariff-affected nations to coordinate strategies for addressing the trade duties. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on Sunday that the EU would postpone its planned retaliatory tariffs to underline the bloc's commitment to keeping diplomatic channels open.
Despite the pullback, the euro remains up nearly 13% against the U.S. dollar year-to-date. The rally has been supported by broad dollar weakness and renewed optimism about the eurozone's recovery prospects, particularly following Germany's shift towards greater fiscal spending.
On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting. Still, markets continue to price in the likelihood of at least one additional rate cut later this year as the ECB navigates persistent inflation pressure and growth uncertainties within the bloc.
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📊 Gold rises amid heightening trade tensions
Gold (XAU) prices climbed towards $3,360 on Friday, marking a third consecutive session of gains as investors increased demand for bullion amid escalating geopolitical and trade tensions.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The rise was driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, which intensified safe-haven flows into gold as markets reassessed risk exposure and investors sought safer assets.
In detailed letters to the EU and Mexico, Trump confirmed 30% tariffs on both countries, citing their trade deficits with the U.S. as a 'major threat' to national security. This announcement follows a broader escalation in protectionist measures declared last week: increased tariffs on over 20 countries—such as Japan, South Korea, Canada, and Brazil—and a significant 50% duty on copper imports. These measures are set to take effect on 1 August, heightening concerns over global trade and potential supply chain disruptions.
This week, market participants are focused on upcoming U.S. economic reports—Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Industrial Production, and Retail Sales—for clearer direction on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook. The data will be pivotal in shaping expectations for the next Fed rate decision. Investors will closely monitor whether inflationary pressures and economic indicators prompt the Fed to maintain its current stance or adjust rates in the coming months.
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#webinars_schedule #education
📱 You can now watch our educational webinars in the Octa Trading App on your Android smartphone. Install the latest version, tap Webinars in the menu, and enjoy fast and easy access to all upcoming and past videos.
🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts.
👋 Join and learn more about trading:
🇬🇧 15/07, 1 p.m. UTC – ENGLISH – Webinar 'News trading. Inflation' with Vito Henjoto
🇮🇩 16/07, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Setyo Wibowo
🇲🇾 17/07, 9 p.m. MYT – MALAY – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie
🇬🇧 17/07, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa
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‼️ Join Octa Analytics VIP
Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success.
To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps:
1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account.
2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot.
3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day.
Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community!
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📊 Bitcoin sets a new high of $116,000
Bitcoin surged to a record high of $116,000 on 10 July, just six days after President Donald Trump signed the $3.3 trillion 'big, beautiful bill'.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The cryptocurrency has risen by 6% since the bill's signing, reflecting strong investor demand for digital assets amid a rapidly evolving macroeconomic backdrop. This latest rally reinforces Bitcoin's position as a key beneficiary of shifting fiscal and monetary policies while attracting renewed interest from institutional investors seeking portfolio diversification.
The 'big, beautiful bill' added $410 billion to U.S. debt, raised the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, and permanently extended key tax cuts. The scale and pace of this fiscal expansion have amplified market concerns over the U.S. debt sustainability and fiscal discipline. As a result, investors are bracing for a structurally higher inflation environment, with rotation out of bonds and into assets such as Bitcoin and gold accelerating in recent sessions.
BTCUSD's rally paused as the pair began to decline during the Asian and early European sessions. No major news is expected today that could significantly influence price dynamics. Analysts project the price to continue moving within its established trend. Institutional participation continues to drive Bitcoin's rise, highlighted by BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, which has tripled in size over just 200 trading days and reached $76 billion in assets under management. By comparison, the largest gold ETF took over 15 years to reach the same milestone, underscoring the speed and scale of institutional flows into Bitcoin.
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