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Technical Analyst The main rule: Safety. The primary goal is to preserve and, if possible, to earn. https://t.me/notatraderengchat - chat Not financial advice DM: @exerato
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This is worse than COVID.
This is worse than the FTX collapse.
The past few weeks have been an absolute bloodbath for the markets.
Textbook-style correction: new tariffs from Trump, reshaped trade policy, global realignment β and the market is gasping for air.
$9.2 trillion β thatβs how much debt needs to be refinanced in 2025. Thatβs not just a number β thatβs a ticking nuclear bomb.
As for $SPX: -20β25% drawdowns happen about once every two years. COVID was the exception with -35%, but this time it *feels* like weβre nearing the end. I believe we saw the bottom earlier this week. Iβm expecting April to be strong β for crypto as well.
π Tomorrow is the tariff deadline, and U.S. tax season ends on the 15th. So weβll likely get shaken around for a few more daysβ¦ but after that β time to breathe and lock in April for the bounce πΈ
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Repost from TgId: 1182229395
BTC
The way the market is consolidating I think you more or less just need to see one side rinsed
Looking like we might form a PO3 and just look for a long or short to form off of that
We have FOMC coming up I believe in May so spend sometime in the manipulation zone till then and that will be a bigger hint of a fade
https://www.tradingview.com/x/Xh8Grby9/
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What would happen to peopleβs mindset if, for an entire day, every feed across all their apps showed only lives worse than their own?
Greed and envy thrive in contrast to excess, gratitude only emerges in contrast to loss.
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Sticker Store: βOne sticker at a time β and holders get the xβsβ? πΌπ€
You know what they say β βone thread from everyone, and the shirtless gets a hoodie.β Looks like **Sticker Store is gathering sticker holders for their shot at some serious gains. Itβs no secret anymore: trading opens next week, and behind the scenes, things are already heating up β with private chats popping up for top (and not-so-top) holders of different collections. You can sneak a peek here.
Personally, I went pretty deep into stickers, and according to the bots, Iβm sitting at #16 in the holder ranks. From the vibe in those chats, nobodyβs planning to sell at a loss β everyoneβs expecting at least a couple xβs, just like we saw with gifts. If youβre curious, hereβs a breakdown of floors and stats across gifts and stickers.
Top holders are clearly locking the floor, and some are even ready to market-buy as soon as transfers open.
Did you buy any stickers? What are you expecting?
Or are you one of those people whoβll sell on day one and then cry βstickers were a scamβ? π
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$PX at $0.11: βPatience pays offβ? π°π€
Last time, the comments made everything clear: some sold $PX at the lows and cried βscam,β while others held and waited for those sweet xβs. If you bought with me on Feb 7th, you're finally hitting breakeven after 45 days β maybe even flipping a little profit. As for me, I'm still holding. $PX isnβt listed on CEXes yet, and the hype is just warming up. But if it keeps moving like this, people will soon be screaming about it everywhere β and by then, it'll be too late.
Also funny how most channels started posting about $PX only after it broke $0.1 β but when it did +180% from the bottom, crickets...
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"Slow and steady wins the race" β looks like $PX took that proverb to heart.
Everyone was calling it dead a while ago, but now itβs quietly up 130% from the bottom β and guess what? Dead silence in the chats. No noise, no βscamβ chants like before. I'm just sitting here wondering: did everyone already sell, or are they just too scared to open their wallets? π²
$PX is showing 6 green daily candles out of the last 7 β the longest streak since listing. The FUD and hate seem to have calmed down, and meanwhile... itβs still not listed on a single CEX. When everyone starts screaming about it again β itβll already be too late. Thatβs when youβll be βentering a positionβ while others are securing profits.
Alright, sound off in the comments β who sold $PX and whoβs still holding? π
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GM everyone! πΈ
Didnβt have to wait long β $DOGS was the first to move, up over 30% since the post!
Looks like Durov and Sasha still got some firepower left in the tank.
Or maybeβ¦ itβs just the dead cat twitching again while Iβm already packing for Dubai? π
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Is life returning to TON or just another dead cat bounce? π
TON Foundation is flexing about VCs pouring $400M into $TON, while I sit here wonderingβare we witnessing a revival, or is this just a 50% dead cat bounce in a week with no corrections? π
$NOT and $DOGS charts (check those resistance zones above) are hinting at a potential entry, but last time I jumped in like this⦠let's just say I still get nervous opening my wallet.
While $X (+360% from ATL) and Major (+160% from ATL) have already popped, I decided to play it safer and revisit major capsβ$NOT and $DOGS, the OGs of this ecosystem. Hoping Sasha and Andrey from DWF step up and keep the market from tanking again. Also got my eyes on $BUILD and $PX, with the latter looking especially strong.
Drop your picks for promising TON projects in the commentsβright now, Iβm just praying to the charts and waiting for $NOT to print me some Xs π
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πΈ Elon Musk congratulated Pavel Durov on reaching 1 billion users in Telegram
A billion users - thatβs when every seventh person on the planet downloads your messenger, while X is still puffing along at around 500 million. Musk, the king of trolling, seems to have bitten his tongue a little this time - X hasnβt quite reached that level yet.
So, whatβs next? Durov congratulating Elon on his first billion Martian colonists? Meanwhile, we simple mortals just sit in our chats and laugh π€£
A billion is 1,000,000,000 people. To put it into perspective: if every Telegram user stood in line, one meter apart, the chain would stretch 1 million kilometers - enough to circle Earth 25 times. And 500 million X users? Thatβs only 12.5 trips around.
Numbers donβt lieβDurovβs billion is already here.
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β‘οΈPavel Durov left France and headed to Dubai with court approval β AFP
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Repost from Watcher Guru
JUST IN: Russia is using Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins for oil trade with China and India to bypass sanctions.
@WatcherGuru
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πΈ Well, weβve almost perfectly tapped the 50EMA, dollar for dollar.
First test of the upper trendline around $106K in a long time, and now a retest of the trendline support + MA.
A bounce from here, and the second half of this year should be fun. Only a confirmed breakdown below the 50EMA can ruin the party.
I trade what I see. The expected canβt surprise me π
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πΈ Morning started with a message from a friend:
I WENT ALL IN ON CRYPTO
IβM DOWN BAD
SO I HAVE THE RIGHT TO BE EMOTIONAL AND SAY "FUCK" IN EVERY SENTENCE.
THANKS FOR UNDERSTANDING, BECAUSE THIS FUCKING SHIT IS INSANELY HARD.
And honestly? I get it.
The market dumped in perfect unison, with zero regard for the "quality" of tokens. Doesnβt matter if you were holding a memecoin or some revolutionary utility play β the result is the same: a sea of red, no survivors.
So unless you're BlackRock casually scooping up BTC at a billion per day, congrats β youβre now officially part of one of the bloodiest corrections in crypto history
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$ETH April 2021 β $2.2k
$ETH May 2021 β $2.2k
$ETH June 2021 β $2.2k
$ETH July 2021 β $2.2k
$ETH Jan 2022 β $2.2k
$ETH May 2022 β $2.2k
$ETH Dec 2023 β $2.2k
$ETH Jan 2024 β $2.2k
$ETH Aug 2024 β $2.2k
$ETH Sep 2024 β $2.2k
$ETH Feb 2025 β $2.2k
$ETH Mar 2025 β $2.2k
If ETH were a person, it would still be wearing the same t-shirt since 2021
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πΈ Trading crypto directly in Telegram? Easy.
TonTrader β simple and hassle-free trading, no complicated interfaces. Just open the bot, tap a few buttons β and you're in the market.
π₯ DOLLR β a token that might surprise you.
Compete in tournaments, earn rewards for activity, and catch the momentum β listing ahead.
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Got a balance in Blum? Take a screenshot and get the same amount of DOLLR in TonTrader. Max 50,000 DOLLR per account. Offer valid until the end of the week β donβt sleep on it.
π Get in, try it out, trade.
Click here before itβs too late.
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Alt szn
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π§ Stickers are still in the game.
The official @sticker_community X (Twitter) announced minting and trading stickers. A minute later, the post was mysteriously deleted (marketing trick or what?), but the internet never forgets.
As a distinguished sticker investor, Iβm open to offers for these digital masterpieces.
π¨ Price list:
- Not Cap β $5000 per piece. A cultural treasure.
- Penguins β $2000. Timeless classic.
- Apes β $1000. Canβt go lower than this, guys.
If youβre ready to pay for pixels, hit me up. Stickers are like gold, but way more fun.
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πΈ Fidelity still holds $20B in BTC
Saylor still holds $40B in BTC
BlackRock still holds $50B in BTC & ETH
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