Open4profit

📡 U.S. Core PCE Price Index (m/m) Update Forecast: 0.2% Previous: 0.3% Significance: The Core PCE Price Index is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices. If the actual figure comes in higher than forecast, it signals stronger inflationary pressure → the Fed may maintain a more cautious stance on monetary policy, which could weigh on gold. If the actual figure is lower than forecast, markets may boost expectations for further Fed rate cuts → this would be supportive for gold.

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1️⃣ Final GDP q/q (Quarterly GDP Growth) - Actual: 3.8% - Forecast: 3.3% - Previous: 3.3% Analysis: - The 3.8% reading is higher than both the forecast and the previous figure, indicating that the U.S. economy grew more strongly than expected. - Impact on USD: This is positive for the U.S. dollar, as stronger economic growth supports the Federal Reserve in keeping interest rates higher for longer. The USD tends to strengthen on such data. --- 2️⃣ Unemployment Claims (Weekly Jobless Claims) - Actual: 218K - Forecast: 233K - Previous: 231K Analysis: - Jobless claims came in significantly lower than expected (218K vs. 233K), showing that the labor market remains very robust. - Impact on USD: This is also positive for the U.S. dollar, as a tight labor market supports the case for sustained higher interest rates. ——— * USD: Both data points exceeded expectations ⇒ bullish for the U.S. dollar. * Gold (XAU/USD): Typically, a stronger USD and higher rate expectations put downward pressure on gold in the short term. However, the actual price reaction will also depend on market sentiment and geopolitical factors.

Sab Theek...been a long time...

📡 Today’s focus is on U.S. Final GDP q/q and Unemployment Claims: Final GDP q/q: Measures the pace of U.S. economic growth for the quarter (final version). A higher reading is positive for USD. Unemployment Claims: Tracks the number of people filing for jobless benefits for the first time. A lower reading signals labor market strength and is positive for USD. 👉 Rules: Actual > Forecast → Positive for USD Actual < Forecast → Negative for USD ——— 🔹 Key Information Final GDP q/q Forecast: 3.3% Previous: 3.3% Actual: (Not yet released) Unemployment Claims Forecast: 231K Previous: 233K Actual: (Not yet released) ——— 🔹 Market Outlook * GDP holding steady at forecast shows the U.S. economy is still on solid footing. * However, jobless claims came in higher than expected, pointing to a softening labor market → this is bearish for USD and could support gold. * If labor data continues to weaken, markets may anticipate earlier Fed easing, which would provide additional upside momentum for gold.

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