2025 年数字统计
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Why the Sharp Reversal & Sell Off Last Night !
1) Nvidia -7% fade despite beat/raise (so not the "clear all" which was anticipated)
2) private credit concerns hard to ignore ? (Fed’s Cook - “potential asset valuation vulnerabilities”)
3) crypto meltdown (sub 90k psych level)
4) Jobs data ? Unemployment rate highest in 4 yrs. Rate cut odds jumped 9% post data.
FED'S HAMMACK: HIGH INFLATION IS STILL A REAL ISSUE FOR ECONOMY
US FED RATE UPDATE
MORGAN STANLEY DROPS DECEMBER CUT, SEES THREE CUTS NEXT YEAR
Reliance
Company Said
Stopped importing Russian crude oil into our SEZ refinery with effect from 20 November
From 1 December, all product exports from the SEZ refinery will be obtained from non-Russian crude oil
What It Means?
SEZ – largely export oriented unit – will not process Russian crude
DTA – largely caters to domestic market – will process Russian crude
RIL has capacity of around 1.4 mbpd, largely even between SEZ and DTA
Uses 40% of Russian Crude
Impact
Russian crude discounts have slipped to $1-1.5/bbl now
While refining margins globally are high
Even if it loses out on some discounts, it will make up much more by exporting globally
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Hindalco
Another fire reported at Novelis’ Oswego aluminum plant.
🔺 Major fire in Sep
🔺 Smaller incident in Oct
Oct guidance from Novelis:
• Restart of affected unit by Dec-end
• H2FY26 to see impact>>cash flow hit $550–650M, EBITDA loss $100–150M
• Recovery expected in FY27
• Hindalco sees 70–80% recovery via insurance
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Stocks to Watch
TCS 👍🏻
➡️TCS–TPG to invest ~$2B (51:49) to build >1GW AI-ready data centers under HyperVault
➡️TPG’s $1B equity validates Data Centre potential; aligns with TCS's $6–7B capex plan
➡️Morgan Stanley Overweight; TP ₹3,430 — sees sentiment turning positive as milestones near
RIL 👎🏻
➡️Stops importing Russian oil for processing at its export-only refinery
Kotak Bank 👍🏻
➡️Board to consider stock split today
PVC Pipe Cos (Astral / Supreme / Finolex)👎🏻
➡️GoI withdraws BIS on PVC resin; ADD deadline also lapses.
➡️Imports to rise sharply; prices already down ₹3/kg
➡️Nuvama sees further ₹3–4/kg fall
IndusInd Bank👍🏻
➡️Reports- Bank in early stages of evaluating potential QIP - Confidence Capital
M&M👍🏻
➡️Tractor volume CAGR raised to 9% over FY25–30 (vs 7% prior).
Groww👀
➡️Results today; stock down 15% over last two sessions
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Quick Market Update !!
US Markets:
➡️Wild swings as early rally reversed.
➡️Dow dropped 1000+ pts from high; closed -386
➡️S&P 500 fell 3% intraday; ended -1.6%
➡️Nasdaq -2.2%
➡️Jobs: +119k vs 51k est; jobless rate 4.4%
➡️Nvidia flipped hard, -8% from high
➡️Lisa Cook: warns of risks from stretched asset prices
➡️Ray Dalio: “Definitely a bubble — stay protected”
Europe:
➡️DAX +0.5%, CAC +0.3%, FTSE +0.2%
Asia:
➡️Nikkei -2.1%, ASX -1.2%
Others:
➡️Gold $4067, Crude $62.9, DXY 100
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Data for 20-Nov-2025 👇
A) Cash Market
👍 DII net bought ₹824 cr
👍 FII net bought ₹284 cr
B) FII in FNO Market
👉 Covered 1980 short contracts
🚨 FII Long:Short at 12%:88% 🚨
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